The aim of this study is to analyze which factors affect the profitability of banks in the eurozone and to make recommendations for supporting them to achieve higher levels of profitability in particular eurozone countries. The banks operating in the eurozone are specific that they are under one monetary policy. The main purpose of the banks’ profitability analysis is to identify main bank-specific and macroeconomic determinants and help bank management to more fully comprehend their importance of bank-specific determinants and macroeconomic determinants’ influence when measuring and evaluating bank profitability. For the purpose of this research, we analyze the impact of bank-specific determinants (NPL, CIR, NIM, NIF and NIT) and macroeconomic determinants (GDP, INF, UNM and DEBT) on bank profitability in the eurozone for the period of 2015–2020 using a random effects model, fixed effects model, and the general method of moments (GMM). This empirical research analyzed quarterly data series from Eurostat for eighteen countries in the eurozone. We came to the results that on the eurozone-level NPL, the cost-to-income ratio has a negative impact on the banks’ profitability, while the net interest income to the operating income, the net income for trading assets to the operating income and the net fee and commission income to the operating income have a positive impact on the banks’ profitability. Considering the macroeconomic variables, we found a positive impact only in the case of GDP, while the inflation rate, unemployment rate and gross government debt have shown a negative impact on the banks’ profitability. The main contribution of this study implies different panel techniques with two uncommonly used macroeconomic variables such as the unemployment rate and debt ratio. The results on the country level differ from country to country and these findings can give a lead to policy makers on the national level on how to enhance the banks’ profitability levels.
In a research paper, the authors provide an empirical approach to taxes and economic growth in the United States in the period 1996-2016. The basic goal is to explore how taxes affect economic growth. The subject of the research is measuring the effects of tax revenue growth and tax form as a personal income tax, corporate income tax and social security contributions on gross domestic product as a proxy for economic growth. Methodology framework includes several tests to clear the potential problem of heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, multicollinearity and specification of the model. Based on diagnostic tests, a regression model is adequately created where fundamental econometric procedures are applied. Correlation matrix reflects a strong and positive relationship between tax revenue growth and corporate income tax on the one side and gross domestic product growth, on the another side. Also, personal income tax and social security contributions are weakly related to gross domestic product growth. The model shows a significant effect of tax revenue growth and social security contributions, while personal income tax and corporate income tax do not have a significant impact on gross domestic product growth. Interestingly, personal income tax as the main tax form in the tax structure of the United States has no significant impact on economic growth compared to social security contributions which percentage share is lesser.
The paper shows an econometric approach to environmental taxes, economic growth and go- vernment expenditures in Visegrad Group (VG) countries from 1995 to 2018. The aim of this research is to explore how environmental taxes affect economic gr...
1 January 2020 in Anali Ekonomskog fakulteta u Subotici
This research examines the relationship between indirect taxes and gross domestic product per capita in the Republic of Serbia from 2005 to 2019. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the long-run relationship between value added tax, excises and gross domestic product per capita based on Johansen cointegration test. The empirical analysis includes descriptive statistics, unit root test, cointegration test and FMOLS model. The results reveal a long-run relationship between indirect taxes such as value added tax and excises and the gross domestic product per capita in the Republic of Serbia for the observed period. Empirical findings confirm that revenues of value added tax and excises have positive and significant effect on the gross domestic product per capita in the long-run.
The issue of non-performing loans (NPLs) in a bank’s portfolio is important for a bank’s stability and sustainability. Their increased presence indicates a potential worsening of the economy and a lower quality of the bank’s assets. We estimated determinants of non-performing loans in the Eurozone for quarterly data 2015–2020. The results confirmed spatial spillover effects within Eurozone countries, which means that when a shock happens in one country in the Eurozone, it will also affect the other economies of the Eurozone area. Based on the Hausman test, a fixed-effects model was chosen as appropriate and showed that bank-specific and macroeconomic determinants significantly affect NPLs in these economies. In relation to previous studies that dealt with this issue, a co-integration analysis was introduced. A significant impact of return on assets, return on equity, and the loan-to-deposit ratio, as well as the gross domestic product, inflation, and exchange rate on NPLs in the short run and long run, was confirmed using a Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator. Bank management should customize credit policy based on both internal and external conditions to improve their performance, focusing on enhancing profitability and maintaining a lower loan-to-deposit ratio to reduce NPLs. The research suggests that a higher gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate is associated with fewer NPLs, while inflation uncertainty and a volatile exchange rate can increase NPLs, highlighting the importance of adjusting strategies to the macroeconomic landscape.
Tourism plays an increasingly important role in the economic flows of each country. Recognizing the tourist potential of AP Vojvodina is an important task for the creators of the economic policy of our country. In order to make a favourable tourism environment with quality tourist content and products, it is necessary for tourist entities to operate stably and successfully. The aim of this paper is to highlight the importance of financial performance of firms in tourism sector in terms of profitability. The subject of the paper is to analyse the effects of internal factors on profitability level of 3456 firms in tourism sector in AP Vojvodina for the period 2015-2019. The results of the analysis indicate that observed firms were profitable during the analysed period, where average ROA was 1.81% and average ROE was 3.4%. Empirical analysis shows that internal factors such as firm size, sales revenue, earnings before interest and taxes and financial stability have positive impact on profitability, while liquidity and debt negatively affect the profitability of firms in tourism sector.