Riserless mud-recovery (RMR) drilling technology was widely applied in recent years. Compared with traditional deepwater drilling, RMR drilling can improve drilling efficiency, reduce risks, and minimize environmental effects. This paper focuses primarily on the stability of a mud-return circulation system in an RMR system. First, various factors that affect the stability of a mud-return circulation system are analyzed. An analytical model for the skid-and-mud-return line is established. Second, relevant data are derived from theoretical calculations and experiments. ABAQUS software is used to analyze the effects of each factor on the stability of the mud-return circulation system. The influencing patterns of each factor on the stability of the mud-return circulation system are summarized. Furthermore, the stability of the system under different operating conditions is analyzed based on the coupling of multiple factors. The support vector regression with derivative significance weight analysis (SVR-DWSA) algorithm is employed to perform a weight analysis of the effect on the system’s stability. Finally, based on the research findings on the stability of the mud-return circulation system, relevant conclusions and recommendations are drawn. The results of this study provide valuable references for the application of RMR technology.

Riserless Mud Recovery (RMR) technology, as an emerging and efficient drilling method, is advantageous to reduce the shallow flow hazards and the number of casings. The wave current effect is one of the reasons limiting the application of RMR technology in deep and ultra-deep water, and fewer quantitative and qualitative analyses of the effect of the current are made on the stability of conductors. This paper investigates the influence of the overturning moment generated by the continuous subsea internal wave flow and the soil resistance to the conductor. The numerical simulation software ABAQUS is used to study the effects of sea state recurrence period, seabed soil properties, conductor material, driving depth in the mud, and conductor wellhead height on the stability of the conductor, and the influence weights of the factors affecting the stability of the conductor are analyzed using the weight analysis algorithm of extreme learning machine-mean impact value (ELM-MIV). Finally, the qualitative and quantitative analyses affecting the stability of the conductor are carried out, which provide reference values for the application of the RMR technology.

A landing string is directly exposed to seawater and subjected to significant stresses and complex deformations due to environmental loads such as wind, waves, and ocean currents during the phase in which the drill string carries the casing to the wellhead. Meanwhile, as the water depth increases, the weight of the drill string increases, leading to an increase in the tensile loads borne by the drill string, which can easily cause a risk of failure. Therefore, a quasi-static load calculation model for the deepwater insertion of the pipe column was established. Using the Ansys platform, simulations were conducted for average wind, wave, and ocean current conditions during different months throughout the year. The ultimate loads and stress distributions of the string were derived from theoretical analyses and numerical simulations for different operational sea states, and the suggested safe operating window and desired BOP trolley restraining reaction force for landing strings’ lowering are given according to the existing industry standards. The research findings can help in identifying the potential risks and failure modes of the deepwater landing string under different working conditions.