The need for adequate data on the spatial and temporal variability of freshwater resources is a significant challenge to the water managers of the world in water resource planning and management. The problems will be acute in the coming years because of the increase in frequency and intensity of hydrologic extremes due to climate change. Therefore, streamflow prediction has become an important area of research because of its importance in flood mitigation, reservoir operation, and water resource management. In this paper, we have tested four Machine Learning models (ML models): Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) for streamflow prediction at daily and monthly time scales in three rivers draining in the different climatic and geological setting. The SVM, RF, LSTM, and MARS models have been trained and tested in the Suvarna, Aghanashini, and Kunderu River Basins in peninsular India. Model intercomparison was made to identify the best suitable model for streamflow prediction. The RF outperforms other models for daily streamflow, and MARS outperforms other models for monthly streamflow prediction in the Suvarna river with Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) values of 0.676 and 0.924, respectively. SVM (NSE = 0.741) and RF (NSE = 0.826) are found to be the best models for daily and monthly streamflow prediction in the Aghanashini river. MARS outperformed other models in the case of high, severe, and extreme flow simulation with NSE values of 0.481, 0.374, and 0.455, respectively, in the Aghanashini river. Other hydrological variables (groundwater level data, antecedent soil moisture, potential evapotranspiration data) and a better spatial resolution of rainfall data can be used to develop more accurate machine-learning models for streamflow predictions.
The self-potential method (SP) has been used extensively to reveal some model parameters of various ore deposits. However, estimating these parameters can be challenging due to the mathematical nature of the inversion process. To address this issue, we propose here a novel global optimizer called the Modified Barnacles Mating Optimizer (MBMO). We improved upon the original approach by incorporating a variable genital length strategy, a novel barnacle offspring evolving method, and an out-of-bounds correction approach. The MBMO has not been previously applied to geophysical anomalies. Prior to inversion of real data sets, modal and sensitivity Analyzes were conducted using a theoretical model with multiple sources. The Analyzes revealed that the problem is modal in nature, model parameters have varying levels of sensitivity, and an algorithm that can well balance global exploration with local exploitation is required to solve this problem. The MBMO was tested on theoretical SP anomalies and four real datasets from Türkiye, Canada, India, and Germany. Its performance was compared to the original version under equal conditions. Uncertainty determination studies were carried out to comprehend the reliability of the solutions obtained via both algorithms. The findings indicated clearly that the MBMO outperformed its original version in estimating the model parameters from SP anomalies. The modifications presented here improved its ability to search for the global minimum effectively. In addition to geophysical datasets, experiments with 11 challenging benchmark functions demonstrated the advantages of MBMO in optimization problems. Theoretical and field data applications showed that the proposed algorithm can be used effectively in model parameter estimations from SP anomalies of ore deposits with the help of total gradient anomalies.
We have developed a MATLAB-based inversion program, b-spline polynomial approximation using the differential evolution algorithm (SPODEA), to recover the concealed basement geometry under heterogeneous sedimentary basins. Earlier inversion techniques used the discretized subsurface interface topography into a grid of juxtaposed elementary prisms to estimate the basement depth of a basin. Such discretization leads to the failure of the depth profile continuity and requires a higher number of inversion parameters for achieving the desired accuracy. The novel approach of SPODEA overcomes such limitations of earlier inversion techniques. SPODEA is based on the segment-wise b-spline optimization technique to estimate the basement depth by using high-order polynomials. Moreover, it can achieve an optimal misfit with minimal parametric information, which reduces the computational expense. Our inversion approach uses the differential evolution algorithm, which provides real parametric optimization and uses b-splines for accurate estimation of continuous depth profiles. The efficiency of our algorithm was determined with two complex synthetic sedimentary basin models comprised of constant and depth-varying density distributions. Furthermore, the uncertainty analysis of our inversion technique is evaluated by incorporating white Gaussian noise into the synthetic models. Finally, the utility of SPODEA is evaluated by inverting gravity anomalies for two different real sedimentary basins. It produces geologically reasonable outcomes that are in close agreement with basement structures from previously reported results.