Glioblastoma (GBM), the most aggressive primary brain tumor, has a current 5-year survival rate of 5% in the United States.
1 However, a small subset of patients do experience longer survival, suggesting underlying heterogeneity; therefore, development of better prognostic classification models is crucial. The first effort to comprehensively analyze GBM patient survival by prognostic grouping was published in 1993, using recursive partitioning analysis (RPA), a nonparametric statistical technique that creates distinct prognostic groups based on combinations of variables.
2 This initial RPA analysis included both GBM and anaplastic astrocytoma patients, who received radiation with and without chemotherapy or a radiation sensitizer. Based on clinical and histological characteristics, this analysis identified 6 prognostic classes (I-VI) with distinct survival outcomes.
2 Subsequently, a follow-up study involving only patients with GBM revised the original RPA model into 3 classes (III, IV, and V/VI),
3 and this has been applied to many recent GBM clinical trials. Although the current RPA appears to accurately stratify patients in the temozolomide era,
4 the original classes were not identified using a training set of temozolomide-treated patients and may not reflect the most accurate prognostic classes. Moreover, as recent studies have revealed key molecular pathways associated with pathogenesis of GBM, it was hypothesized that inclusion of corresponding proteins could enhance the discriminatory power of the current, RPA model. Therefore, we incorporated potential protein-based variables using specimens from the NRG Oncology (RTOG) 0525 trial, a phase 3 trial that compared standard adjuvant temozolomide vs a dose-dense schedule in patients with newly diagnosed GBM.
5 No statistical difference in survival outcomes was found between the 2 arms of NRG Oncology RTOG 0525.