The agro-pastoral ecotone in northern China is the main production area of agriculture and animal husbandry, in which agricultural development relies entirely on groundwater. Due to the increasing water consumption of groundwater year by year, groundwater resources are becoming increasingly scarce. The substantial water demand and low germination rate in the first year are the main characteristics of alfalfa (Medicago sativa L.) yield in the agro-pastoral ecotone in northern China. Due to unscientific irrigation, water resources are seriously wasted, which restricts the development of local agriculture and animal husbandry. The study constructed the Dssat-Forages-Alfalfa model and used soil water content, leaf area index, and yield data collected with in situ observation experiments in 2022 and 2023 to calibrate and validate the parameters. The study found ARE < 10%, E_NRMS < 15%, and R² ≥ 0.85. The model simulation accuracy was acceptable. The study revealed that the water consumption at the surface soil layer (0–20 cm) was more than 6~12% and 13~31% than that at the 20–40 cm and 40–60 cm soil layers, respectively. The study showed when the irrigation quota was 30 mm, the annual yield of alfalfa (Medicago sativa L.) (7435 kg/ha) was consistent with that of the irrigation quota of 33 mm, and increased by 3.99% to 5.34% and 6.86% to 10.67% compared with that of irrigation quotas of 27 mm and 24 mm, respectively. To ensure the germination rate of alfalfa (Medicago sativa L.), it is recommended to control the initial soil water content at 0.8 θ_fc~1.0 θ_fc, with an irrigation quota of 30 mm, which was the best scheme for water-use efficiency and economic yield. The study aimed to provide technological support for the rational utilization of groundwater and the scientific improvement of alfalfa yield in the agro-pastoral ecotone in northern China.

Groundwater resources serve as the primary source of water in the agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China, where scarcity of water resources constrains the development of agriculture and animal husbandry. As a typical rainfed agricultural area, the agro-pastoral ecotone in Inner Mongolia is entirely dependent on groundwater for agricultural irrigation. Due to the substantial groundwater consumption of irrigated farmland, groundwater levels have been progressively declining. To obtain a sustainable irrigation pattern that significantly conserves water, this study faces the challenge of unclear water transport relationships among water, soil, and crops, undefined water cycle mechanism in typical irrigation units, and water use efficiency, which was not assessed. Therefore, this paper, based on in situ experimental observations and daily meteorological data in 2022–2023, utilized the DSSAT model to explore the growth processes of potato, oat, alfalfa, and sunflower, the soil water dynamics, the water balance, and water use efficiency, analyzed over a typical irrigation area. The results indicated that the simulation accuracy of the DSSAT model was ARE < 10%, nRMSE/% < 10%, and R² ≥ 0.85. The consumption of the soil moisture during the rapid growth stage for the potatoes, oats, alfalfa, and sunflower was 7–13% more than that during the other periods, and the yield was 67,170, 3345, 6529, and 4020 kg/ha, respectively. The soil evaporation of oat, potato, alfalfa, and sunflower accounted for 18–22%, 78–82%; 57–68%, and 32–43%, and transpiration accounted for 40–44%, 56–60%, 45–47%, and 53–55% of ETa (333.8 mm–369.2 mm, 375.2 mm–414.2 mm, 415.7 mm–453.7 mm, and 355.0 mm–385.6 mm), respectively. It was advised that irrigation water could be appropriately reduced to decrease ineffective water consumption. The water use efficiency and irrigation water use efficiency for potatoes was at the maximum amount, ranging from 16.22 to 16.62 kg/m³ and 8.61 to 10.81 kg/m³, respectively, followed by alfalfa, sunflowers, and oats. For the perspective of water productivity, it was recommended that potatoes could be extensively cultivated, alfalfa planted appropriately, and oats and sunflowers planted less. The findings of this study provided a theoretical basis for efficient water resource use in the agro-pastoral ecotone of Northern China.

(1) Background: Effective water management in agricultural systems poses a significant challenge, particularly in the Dengkouyangshui irrigation district. Inefficiencies and insufficient detail in water usage across crop growth stages have resulted in suboptimal water cycling. Recent infrastructure improvements and technological interventions necessitate a reevaluation of water usage, especially concerning changes in irrigation and seepage dynamics. (2) Methods: This study addresses these concerns by employing an integrated modeling approach that combines the DSSAT with the HYDRUS-1D soil hydrology model to simulate complex interactions among soil, crop growth, and irrigation practices within the district. Observational data were used to calibrate and validate the integrated model, including soil moisture, LAI, and crop yields from the 2022 and 2023 agricultural seasons. (3) Results: The simulation results strongly align with the empirical data, highlighting the ability of the model to capture the intricate dynamics of soil–water–atmosphere–plant interactions. (4) Conclusions: The soil’s retention and moisture-holding characteristics exhibited resilience during periods without water supplementation, with measurable declines in soil moisture at various depths, indicating the soil’s capacity to support crops in water-limited conditions. This study delineates water consumption by maize crops throughout their growth cycle, providing insights into evapotranspiration partitioning and quantifying seepage losses. An in-depth analysis of water balances at different growth stages informs irrigation strategies, suggesting optimal volumes to enhance efficiency during critical crop development phases. This integrative modeling approach is valuable for providing actionable data to optimize the water cycling process and improve agricultural sustainability in the Dengkouyangshui irrigation district.

This study addresses challenges such as insufficient irrigation water quotas, severe groundwater over-extraction, and conflicts around crop water usage within the mixed-cropping areas of the Inner Mongolia Yellow River Basin. Five evaluation factors—water resource utilization efficiency, irrigation rate, degree of development and utilization, supply modulus, and demand modulus—were selected for a gray relational analysis to assess the 2023 water resource carrying capacity. A crop structure optimization model was developed using machine learning, focusing on minimizing water use while maximizing economic benefits. The results indicate that groundwater resources are nearing critical levels, with many regions showing low carrying capacities and supply–demand conflicts. Key issues include unreasonable planting structures and excessive irrigation quotas, leading to significant water waste. To optimize resource utilization, it is recommended to reduce the food crop planting area by 0.0194 × 10⁴ hm² and increase economic and forage crops by 0.0106 × 10⁴ hm² and 0.0116 × 10⁴ hm², respectively. This adjustment would lead to a total water utilization reduction of 0.0289 × 10⁶ m³ per year, an increase in total yield of 4340.86 tons, and an increase in total economic benefit of CNY 6,559,200, thus leading the cropping structure towards greater rationality. The findings provide valuable insights for optimal water resource allocation in mixed-cropping irrigation areas.