Significant Wave Height (SWH) is a crucial parameter in ocean wave dynamics, impacting coastal safety, maritime transportation, and meteorological research. Building upon the TimesNet neural network, a recent advancement in the realm of time series prediction in deep learning, this study proposes an integrated approach combining Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) with TimesNet, introducing the EMD-TimesNet model for SWH forecasting. The TimesNet model’s multidimensional spatial mapping guarantees effective historical information extraction, while the EMD approach makes it easier to decompose subsequence characteristics inside the original SWH data. The predicted Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Correlation Coefficient (CC) values of the EMD-TimesNet model are 0.0494 m and 0.9936; 0.0982 m and 0.9747; and 0.1573 m and 0.9352 at 1 h, 3 h, and 6 h, respectively. The results indicate that the EMD-TimesNet model outperforms existing models, including the TimesNet, Autoformer, Transformer, and CNN-BiLSTM-Attention models, both in terms of overall evaluation metrics and prediction performance for diverse sea states. This integrated model represents a promising advancement in enhancing the accuracy of SWH predictions.

In this study, a global-ocean-data-assimilation system based on the three-dimensional variational (3DVAR) scheme is built for operational oceanography. The available observations include satellite altimetry; the satellite-measured sea-surface temperature (SST); and T/S profiles from Argo floats, which are assimilated to provide the initial condition of the global-ocean forecasting. The statistical analysis methods are designed to assess the performance of the data-assimilation scheme, and the results show that the analysis SST fields agree well with OSTIA and MGDSST, and the corresponding root-mean-square errors are, respectively, 0.523 and 0.548 °C. Moreover, the analysis sea-surface-height fields are well represented at the middle and low latitudes and have a slightly greater difference in the regions with strong mesoscale eddies. The variations in the vertical distribution of the forecasting temperature profiles resemble those of the GTS buoy observation. The forecasting salinity profiles correspond well to GTS observations, except with a weaker cold bias between the depths 100 and 200 m (about 0.2 PSU) at buoy station 2901494. Overall, our 3DVAR assimilation system plays a significant role in improving the accuracy of analysis and forecasting fields for operational oceanography.

Three-dimensional ocean temperature field data with high temporal-spatial resolution bears a significant impact on ocean dynamic processes such as mesoscale eddies. In recent years, with the rapid development of remote sensing data, deep learning methods have provided new ideas for the reconstruction of ocean information. In the present study, based on sea surface data, a deep learning model is constructed using the U-net method to reconstruct the three-dimensional temperature structure of the Northwest Pacific and offshore China. Next, the correlation between surface data and underwater temperature structure is established, achieving the construction of a three-dimensional ocean temperature field based on sea surface height and sea surface temperature. A three-dimensional temperature field for the water layers within the depth of 1700 m in the Northwest Pacific and offshore China is reconstructed, featuring a spatial resolution of 0.25°. Control experiments are conducted to explore the impact of different input variables, labels, and loss functions on the reconstruction results. This study’s results show that the reconstruction accuracy of the model is higher when the input variables are anomalies of sea surface temperature and sea surface height. The reconstruction results using the mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) loss functions are highly similar, indicating that these two loss functions have no significant impact on the results, and only in the upper ocean does the MSE value slightly outperform MAE. Overall, the results show a rather good spatial distribution, with relatively large errors only occurring in areas where the temperature gradient is strong. The reconstruction error remains quite stable over time. Furthermore, an analysis is conducted on the temporal-spatial characteristics of some mesoscale eddies in the inversed temperature field. It is shown that the U-net network can effectively reconstruct the temporal-spatial distribution characteristics of eddies at different times and in different regions, providing a good fit for the eddy conditions in offshore China and the Northwest Pacific. The inversed eddy features are in high agreement with the eddies in the original data.

Using in situ observational data is an important way to study the Arctic environment. However, due to the high-latitude seasonal variation, in situ observations in this region are relatively sparse. To maximize the use of in situ observations, we assemble an Arctic Ocean thermohaline dataset (AOTD) including 414221 available temperature and salinity profiles for the period 1983–2023, with observations from the Chinese Arctic Research Expedition and public data from other databases and observations plans such as the International Polar Year. Also, a unified quality control method is discussed, and strict quality control is applied to these profiles. A gridded dataset of climatological monthly mean temperature, salinity, and Ocean Heat Content derived from an objective analysis of profiles is also presented. The climatology has a horizontal resolution of 0.25° × 0.25°, with 57 vertical layers spanning the 0–1500 m depth range, can help us better understand the Arctic Ocean. AOTD climatology offers importance for the research on thermodynamic processes, spatial and temporal variability of water masses, and oceanic structures in the Arctic Ocean.

In this study, a global analysis and forecasting system at 1/12° is built for operational oceanography at the National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center (NMEFC) by using the NEMO ocean model (NMEFC-NEMO). First, statistical analysis methods are designed to evaluate the performance of sea level anomaly (SLA) forecasting. The results indicate that the NMEFC-NEMO performs well in SLA forecasting when compared with the Mercator-PSY4, Mercator-PSY3, UK-FOAM, CONCEPTS-GIOPS and Bluelink-OceanMAPS forecasting systems. The respective root-mean-squared errors (RMSEs) of NMEFC-NEMO (Mercator PSY4) are 0.0654 m (0.0663 m) and 0.0797 m (0.0767 m) for the lead times of 1 and 7 days. The anomaly correlation coefficients between forecasting and observations exceed 0.8 for the NMEFC-NEMO and Mercator-PSY4 systems, suggesting that the accuracy of SLA predicted using NMEFC-NEMO is comparable to Mercator PSY4 and superior to other forecasting systems. Moreover, the global spatial distribution of oceanic eddies are effectively represented in NMEFC-NEMO when compared to that in the HYCOM reanalysis, and the detection rate reaches more than 90% relative to HYCOM reanalysis. Regarding the strong eddies in the Kuroshio region, the NMEFC-NEMO reproduces the characteristic for anticyclonic and cyclonic eddies merging and splitting alternatively. As for the detective eddies in the Gulf Stream, NMEFC-NEMO effectively represents the spatial distribution of mesoscale eddies from different seasons. The amplitude of oceanic eddies, including both cyclones and anticyclones, were much stronger on 1 July 2019 than 1 January 2019. Overall, NMEFC-NEMO has a superior performance in SLA forecasting and effectively represents the oceanic mesoscale eddies for operational oceanography.