Mass balance of glaciers in High Mountain Asia (HMA) varies substantially across the region. While the spatial variability is attributed to differences in climatic setting and sensitivity of these glaciers to climate change, an assessment of these factors to date has only been performed on a small sample of glaciers and a small set of climate perturbation scenarios. To advance the assessment to larger datasets, we first reconstruct the time series of reference-surface mass balance for 1952–2014 periods using an empirical model calibrated with observed mass balance from 45 glaciers across the HMA. Forcing the model with a set of independent stepwise changes of temperature (±0.5 K to ±6 K) and precipitation (±5% to ±30%), we assess the reference-surface mass balance sensitivity of each glacier in the sample. While the relationship between the change in mass balance and the change in precipitation is linear, the relationship with the change in temperature is non-linear. Spatial heterogeneity in the simulated mass balance sensitivities is attributed to differences in climatic setting, elevation, and the sensitivity of mass-balance profile (gradient) to changes in temperature and precipitation. While maritime and low-lying continental glaciers show high sensitivity to temperature changes and display a uniform mass-balance sensitivity with elevation, the high-lying continental glaciers show high sensitivity to precipitation changes and display a non-uniform mass-balance sensitivity with elevation. Our analysis reveals the dominant drivers of spatial variability in the mass balance sensitivity across the region: temperature as a single driver for maritime glaciers, and a superposition of temperature, precipitation seasonality, and snow/rain differentiation for continental glaciers. Finally, a set of sensitivity tests with perturbed model parameters confirms the robustness of our results. The model’s ability and robustness to resolve spatial patterns in the sensitivities and their drivers implies that simple modeling approaches remain a powerful tool for analyzing glacier response to climate change in HMA.

Most studies attribute the glacier mass balance within High Mountain Asia (HMA) to climate change, ignoring the influence of its complex terrain. Knowledge of the influence of this complex terrain is crucial for understanding the spatial variability in its mass balance. However, there is a lack of any systematic assessment of this influence across HMA. Therefore, in this study, we used the glacier outlines and raster data (SRTM DEM, slope and aspect) to calculate the topographic shading of all 97,965 glaciers within HMA during the ablation period, which is regarded as a major index of the influence of complex terrain on the mass balance. The results showed that 27.19% of HMA glacier area was subjected to topographic shading, and regional differences were significant with respect to both their altitudinal and spatial distributions. The topographic shading contributed to the protection of the smallest glaciers from solar illumination. Furthermore, we found a significant correlation between the topographic shading and mass balance in these small north-facing glaciers. However, these small glaciers were most prevalent in the north-facing orientation, especially in West Kunlun, East Kunlun, Inner Tibet Plateau and Qilian Shan, where shading was found to increase with decreases in the glacier area. This indicates that complex terrain can affect the spatial distribution of the mass balance by altering the solar illumination pattern.

Lake-terminating glaciers are among the most severely retreating glacier types in high mountain areas. However, the characteristic of being covered by glacial lakes after retreat makes it hard to estimate their actual ice loss in recent years, as does the contribution of different parts in ice loss, which leads to significant obstacles not only in evaluating solid water resources but understanding inter-relationships between glacial ice and glacial lakes. This study presents a detailed investigation of Jiongpu Co, one of the biggest glacial lakes in the Tibetan Plateau, including its bathymetry and area evolution. The ice loss in the last two decades was analyzed using a multisource DEM dataset. The main results showed that from 1976 to 2021, Jiongpu Co had expanded from 1.19 ± 0.09 km² to 5.34 ± 0.07 km². The volume of Jiongpu Co showed a surprising increment from 0.09 ± 0.004 Gt to 0.66 ± 0.03 Gt from 1976 to 2021, leading to a subaqueous equivalent ice loss of 0.32 ± 0.01 Gt water from 2000 to 2020 and resulting in an underestimated ice loss of 0.06 Gt, 19% compared with previous evaluations. The total ice loss of the Jiongpu glacier was 1.52 ± 0.37 Gt from 2000 to 2020, and more than 1/3 ice loss was related to lake expansion (0.32 ± 0.01 Gt underwater, 0.19 ± 0.02 Gt above water). This study makes a further contribution to the understanding of ice loss in the complicated system of lake-terminating glaciers.