Victor Henrique Alves Ribeiro

Mr. Victor Henrique Alves Ribeiro


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

10Years (2017-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 June 2020 in Expert Systems with Applications
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
VRVictor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
Victor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
Gilberto Reynoso MezaGilberto Reynoso Meza
Gilberto Reynoso Meza

1 October 2020 in Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
VRVictor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
Victor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
GRGilberto Reynoso-Meza
Gilberto Reynoso-Meza
HSHugo Valadares Siqueira
Hugo Valadares Siqueira

1 July 2019
Verified
Conference Paper
Closed access
MHMatheus Henrique
Matheus Henrique
Matheus RibeiroMatheus Ribeiro
Matheus Ribeiro
VRVictor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
Victor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
ARAlves Ribeiro
Alves Ribeiro
GRGilberto Reynoso-Meza
Gilberto Reynoso-Meza
Leandro dos Santos CoelhoLeandro dos Santos Coelho
Leandro dos Santos Coelho
Short-term forecasting plays an important role in the economic area. Several studies have been carried, where models with good forecast capacity, focusing on accuracy or stability, were built. Modeling only one of these characteristics without the other can lead to a model with lower generalization capacity. To deal with such situation, this study proposes an ensemble model (EM) to forecast one, two and three months ahead the 60 kg corn bag prices received by producers in the state of Parana (Brazil). Additionally, feature extraction by means of principal component analysis is employed. The EM is built using machine learning models as base (weak) learners (BL) combined by weighted sum. The adopted BL are: Extremely randomized trees, partial least squares, k-nearest neighbors, neural network, bagging and multivariate adaptive regression splines. The weights are chosen through multi-objective optimization, where bias and variance are minimized. The multi-objective differential evolution with spherical pruning algorithm is adopted, while physical programming is used in order to obtain the preferred set of weights. The model built is appointed as multi-objective ensemble model (MOEM). The performance of the model is evaluated using mean absolute percentage error, mean squared error and root mean squared error. Additionally, the Diebold-Mariano test is used to evaluate the reduction on forecasting errors. In general lines, the results show that forecasting using MOEM with two, three or four BL is more stable and accurate than forecasting with single BL. Therefore, this approach is recommended to make short-term forecast of corn prices, which leads to a more assertive decision making.

1 December 2020 in Science of The Total Environment
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
VRVictor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
Victor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
SMSteffen Moritz
Steffen Moritz
FRFrederik Rehbach
Frederik Rehbach
Gilberto Reynoso MezaGilberto Reynoso Meza
Gilberto Reynoso Meza

6 July 2018
Verified
Conference Paper
Open access
PDF file
VRVictor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
Victor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
GRGilberto Reynoso-Meza
Gilberto Reynoso-Meza

3 November 2022 in Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
VRVictor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
Victor Henrique Alves Ribeiro
RSRoberto Santana
Roberto Santana
Gilberto Reynoso MezaGilberto Reynoso Meza
Gilberto Reynoso Meza