Accurate trajectory prediction for multiple vehicles in complex social interaction environments is essential for ensuring the safety of autonomous vehicles and improving the quality of their planning and control. The social interactions between vehicles significantly influence their future trajectories. However, traditional trajectory prediction models based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) or Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) often overlook or simplify these interactions. Although these models may exhibit high performance in short-term predictions, they fail to achieve high prediction accuracy in scenarios with long-term dynamic interactions. To address this limitation, we propose a Social-Attention Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model which predicts the future trajectories of neighboring vehicles and achieves increased accuracy. Our proposed model employs a Social-Pooling layer to effectively capture cooperative behaviors and mutual influences between vehicles. Additionally, we incorporate a self-attention mechanism to weight the inputs and outputs of the Social-Pooling layer, which is significant for assessing the influence between vehicles in different positions. This combination allows our model to take into consideration both the dependencies within the sequence and the social relationships between vehicles, providing a more comprehensive scene understanding. The efficacy of our model is tested on two real-world freeway trajectory datasets, namely NGSIM and HighD. Our model surpasses various baseline methods, exhibiting exceptional accuracy in both prediction and tracking.
The accurate prediction of the future trajectories of traffic participants is crucial for enhancing the safety and decision-making capabilities of autonomous vehicles. Modeling social interactions among agents and revealing the inherent relationships is crucial for accurate trajectory prediction. In this context, we propose a goal-guided and interaction-aware state refinement graph attention network (SRGAT) for multi-agent trajectory prediction. This model effectively integrates high-precision map data and dynamic traffic states and captures long-term temporal dependencies through the Transformer network. Based on these dependencies, it generates multiple potential goals and Points of Interest (POIs). Through its dual-branch, multimodal prediction approach, the model not only proposes various plausible future trajectories associated with these POIs, but also rigorously assesses the confidence levels of each trajectory. This goal-oriented strategy enables SRGAT to accurately predict the future movement trajectories of other vehicles in complex traffic scenarios. Tested on the Argoverse and nuScenes datasets, SRGAT surpasses existing algorithms in key performance metrics by adeptly integrating past trajectories and current context. This goal-guided approach not only enhances long-term prediction accuracy, but also ensures its reliability, demonstrating a significant advancement in trajectory forecasting.