Using stochastics in stock market analysis is widely accepted for index estimation and ultra-high-frequency trading. However, previous studies linking index estimation to actual trading without applying low-frequency trading are limited. This study applied William%R to the existing research and used fixed parameters to remove noise from stochastics. We propose contributing to stock market stakeholders by finding an easy-to-apply algorithmic trading methodology for individual and pension fund investors. The algorithm constructed two oscillators with fixed parameters to identify when to enter and exit the index and achieved good results against the benchmark. We tested two ETFs, SPY (S&P 500) and EWY (MSCI Korea), from 2010 to 2022. Over the 12-year study period, our model showed it can outperform the benchmark index, having a high hit ratio of over 80%, a maximum drawdown in the low single digits, and a trading frequency of 1.5 trades per year. The results of our empirical research show that this methodology simplifies the process for investors to effectively implement market timing strategies in their investment decisions.

Recent research in algorithmic trading has primarily focused on ultra-high-frequency strategies and index estimation. In response to the need for a low-frequency, real-world trading model, we developed an enhanced algorithm that builds on existing models with high hit ratios and low maximum drawdowns. We utilized established price indicators, including the stochastic oscillator and Williams %R, while introducing a volume factor to improve the model’s robustness and performance. The refined algorithm achieved superior returns while maintaining its high hit ratio and low maximum drawdown. Specifically, we leveraged 2X and 3X signals, incorporating volume data, the 52-week average, standard deviation, and other variables. The dataset comprised SPY ETF price and volume data spanning from 2010 to 2023, over 13 years. Our enhanced algorithmic model outperformed both the benchmark and previous iterations, achieving a hit rate of over 90%, a maximum drawdown of less than 1%, an average of 1.5 trades per year, a total return of 519.3%, and an annualized return (AnnR) of 15.1%. This analysis demonstrates that the model’s simplicity, ease of use, and interpretability provide valuable tools for investors, although it is important to note that past performance does not guarantee future returns.

Recent algorithmic-based research in the stock market has predominantly focused on ultra-high-frequency trading and index estimation. We developed an improved algorithm to address the need for a low-frequency, real-world trading model to build on the existing high hit-ratio and low maximum drawdown. We utilized established price indicators, Stochastic and Williams %R, and introduced a volume factor to increase the model's safety to enhance the model's performance. This improved algorithm demonstrated superior returns while maintaining high hit-ratio and low maximum drawdown. Specifically, we leveraged the existing algorithm to trade using 2X and 3X signals, incorporating volume data, the 52-week average, standard deviation, and other factors. The data set comprised SPY ETF price and volume from 2010 to 2023, covering over 13 years. Our enhanced algorithmic trading model outperformed both the benchmark and previous results, achieving a hit rate of over 90%, a maximum drawdown of less than 1%, an average of 1.5 trades per year, a total return of +519.3%, and an annualized return (AnnR) of +15.1%. The analysis demonstrates that the model's simplicity, ease of application, and comprehensibility can assist investors in making informed investment decisions albeit the past performance does not guarantee future returns.