Alejandro Aybar-Flores

Mr. Alejandro Aybar-Flores

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

4Years (2023-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
RMRocío Maehara
Rocío Maehara
LBLuis Benites
Luis Benites
ATAlvaro Talavera
Alvaro Talavera
AAAlejandro Aybar-Flores
Alejandro Aybar-Flores
MMMiguel Muñoz
Miguel Muñoz
Financial inclusion is a fundamental and multidimensional matter that has acquired importance on the global agenda in recent years. In addition, it is still a source of great interest and concern for lawmakers, international organizations, scholars, and financial institutions worldwide. In that regard, this research focuses on Peru to assess the country’s financial inclusion condition, which continues to face significant hurdles in providing financial services to its whole population despite economic improvement. The aim of this article is twofold, based on recent data on demand for financial services and financial culture in the country: (1) to empirically test how machine learning methods, such as decision trees, random forests, artificial neural networks, XGBoost, and support vector machines, can be a valuable complement to standard models (i.e., generalized linear models like logistic regression) for assessing financial inclusion in Peru, and (2) to identify the most influential sociodemographic factors on financial inclusion assessment in the country. The results may catalyze the integration of machine learning techniques into the Peruvian financial system, garnering the interest of finance researchers and policymakers committed to augmenting financial access and utilization among Peruvian consumers.

AAAlejandro Aybar-Flores
Alejandro Aybar-Flores
ATAlvaro Talavera
Alvaro Talavera
Elizabeth Espinoza-PortillaElizabeth Espinoza-Portilla
Elizabeth Espinoza-Portilla
Inadequate knowledge is one of the principal obstacles for preventing HIV/AIDS spread. Worldwide, it is reported that adolescents and young people have a higher vulnerability of being infected. Thus, the need to understand youths’ knowledge towards HIV/AIDS becomes crucial. This study aimed to identify the determinants and develop a predictive model to estimate HIV/AIDS knowledge among this target population in Peru. Data from the 2019 DHS Survey were used. The software RStudio and RapidMiner were used for quasi-binomial logistic regression and computational model building, respectively. Five classification algorithms were considered for model development and their performance was assessed using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, FPR, FNR, Cohen’s kappa, F1 score and AUC. The results revealed an association between 14 socio-demographic, economic and health factors and HIV/AIDS knowledge. The accuracy levels were estimated between 59.47 and 64.30%, with the random forest model showing the best performance (64.30%). Additionally, the best classifier showed that the gender of the respondent, area of residence, wealth index, region of residence, interviewee’s age, highest educational level, ethnic self-perception, having heard about HIV/AIDS in the past, the performance of an HIV/AIDS screening test and mass media access have a major influence on HIV/AIDS knowledge prediction. The results suggest the usefulness of the associations found and the random forest model as a predictor of knowledge of HIV/AIDS and may aid policy makers to guide and reinforce the planning and implementation of healthcare strategies.

Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
ATAlvaro Talavera
Alvaro Talavera
RMRocío Maehara
Rocío Maehara
LBLuis Benites
Luis Benites
BABenjamin Arriaga
Benjamin Arriaga
AAAlejandro Aybar-Flores
Alejandro Aybar-Flores
This study evaluates financial inclusion in Peru through self-organizing maps. Financial inclusion is a multidimensional issue of great importance on the global agenda and continues to concern various actors internationally. In this context, the objective is to assess the financial inclusion situation in the country and determine how self-organizing maps can complement standard models for this purpose. The empirical aim is to demonstrate how this technique can help identify priority areas and vulnerable groups, thus facilitating decision-making and policy design to improve the access to and use of financial services among Peruvian consumers by finding clearly defined profiles that allow the identification of potential problems within each category. This makes it possible to create customized strategies for each group, such as addressing the financial inclusion barriers faced by rural residents, compounded by low income and educational levels.

31 December 2024 in Global Health Action
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
AAAlejandro Aybar-Flores
Alejandro Aybar-Flores
ATAlvaro Talavera
Alvaro Talavera
Elizabeth Espinoza-PortillaElizabeth Espinoza-Portilla
Elizabeth Espinoza-Portilla
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) have evolved into a global development burden, with nearly 40 million infections and 25 million deaths. Compared to other age groups, youth have increased risks of contracting the disease due to social and health structural factors; thus, additional efforts are needed to effectively tackle the challenges associated with this age group. Epidemiological studies employing unsupervised learning techniques are essential for shaping public health policies. This study aimed to describe the Peruvian youth population based on their sociodemographic, health, and economic characteristics using an unsupervised learning approach through the development of a neural network model based on Kohonen's self-organizing maps (SOMs), allowing the identification of social profiles in the study population. This quantitative study used data from the 2019 Peruvian Demographic and Family Health Survey. An SOM network model for clustering individuals with similar attributes and clustering prototype vectors based on the agglomerative hierarchical clustering (AHC) method and their visualization on an SOM was applied to the study sample. Clustering of prototype vectors yielded four clusters, each of which represented a profile of Peruvian youths based on their knowledge of HIV/AIDS and structural health determinants. Kohonen's neural networks allowed the identification of patterns and behaviors among youths in Peru, quantifying and characterizing the four social clusters regarding HIV/AIDS and their social determinants. Kohonen's maps may benefit healthcare professionals and policymakers by offering a useful method for tailoring interventions and policies based on the detected profiles, thereby enhancing the visibility of these focal points at the national level.

2 July 2025 in Informatics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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AAAlejandro Aybar-Flores
Alejandro Aybar-Flores
Elizabeth Espinoza-PortillaElizabeth Espinoza-Portilla
Elizabeth Espinoza-Portilla
Mental health disparities among those who self-identify as gay men in Peru remain a pressing public health concern, yet predictive models for early identification remain limited. This research aims to (1) develop machine learning and deep learning models to predict mental health issues in those who self-identify as gay men, and (2) evaluate the influence of demographic, economic, health-related, behavioral and social factors using interpretability techniques to enhance understanding of the factors shaping mental health outcomes. A dataset of 2186 gay men from the First Virtual Survey for LGBTIQ+ People in Peru (2017) was analyzed, considering demographic, economic, health-related, behavioral, and social factors. Several classification models were developed and compared, including Logistic Regression, Artificial Neural Networks, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Machines, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, and a One-dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1D-CNN). Additionally, the Shapley values and Layer-wise Relevance Propagation (LRP) heatmaps methods were used to evaluate the influence of the studied variables on the prediction of mental health issues. The results revealed that the 1D-CNN model demonstrated the strongest performance, achieving the highest classification accuracy and discrimination capability. Explainability analyses underlined prior infectious diseases diagnosis, access to medical assistance, experiences of discrimination, age, and sexual identity expression as key predictors of mental health outcomes. These findings suggest that advanced predictive techniques can provide valuable insights for identifying at-risk individuals, informing targeted interventions, and improving access to mental health care. Future research should refine these models to enhance predictive accuracy, broaden applicability, and support the integration of artificial intelligence into public health strategies aimed at addressing the mental health needs of this population.