The use of renewable energy sources to achieve carbon neutrality is increasing. However, the uncertainty and volatility of renewable resources are causing problems in power systems. Flexible and low-carbon resources such as Energy Storage Systems (ESSs) are essential for solving the problems of power systems and achieving greenhouse gas reduction goals. However, ESSs are not being installed because of Korea’s fuel-based electricity market. To address this issue, this paper presents a method for determining the optimal investment timing of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESSs) using the Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) method. A case study is conducted considering the System Marginal Price (SMP) and Capacity Payment (CP), which are electricity rates in Korea. Revenue is calculated through the arbitrage of a 10 MW/40 MWh lithium-ion BESS, and linear programming optimization is performed for ESS scheduling to maximize revenue. The ESS revenue with uncertainty is modeled as a stochastic process using Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM), and the optimal time to invest in an ESS is determined using an LSMC simulation considering investment costs. The proposed method can be used as a decision-making tool for ESS investors to provide information on facility investments in arbitrage situations.

With the rise of environmental policies and advanced technologies, power systems are transitioning from centralized to decentralized systems, incorporating more distributed energy resources (DERs). This shift has increased interest in the operational functions of microgrids (MGs). The “Renewable Energy 100%” (RE100) campaign is pushing companies to adopt renewable energy. In South Korea, industrial complex microgrids (ICMGs) aim to achieve RE100 through corporate power purchase agreements (PPAs) with renewable energy providers. ICMGs need to operate in both grid-connected and islanded modes, facing challenges in power transactions due to different operating agents. This study proposes a decentralized optimal power flow (OPF) method using the separable augmented Lagrangian relaxation (SALR) algorithm to solve these power transaction problems without disclosing internal information. The proposed method decomposes the centralized OPF problem into subproblems for each ICMG and solves them in a distributed manner, sharing only transaction prices and amounts. Numerical results from the case study validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.