Ensemble deep learning methods have demonstrated significant improvements in forecasting the solar panel power generation using historical time-series data. Although many studies have used ensemble deep learning methods with various data partitioning strategies, most have only focused on improving the predictive methods by associating several different models or combining hyperparameters and interactions. In this study, we contend that we can enhance the precision of power generation forecasting by identifying a suitable data partition strategy and establishing the ideal number of partitions and subset sizes. Thus, we propose a feasibility study of the influence of data partition strategies on ensemble deep learning. We selected five time-series data partitioning strategies—window, shuffle, pyramid, vertical, and seasonal—that allow us to identify different characteristics and features in the time-series data. We conducted various experiments on two sources of solar panel datasets collected in Seoul and Gyeongju, South Korea. Additionally, LSTM-based bagging ensemble models were applied to combine the advantages of several single LSTM models. The experimental results reveal that the data partition strategies positively influence the forecasting of power generation. Specifically, the results demonstrate that ensemble models with data partition strategies outperform single LSTM models by approximately 4–11% in terms of the coefficient of determination (R2) score.
As the usage of solar power generation increases, it has become essential to predict power generation accurately. Among the various factors that affect solar power generation, soiling on the panel surface drastically reduces solar power generation. Therefore, accurately identifying the area of soiling on the panel surface helps predict solar power generation. However, most existing studies classify the presence or absence of soiling on the panel or the type of soiling. Additionally, current datasets used for training these models, such as the Solar Panel Soiling Image (SPSI) dataset, suffer from limitations, including a lack of diversity in panel types and a small number of unique soiling shapes. To address these issues, we propose three novel data augmentation techniques—Naïve, Realistic, and Translucent—that generate diverse solar panel images with various soiling patterns. Using Pix2Pix and Copy-Paste methods, we created three corresponding datasets to address the imbalances in the existing SPSI dataset. We trained the DeepLabV3+ model for soiling localization using both the original SPSI dataset and our augmented datasets. Experimental evaluations on real-world solar panels installed at Chungbuk National University demonstrated that models trained on our proposed datasets significantly outperform those trained on SPSI data, with improvements in the Jaccard Index of 3.3%, 2.4%, and 14.6% for the Naïve, Realistic, and Translucent datasets, respectively. These results highlight the effectiveness of our data augmentation techniques for improving soiling localization in solar panels.
The supply of livestock products depends on many internal and external factors. Omitting any one factor can make it difficult to describe the market patterns. So, forecasting livestock indexes such as prices and supplies is challenging due to the effect of unknown factors. This paper proposes a Stacking Forest Ensemble method (SFE-NET) to forecast pork supply by considering both internal and external factors, thereby contributing to sustainable pork production. We first analyze the internal factors to explore features related to pork supply. External factors such as weather conditions, gas prices, and disease information are also collected from different sources. The combined dataset is from 2016 to 2022. Our SFE-NET method utilizes Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and XGBoost as members and a neural network as the meta-method. We conducted seven experiments for daily, weekly, and monthly pork supply using different sets of factors, such as internal, internal and external, and selected. The results showed the following findings: (a) The proposed method achieved Coefficient of Determination scores between 84% and 91% in short and long periods, (b) the external factors increased the performance of forecasting methods by about 2% to 12%, and (c) the proposed stacking ensemble method outperformed other comparative methods by 1% to 18%. These improvements in forecasting accuracy can help promote more sustainable pork production by enhancing market stability and resilience.
OPTICS is a state-of-the-art algorithm for visualizing density-based clustering structures of multi-dimensional datasets. However, OPTICS requires iterative distance computations for all objects and is thus computed in time, making it unsuitable for massive datasets. In this paper, we propose constrained OPTICS (C-OPTICS) to quickly create density-based clustering structures that are identical to those by OPTICS. C-OPTICS uses a bi-directional graph structure, which we refer to as the constraint graph, to reduce unnecessary distance computations of OPTICS. Thus, C-OPTICS achieves a good running time to create density-based clustering structures. Through experimental evaluations with synthetic and real datasets, C-OPTICS significantly improves the running time in comparison to existing algorithms, such as OPTICS, DeLi-Clu, and Speedy OPTICS (SOPTICS), and guarantees the quality of the density-based clustering structures.
Solar energy is an important alternative energy source, and it is essential to forecast solar power generation for efficient power management. Due to the seasonal characteristics of weather features, seasonal data partition strategies help develop prediction models that perform better in extreme weather-related situations. Most existing studies rely on fixed season partitions, such as meteorological and astronomical, where the start and end dates are specific. However, even if the countries are in the same Northern or Southern Hemisphere, seasonal changes can occur due to abnormal climates such as global warming. Therefore, we propose a novel unfixed seasonal data partition based on Symbolic Aggregate Approximation (SAX) to forecast solar power generation. Here, symbolic representations generated by SAX are used to select seasonal features and obtain seasonal criteria. We then employ two-layer stacked LSTM and combine predictions from various seasonal features and partitions through ensemble methods. The datasets used in the experiments are from real-world solar panel plants such as in Gyeongju, South Korea; and in California, USA. The results of the experiments show that the proposed methods perform better than non-partitioned or fixed-partitioned solar power generation forecasts. They outperform them by 2.2% to 3.5%; and 1.6% to 6.5% in the Gyeongju and California datasets, respectively.