To enhance the economic viability of wind energy in cold regions and ensure the safe operational management of wind farms, this paper proposes a short-term wind turbine blade icing wind power prediction method that combines principal component analysis (PCA) and fractional Lévy stable motion (fLsm). By applying supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data from wind turbines experiencing icing in a mountainous area of Yunnan Province, China, the model comprehensively considers long-range dependence (LRD) and self-similar features. Adopting a combined pattern of previous-day predictions and actual measurement data, the model predicts the power under near-icing conditions, thereby enhancing the credibility and accuracy of icing forecasts. After validation and comparison with other prediction models (fBm, CNN-Attention-GRU, XGBoost), the model demonstrates a remarkable advantage in accuracy, achieving an accuracy rate and F1 score of 96.86% and 97.13%, respectively. This study proves the feasibility and wide applicability of the proposed model, providing robust data support for reducing wind turbine efficiency losses and minimizing operational risks.

As the penetration of renewable energy sources (RESs), particularly wind power, continues to rise, the uncertainty in power systems increases. This challenges traditional optimal power flow (OPF) methods. This paper proposes a Calibrated Safety Constraints Optimal Power Flow (CSCOPF) model that uses the Improved Acceleration Coefficient-Based Bee Swarm algorithm (IACBS) in combination with the equivalent current injection (ECI) model. The proposed method addresses key challenges in wind-integrated power systems by ensuring preventive safety scheduling and enabling effective power incident safety analysis (PISA). This improves system reliability and stability. This method incorporates mixed-integer programming, with continuous and discrete variables representing power outputs and control mechanisms. Detailed numerical simulations were conducted on the IEEE 30-bus test system, and the feasibility of the proposed method was further validated on the IEEE 118-bus test system. The results show that the IACBS algorithm outperforms the existing methods in both computational efficiency and robustness. It achieves lower generation costs and faster convergence times. Additionally, the CSCOPF model effectively prevents power grid disruptions during critical incidents, ensuring that wind farms remain operational within predefined safety limits, even in fault scenarios. These findings suggest that the CSCOPF model provides a reliable solution for optimizing power flow in renewable energy-integrated systems, significantly contributing to grid stability and operational safety.

With the rapid development of renewable energy, accurately forecasting wind power is crucial for the stable operation of power systems and effective energy management. This paper proposes a short-term wind power forecasting method based on the Orthogonalized Maximal Information Coefficient (OMNIC) combined with an Adaptive fractional Generalized Pareto motion (fGPm) model. The method quantifies the influence of meteorological factors on wind power prediction and identifies the optimal set and number of influencing factors. The model accounts for long-range dependence (LRD) in time series data and constructs an uncertainty model using the properties and parameters of the fractional generalized Pareto distribution (GPD), significantly improving prediction accuracy under nonlinear conditions. The proposed approach was validated using a real dataset from a wind farm in northwest China and compared with other models such as Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network-Gated Recurrent Unit (CNN-GRU). Results show that the adaptive fGPm model reduces RMSE by 0.448 MW and 0.466 MW, MAPE by 6.936% and 9.702%, and achieves an average R² of 0.9826 compared to CNN-GRU and CNN-LSTM. The improvement is due to the dynamic adjustment to data trends and effective use of LRD features. This method provides practical value in improving wind power prediction accuracy and addressing grid integration and regulation challenges.

With the rapid development of renewable energy, accurately forecasting wind power is crucial for the stable operation of power systems and effective energy management. This paper proposes a short-term wind power forecasting method based on the Orthogonalized Maximal Information Coefficient (OMNIC) combined with an Adaptive Fractional Generalized Pareto Motion (fGPm) model. The method quantifies the influence of meteorological factors on wind power prediction and identifies the optimal set and number of influencing factors. The model accounts for long-range dependence (LRD) in time series data and constructs an uncertainty model using the properties and parameters of the fractional generalized Pareto distribution (GPD), significantly improving prediction accuracy under nonlinear conditions. The proposed approach was validated using a real dataset from a wind farm in northwest China and compared with other models such as Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network-Gated Recurrent Unit (CNN-GRU). Results demonstrate that the adaptive fGPm model significantly reduces wind power forecasting errors, offering high accuracy and robustness. This method provides practical value in alleviating peak voltage and frequency regulation challenges in power systems and in promoting the integration of wind power into the grid.

This paper presents the exact error analysis of point positioning equation used for airborne three-dimensional(3D) imaging sensor. With differential calculus and principles of precision analysis a mathematics formula on the point position error and relative factors is derived to show how each error source affects both vertical and horizontal coordinates. A comprehensive analysis of the related error sources and their achievable accuracy are provided. At last, two example figures are shown to compare the position accuracy of elliptical trace scan and the line-trace scan are drawn under the same error source and some corresponding conclusions.