For power system disaster prevention and mitigation, risk assessment and visualization under typhoon disaster have important scientific significance and engineering value. However, current studies have problems such as incomplete factors, strong subjectivity, complicated calculations, and so on. Therefore, a novel risk assessment and its visualization system consisting of a data layer, knowledge extraction layer, and visualization layer on power towers under typhoon disaster are proposed. On the data layer, a spatial multi-source heterogeneous information database is built based on equipment operation information, meteorological information, and geographic information. On the knowledge extraction layer, six intelligent risk prediction models are established based on machine learning algorithms by hyperparameter optimization. Then the relative optimal model is selected by comparing five evaluation indicators, and the combined model consisting of five relatively superior models is established by goodness of fit method with unequal weight. On the visualization layer, the predicted results are visualized with accuracy of $1\mathrm{km}\times 1\mathrm{km}$ by ArcGIS 10.4. In results, the power tower damage risk assessment is carried out in a Chinese coastal city under the typhoon ‘Mujigae’. By comparing predicted distribution and similarity indicator of the combined model with those of the other models, it is shown that the combined model is superior not only in quality but also in quantity.

The remanence (residual flux) in the core of power transformers needs to be determined in advance to eliminate the inrush current during the process of re-energization. In this paper, a novel method is proposed to determine the residual flux based on the relationship between residual flux and the measured magnetizing inductance. The paper shows physical, numerical, and analytical explanations on the phenomenon that the magnetizing inductance decreases with the increase of residual flux under low excitation. Numerical simulations are performed by EMTP (Electro-Magnetic Transient Program) on a 1 kVA power transformer under different amounts of residual flux. The inductance–remanence curves are nearly the same when testing current changes. Laboratory experiments conducted on the same transformer are in line with the numerical simulations. Furthermore, numerical simulation results on a 240 MVA are reported to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

The interturn short circuit fault is one of the common faults in power transformers. At present, research on interturn short circuit faults focuses on high, medium, and low voltage windings, while there is relatively little research on interturn short circuit in regulating windings. Specifically, there is a lack of reported studies on the transient electromagnetic processes, magnetic field distribution, and electromagnetic force characteristics of interturn short circuits in regulating windings unconnected to the circuit. This study presents an actual fault scenario involving interturn short circuits occurring in the untapped portion of the regulating windings of a specific power transformer. A field-circuit coupled model was established to analyze the transient electromagnetic processes during the fault, and the model’s effectiveness was validated by comparing its results with actual fault recording data. Additionally, the magnetic field distribution and electromagnetic force characteristics during the fault were analyzed, and discussions were carried out regarding various ratios of short-circuit turns in the regulating windings. The results indicate that even when an interturn short circuit occurs in the portion of the regulating winding that is not connected to the circuit, the current in the short-circuited turns can reach several tens of times the rated value. Additionally, the leakage magnetic field and the electromagnetic force experienced by the short-circuited ring also increase significantly. The short-circuit ratio has a significant impact on the current of the short-circuited ring, leakage magnetic field intensity, and electromagnetic force. This study contributes to a better understanding of the impact of interturn short-circuit faults in the untapped portion of the regulating windings, offering crucial technical support for fault diagnosis and prevention of power transformers.

Typhoons have substantial impacts on power systems and may result in major power outages for distribution network users. Developing prediction models for the number of users going through typhoon power outages is a high priority to support restoration planning. This study proposes a data‐driven model to predict the number of distribution network users that may experience power outages when a typhoon passes by. To improve the accuracy of the prediction model, twenty six explanatory variables from meteorological factors, geographical factors and power grid factors are considered. In addition, the authors compared the application effect of five different machine learning regression algorithms, including linear regression, support vector regression, classification and regression tree, gradient boosting decision tree and random forest (RF). It turns out that the RF algorithm shows the best performance. The simulation indicates that the accuracy of the optimal model error within ±30% can reach up to 86%. The proposed method can improve the prediction accuracy through continuous learning on the existing basis. The prediction results can provide efficient guidance for emergency preparedness during typhoon disaster, and can be used as a basis to notify the distribution network users who are likely to lose power.

Typhoons can have disastrous effects on power systems. They may lead to a large number of power outages for distribution network users. Therefore, this paper establishes a model to predict the power outage quantity of distribution network users under a typhoon disaster. Firstly, twenty-six explanatory variables (called global variables) covering meteorological factors, geographical factors, and power grid factors are considered as the input variables. On this basis, the correlation between each explanatory variable and response variable is analyzed. Secondly, we established a global variable model to predict the power outage quantity of distribution network users based on Random Forest (RF) algorithm. Then the importance of each explanatory variable is mined to extract the most important variables. To reduce the complexity of the model and ease the burden of data collection, eight variables are eventually selected as important variables. Afterward, we predict the power outage quantity of distribution network users again using the eight important variables. Thirdly, we compare the prediction accuracy of a model called the No-model that has been used before, Linear Regression (LR), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Decision Tree Regression (DTR), RF-global variable model, and RF-important variable model. Simulation results show that the RF-important variable model proposed in this paper has a better effect. Since fewer variables can save prediction time and make the model simplified, it is recommended to use the RF-important variable model.

Being a vital component of electrical power systems, transformers significantly influence the system stability and reliability of power supplies. Damage to transformers may lead to significant economic losses. The efficient identification of transformer faults holds paramount importance for the stability and security of power grids. The existing methods for identifying transformer faults include oil chromatography analysis, temperature assessment, frequency response analysis, vibration characteristic examination, and leakage magnetic field analysis. These methods suffer from limitations such as limited sensitivity, complexity in operation, and a high demand for specialized skills. In this paper, we propose a method to identify external short-circuit faults of power transformers based on fault recording data on short-circuit currents. It involves analyzing the current signals of various windings during faults, extracting appropriate features, and utilizing a classification algorithm based on a support vector machine (SVM) to determine fault types and locations. The influence of different kernel functions on the classification accuracy of SVM is discussed. The results indicate that this method can proficiently identify the type and location of external short-circuit faults in transformers, achieving an accuracy rate of 98.3%.