Paulina Ordoñez

Dr. Paulina Ordoñez

Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City 04510, Mexico

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

15Years (2012-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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28 February 2013 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
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Journal Article
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CPCristina Pena‐Ortiz
Cristina Pena‐Ortiz
DGDavid Gallego
David Gallego
Pedro RiberaPedro Ribera
Pedro Ribera
POPaulina Ordoñez
Paulina Ordoñez
M. Carmen Alvarez-CastroM. Carmen Alvarez-Castro
M. Carmen Alvarez-Castro
In this paper, we propose a new method based on the detection of jet cores with the aim to describe the climatological features of the jet streams and to estimate their trends in latitude, altitude, and velocity in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and 20th Century reanalysis data sets. Due to the fact that the detection method uses a single grid point to define the position of jet cores, our results reveal a greater latitudinal definition allowing a more accurate picture of the split flow configurations and double jet structures. To the best of our knowledge, these results provide the first multiseasonal and global trend analysis of jet streams based on a daily‐resolution 3‐D detection algorithm. Trends have been analyzed over 1958–2008 and during the post‐satellite period, 1979–2008. We found that, in general, trends in jet velocities and latitudes have been faster for the Southern Hemisphere jets and especially for the southern polar front jet which has experienced the fastest velocity increase and poleward shift over 1979–2008 during the austral summer and autumn. Results presented here show an acceleration and a poleward shift of the northern and southern winter subtropical jets over 1979–2008 that occur at a faster rate and over larger zonally extended regions during this latter period than during 1958–2008.

12 September 2013 in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
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Margarida L. R. LiberatoMargarida L. R. Liberato
Margarida L. R. Liberato
JPJ. G. Pinto
J. G. Pinto
RTRicardo Machado Trigo
Ricardo Machado Trigo
PLPatrick Ludwig
Patrick Ludwig
POPaulina Ordoñez
Paulina Ordoñez
Isabel TrigoIsabel Trigo
Isabel Trigo
In winter of 2009–2010 south-western Europe was hit by several destructive windstorms. The most important was Xynthia (26–28 February 2010), which caused 64 reported casualties and was classified as the 2nd most expensive natural hazard event for 2010 in terms of economic losses. In this work we assess the synoptic evolution, dynamical characteristics and the main impacts of storm Xynthia, whose genesis, development and path were very uncommon. Wind speed gusts observed at more than 500 stations across Europe are evaluated as well as the wind gust field obtained with a regional climate model simulation for the entire North Atlantic and European area. Storm Xynthia was first identified on 25 February around 30° N, 50° W over the subtropical North Atlantic Ocean. Its genesis occurred on a region characterized by warm and moist air under the influence of a strong upper level wave embedded in the westerlies. Xynthia followed an unusual SW–NE path towards Iberia, France and central Europe. The role of moist air masses on the explosive development of Xynthia is analysed by considering the evaporative sources. A lagrangian model is used to identify the moisture sources, sinks and moisture transport associated with the cyclone during its development phase. The main supply of moisture is located over an elongated region of the subtropical North Atlantic Ocean with anomalously high SST, confirming that the explosive development of storm Xynthia had a significant contribution from the subtropics.

9 September 2020 in Atmosphere
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Ana Durán-QuesadaAna Durán-Quesada
Ana Durán-Quesada
Rogert SoríRogert Sorí
Rogert Sorí
POPaulina Ordoñez
Paulina Ordoñez
Luis GimenoLuis Gimeno
Luis Gimeno
The Intra–Americas Seas region is known for its relevance to air–sea interaction processes, the contrast between large water masses and a relatively small continental area, and the occurrence of extreme events. The differing weather systems and the influence of variability at different spatio–temporal scales is a characteristic feature of the region. The impact of hydro–meteorological extreme events has played a huge importance for regional livelihood, having a mostly negative impact on socioeconomics. The frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events and droughts are often discussed in terms of their impact on economic activities and access to water. Furthermore, future climate projections suggest that warming scenarios are likely to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme events, which poses a major threat to vulnerable communities. In a region where the economy is largely dependent on agriculture and the population is exposed to the impact of extremes, understanding the climate system is key to informed policymaking and management plans. A wealth of knowledge has been published on regional weather and climate, with a majority of studies focusing on specific components of the system. This study aims to provide an integral overview of regional weather and climate suitable for a wider community. Following the presentation of the general features of the region, a large scale is introduced outlining the main structures that affect regional climate. The most relevant climate features are briefly described, focusing on sea surface temperature, low–level circulation, and rainfall patterns. The impact of climate variability at the intra–seasonal, inter–annual, decadal, and multi–decadal scales is discussed. Climate change is considered in the regional context, based on current knowledge for natural and anthropogenic climate change. The present challenges in regional weather and climate studies have also been included in the concluding sections of this review. The overarching aim of this work is to leverage information that may be transferred efficiently to support decision–making processes and provide a solid foundation on regional weather and climate for professionals from different backgrounds.

26 October 2017 in International Journal of Climatology
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JPJuliet Perdigón‐Morales
Juliet Perdigón‐Morales
RRRosario Romero-Centeno
Rosario Romero-Centeno
PÉPérez
Pérez
POPaulina Ordoñez
Paulina Ordoñez
BBBradford Barrett
Bradford Barrett

6 January 2012 in Hydrological Processes
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Journal Article
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POPaulina Ordoñez
Paulina Ordoñez
Pedro RiberaPedro Ribera
Pedro Ribera
DGDavid Gallego
David Gallego
CPCristina Peña‐Ortiz
Cristina Peña‐Ortiz

4 April 2019 in Journal of Climate
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Journal Article
Closed access
JPJuliet Perdigón-Morales
Juliet Perdigón-Morales
RRRosario Romero-Centeno
Rosario Romero-Centeno
BBBradford Barrett
Bradford Barrett
POPaulina Ordoñez
Paulina Ordoñez
The aim of this study is to understand how the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) modulates the bimodal seasonal rainfall distribution across the regions in Mexico where the midsummer drought (MSD) occurs. The MSD is characterized by a precipitation decrease in the middle of the rainy season. Relative frequencies of each active phase of the Real-time Multivariate MJO index were calculated at each grid point in the high-resolution Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) rainfall dataset for the first (MAX1) and second (MAX2) rainfall peaks and the MSD minimum (MIN). In addition, standardized anomalies of precipitation (from the CHIRPS dataset) and 300-hPa omega, 500-hPa geopotential height, and 850-hPa u- and υ-wind components (from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis) were calculated for each MJO phase and each month in the rainy season. Results show that the MIN (MAX2) occurs more frequently during the dry (wet) MJO phases, while the MJO seems not to influence MAX1 significantly. Anomalous anticyclonic (cyclonic) circulations at 850 hPa, positive (negative) 500-hPa geopotential height anomalies, northeast (southwest) 850-hPa wind anomalies over southern Mexico, and a low-level westward (eastward) flow in the northeastern tropical Pacific support the MIN (MAX2) pattern under the influence of the dry (wet) MJO phases. These features are more clearly observed in the MSDs of 1- and 2-month duration and over the southern half of Mexico. The results suggest that the bimodal distribution is less influenced by the MJO in regions of northeastern Mexico.