Giuseppe  Storti

Prof. Dr. Giuseppe Storti

Department of Economics and Statistics / DISES, University of Salerno, Italy
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

25Years (2002-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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15 July 2022 in Soft Computing
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Journal Article
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APAlessio Petrozziello
Alessio Petrozziello
LTLuigi Troiano
Luigi Troiano
ASAngela Serra
Angela Serra
IJIvan Jordanov
Ivan Jordanov
Giuseppe  StortiGiuseppe Storti
Giuseppe Storti
MRMichele La Rocca
Michele La Rocca
Predicting volatility is a critical activity for taking risk- adjusted decisions in asset trading and allocation. In order to provide effective decision-making support, in this paper we investigate the profitability of a deep Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Neural Network for forecasting daily stock market volatility using a panel of 28 assets representative of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index combined with the market factor proxied by the SPY and, separately, a panel of 92 assets belonging to the NASDAQ 100 index. The Dow Jones plus SPY data are from January 2002 to August 2008, while the NASDAQ 100 is from December 2012 to November 2017. If, on the one hand, we expect that this evolutionary behavior can be effectively captured adaptively through the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) flexible methods, on the other, in this setting, standard parametric approaches could fail to provide optimal predictions. We compared the volatility forecasts generated by the LSTM approach to those obtained through use of widely recognized benchmarks models in this field, in particular, univariate parametric models such as the Realized Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroskedastic (R-GARCH) and the Glosten–Jagannathan–Runkle Multiplicative Error Models (GJR-MEM). The results demonstrate the superiority of the LSTM over the widely popular R-GARCH and GJR-MEM univariate parametric methods, when forecasting in condition of high volatility, while still producing comparable predictions for more tranquil periods.

14 February 2020 in International Journal of Forecasting
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Journal Article
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Alessandra AmendolaAlessandra Amendola
Alessandra Amendola
MBManuela Braione
Manuela Braione
VCVincenzo Candila
Vincenzo Candila
Giuseppe  StortiGiuseppe Storti
Giuseppe Storti

9 January 2015 in Journal of Forecasting
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Alessandra AmendolaAlessandra Amendola
Alessandra Amendola
Giuseppe  StortiGiuseppe Storti
Giuseppe Storti

1 February 2003 in Statistical Methods & Applications
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Giuseppe  StortiGiuseppe Storti
Giuseppe Storti
CVCosimo Vitale
Cosimo Vitale

1 January 2017 in Econometrics and Statistics
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Journal Article
Closed access
LBLuc Bauwens
Luc Bauwens
MBManuela Braione
Manuela Braione
Giuseppe  StortiGiuseppe Storti
Giuseppe Storti

1 February 2008 in Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
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Journal Article
Closed access
Alessandra AmendolaAlessandra Amendola
Alessandra Amendola
Giuseppe  StortiGiuseppe Storti
Giuseppe Storti