A sound assessment of in silico models and their applicability domain can support the use of new approach methodologies (NAMs) in chemical risk assessment and requires increasing the users’ confidence in this approach. Several approaches have been proposed to evaluate the applicability domain of such models, but their prediction power still needs a thorough assessment. In this context, the VEGA tool capable of assessing the applicability domain of in silico models is examined for a range of toxicological endpoints. The VEGA tool evaluates chemical structures and other features related to the predicted endpoints and is efficient in measuring applicability domain, enabling the user to identify less accurate predictions. This is demonstrated with many models addressing different endpoints, towards toxicity of relevance to human health, ecotoxicological endpoints, environmental fate, physicochemical and toxicokinetic properties, for both regression models and classifiers.
Carcinogenicity is a crucial endpoint for the safety assessment of chemicals and products. During the last few decades, the development of quantitative structure–activity relationship ((Q)SAR) models has gained importance for regulatory use, in combination with in vitro testing or expert-based reasoning. Several classification models can now predict both human and rat carcinogenicity, but there are few models to quantitatively assess carcinogenicity in humans. To our knowledge, slope factor (SF), a parameter describing carcinogenicity potential used especially for human risk assessment of contaminated sites, has never been modeled for both inhalation and oral exposures. In this study, we developed classification and regression models for inhalation and oral SFs using data from the Risk Assessment Information System (RAIS) and different machine learning approaches. The models performed well in classification, with accuracies for the external set of 0.76 and 0.74 for oral and inhalation exposure, respectively, and r2 values of 0.57 and 0.65 in the regression models for oral and inhalation SFs in external validation. These models might therefore support regulators in (de)prioritizing substances for regulatory action and in weighing evidence in the context of chemical safety assessments. Moreover, these models are implemented on the VEGA platform and are now freely downloadable online.
Read-across applies the principle of similarity to identify the most similar substances to represent a given target substance in data-poor situations. However, differences between the target and the source substances exist. The present study aims to screen and assess the effect of the key components in a molecule which may escape the evaluation for read-across based only on the most similar substance(s) using a new open-access software: Virtual Extensive Read-Across (VERA). VERA provides a means to assess similarity between chemicals using structural alerts specific to the property, pre-defined molecular groups and structural similarity. The software finds the most similar compounds with a certain feature, e.g., structural alerts and molecular groups, and provides clusters of similar substances while comparing these similar substances within different clusters. Carcinogenicity is a complex endpoint with several mechanisms, requiring resource intensive experimental bioassays and a large number of animals; as such, the use of read-across as part of new approach methodologies would support carcinogenicity assessment. To test the VERA software, carcinogenicity was selected as the endpoint of interest for a range of botanicals. VERA correctly labelled 70% of the botanicals, indicating the most similar substances and the main features associated with carcinogenicity.
A broad set of rules has been implemented within the ToxRead software for read-across of chemicals for bacterial mutagenicity. These rules were obtained by manually analyzing more than 6000 chemicals and the associated chemical classes. A hierarchy of rules was established to identify those most specifically relating to the target compounds, linked in sequence to the other, more generic ones, which may match with the target compound. Rules related to both mutagenicity and lack of mutagenicity were found. Some of the latter are exceptions to the mutagenicity rules, while others are modulators of activity. These rules can also be used to predict mutagenicity, offering good performance.