Genomic prediction integrates statistical, genomic, and computational tools to improve the estimation of breeding values and increase genetic gain. Due to the broad diversity in mating systems, breeding schemes, propagation methods, and unit of selection, no universal genomic prediction approach can be applied in all crops. In a genome-wide family prediction (GWFP) approach, the family is the basic unit of selection. We tested GWFP in two loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) datasets: a breeding population composed of 63 full-sib families (5–20 individuals per family), and a simulated population with the same pedigree structure. In both populations, phenotypic and genomic data was pooled at the family level in silico. Marker effects were estimated to compute genomic estimated breeding values (GEBV) at the individual and family (GWFP) levels. Less than six individuals per family produced inaccurate estimates of family phenotypic performance and allele frequency. Tested across different scenarios, GWFP predictive ability was higher than those for GEBV in both populations. Validation sets composed of families with similar phenotypic mean and variance as the training population yielded predictions consistently higher and more accurate than other validation sets. Results revealed potential for applying GWFP in breeding programs whose selection unit are family, and for systems where family can serve as training sets. The GWFP approach is well suited for crops that are routinely genotyped and phenotyped at the plot-level, but it can be extended to other breeding programs. Higher predictive ability obtained with GWFP would motivate the application of genomic prediction in these situations.
Genomic selection (GS) has proven to be an effective method to increase genetic gain rates and accelerate breeding cycles in many crop species. However, its implementation requires large investments to phenotype of the training population and for routine genotyping. Alfalfa ( Medicago sativa L.) is one of the major cultivated forage legumes, showing high‐quality nutritional value. Alfalfa breeding is usually carried out by phenotypic recurrent selection and is commonly done at the family level. The application of GS in alfalfa could be simplified and less costly by genotyping and phenotyping families in bulks. For this study, an alfalfa reference population composed of 142 full‐sib and 35 half‐sib families was bulk‐genotyped using target enrichment sequencing and phenotyped for dry matter yield (DMY) and canopy height (CH) in Florida, USA. Genotyping of the family bulks with 17,707 targeted probes resulted in 114,945 single‐nucleotide polymorphisms. The markers revealed a population structure that matched the mating design, and the linkage disequilibrium slowly decayed in this breeding population. After exploring multiple prediction scenarios, a strategy was proposed including data from multiple harvests and accounting for the G×E in the training population, which led to a higher predictive ability of up to 38 and 24% for DMY and CH, respectively. Although this study focused on the implementation of GS in alfalfa families, the bulk methodology and the prediction schemes used herein could guide future studies in alfalfa and other crops bred in bulks.
Breeding for dry matter yield and persistence in alfalfa ( Medicago sativa L.) can take several years as these traits must be evaluated under multiple harvests. Therefore, genotype‐by‐harvest interaction should be incorporated into genomic prediction models to explore genotypes’ adaptability and stability. In this study, we investigated how enviromics could help to predict the genotypic performance under multiharvest alfalfa breeding trials by evaluating 177 families across 11 harvests under four cross‐validation scenarios. All scenarios were analyzed using six models in a Bayesian mixed model framework. Our results demonstrate that models accounting to the enviromics information led to an increase of genetic variance and a decrease in the error variance, indicating better biological explanation when the enviromic information was incorporated. Furthermore, models that accounted for enviromic data led to higher predictive ability (PA) in a reduced number of harvests used in the training data set. The best enviromic models (M2 and M3) outperformed the base model (GBLUP model—M0) for predicting adaptability and persistence across all cross‐validation scenarios. Incorporating environmental covariates also provided higher PA for persistence compared with the base model, as predictions increased from 0 to 0.16, 0.20, 0.56, and 0.46 for CV00, CV1, CV0, and CV2. The results also demonstrate that GBLUP without enviromics term has low power to predict persistence, thus the adoption of enviromics is a cheap and efficient alternative to increase accuracy and biological meaning.
Brazilian potato production is based on cultivars originating from the USA and Europe; however, these cultivars were developed under different environmental conditions than those found in Brazil. The aim of this study was to evaluate the adaptability and stability of 18 potato clones (MLG), developed by the Universidade Federal de Lavras, and four cultivars in six environments in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil. The following traits were evaluated: marketable tuber yield (MTY), specific gravity (SG), and tuber appearance (TA). Clones, environments, and the genotype × environment interaction had significant effects on all traits. The GGE-biplot explained 71.78, 98.13, and 62.86 % of the sum of squares from the G+G×E for MTY, SG, and TA, respectively. Three MLG clones had higher adaptability and stability, as well as better performance, than the cultivars, making them good candidates for release as cultivars.