Introduction Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is an important cause of lower respiratory tract disease in older adults, resulting in substantial morbidity and mortality. Methods This study estimates the public health impact of vaccination with the adjuvanted RSVPreF3 vaccine among adults aged ≥ 60 years in the United States (US). A static, multi-cohort Markov model was used to estimate RSV-related outcomes over a 3-year time horizon for scenarios with and without one-time RSV vaccination. The base-case analysis assumed the same vaccination coverage as for influenza vaccines, with key epidemiology and vaccine inputs obtained from the published literature and phase 3 clinical trial results for the adjuvanted RSVPreF3 vaccine. Model outcomes included the clinical burden of RSV (symptomatic RSV acute respiratory illness [RSV-ARI] cases [classified as upper or lower respiratory tract disease], pneumonia complications, and mortality) and RSV-related healthcare resource use (hospitalizations, emergency department visits, outpatient visits, and antibiotic prescriptions). Results In the base-case analysis, approximately 56.7 million adults aged ≥ 60 years received the vaccine, resulting in 2,954,465 fewer symptomatic RSV-ARI cases over 3 years compared with no vaccination, including 321,019 fewer X-ray confirmed pneumonia cases and 16,660 fewer RSV-related deaths. Vaccination also prevented a substantial number of RSV-related hospitalizations (203,891), emergency department visits (164,060), outpatient visits (1,577,586), and antibiotic prescriptions (1,343,915) over the 3-year period. A considerable public health impact was observed across a range of sensitivity analyses. Conclusions These findings highlight the potential of the adjuvanted RSVPreF3 vaccine to substantially reduce RSV disease burden among US older adults aged ≥ 60 years.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a common cause of acute respiratory illness in individuals of all ages, with adults aged ≥60 years and adults with certain chronic conditions at increased risk of severe RSV-related outcomes. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of the adjuvanted RSVPreF3 vaccine versus no vaccine in adults aged ≥60 years in the United States (US). A multi-cohort Markov model was developed with a 5-year time horizon and 1-month cycle length to compare outcomes for no vaccination and one-time adjuvanted RSVPreF3 vaccination (assuming the same vaccination as for influenza vaccines). Clinical parameters (e.g., vaccine efficacy) were based on phase 3 clinical trial data over 3 seasons, with all other inputs obtained from public US sources and scientific literature. Outcomes included total and incremental quality-adjusted life year (QALY) losses and costs, as well as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate the sensitivity of results to inputs. In the base case, the model estimated that vaccinating 52.7 million adults aged ≥60 years with the adjuvanted RSVPreF3 vaccine once would result in 244,424 fewer QALY losses and an incremental societal cost of $4.5 billion over 5 years, with vaccination costs partially offset by reduced disease-related costs. From the societal perspective, adjuvanted RSVPreF3 vaccination resulted in an ICER of $18,430 per QALY gained. Results were relatively robust across sensitivity analyses and indicate that adjuvanted RSVPreF3 vaccination is a cost-effective option for the prevention of RSV in US adults aged ≥ 60 years, reducing the substantial burden within this population.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), a common respiratory pathogen, can lead to severe symptoms, especially in older adults (OA). A recently developed RSV prefusion F protein (RSVPreF3 OA) vaccine confers high protection against RSV lower respiratory tract disease (LRTD) over two full RSV seasons. The aim of this study was to assess the potential public health impact of RSVPreF3 OA vaccination in the Japanese OA population. A static Markov model was used to estimate the number of symptomatic RSV cases, hospitalizations and deaths in the Japanese population aged ≥ 60 years over a 3-year time horizon. Japan-specific RSV epidemiology and healthcare resource use parameters were used; vaccine efficacy was derived from a phase 3 randomized study (AReSVi-006, NCT04886596). Vaccination coverage was set to 50%. Without vaccination, >5 million RSV acute respiratory illness (ARI) would occur (2.5 million LRTD and 2.8 million upper respiratory tract infections) leading to ~ 3.5 million outpatient visits, >534,000 hospitalizations and ~ 25,500 RSV-related deaths over 3 years. Vaccination could prevent > 1 million RSV-ARI cases, 728,000 outpatient visits, 143,000 hospitalizations and 6,840 RSV-related deaths. RSVPreF3 OA vaccination is projected to have a substantial public health impact by reducing RSV-related morbidity and mortality in the OA population.

Older adults (OA) are at risk of morbidity and mortality from respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), a major cause of seasonal acute respiratory illness. The first RSV vaccine for OA (RSVPreF3 OA) was recently launched in Japan. With the already large and growing OA population in Japan, and limited RSV treatments, prevention is key. The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of introducing RSVPreF3 OA for Japanese adults aged ≥60 years. A static multicohort Markov model was adapted to assess the cost-effectiveness of a single dose of RSVPreF3 OA versus no vaccination over a three-year time horizon. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess parameter uncertainty. RSVPreF3 OA vaccination prevented 1,008,499 cases and 6,840 deaths, with 109,119 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was Japanese yen (JPY) 4,180,084/QALY gained from a payer perspective and JPY 4,041,917/QALY gained from a societal perspective (with productivity loss from RSV disease), thus vaccination was considered cost-effective. Base case results were robust to changes in sensitivity and scenario analyses. RSVPreF3 OA vaccination for adults ≥60 years can provide substantial health benefits and is a cost-effective intervention to reduce the RSV burden in Japan.

Seasonal influenza causes many cases and related deaths in Europe annually, despite ongoing vaccination programs for older adults and people at high-risk of complications. Children have the highest risk of infection and play a key role in disease transmission. Our cost-utility analysis, based on a dynamic transmission model, estimated the impact of increasing the current vaccination coverage with inactivated quadrivalent influenza vaccine in Germany to all (healthy and high-risk) children under 5 years of age (40% uptake), or under 18 years (40% uptake), or only high-risk children under 18 years (90% uptake). Eight influenza complications were modeled, hospitalization and death rates were based on age and risk status. All three vaccination strategies provided more health benefits than the existing vaccination situation, reducing influenza cases, complications, hospitalizations and deaths across the entire population. The strategy targeting all children under 5 years was highly cost-effective (€6/quality-adjusted life-year gained, payer perspective). The other strategies were cost saving from the payer and societal perspectives. The vaccination strategy targeting all children under 18 years was estimated to provide the most health benefits (preventing on average 1.66 million cases, 179,000 complications, 14,000 hospitalizations and 3,600 deaths due to influenza annually) and the most cost savings (annually €20.5 million and €731.3 million from payer and societal perspectives, respectively). Our analysis provides policy decision-makers with evidence supporting strategies to expand childhood influenza vaccination, to directly protect children, and indirectly all other unvaccinated age groups, in order to reduce the humanistic and economic burden on healthcare systems and society. What is the context? What is new? What is the impact?

Background: Human metapneumovirus (hMPV) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) are among the leading causes of acute respiratory infection. We evaluated the risk of severe outcomes in adults hospitalized with hMPV compared to RSV at Kaiser Permanente Southern California. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis in adults aged ≥18 years who tested positive for hMPV or RSV from 7 days prior to 2 days after the date of hospital admission between 2011 and 2024. Outcomes included length of hospital stay, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, occurrence of complications, readmission, and mortality. Risk ratios (RR) and hazard ratios (HR) were estimated for hMPV compared to RSV hospitalizations. Results: This study included 2859 hMPV-associated and 3029 RSV-associated hospitalizations. Approximately 30% of hMPV and RSV hospitalizations had an extended hospital stay (≥7 days) and about 15% were admitted to the ICU. The risk of an extended hospital stay was lower in hMPV than RSV hospitalizations (RR: 0.91 [95% CI: 0.84–0.99]). Over half of hMPV and RSV hospitalizations had pneumonia diagnoses; the risk was higher in hMPV hospitalizations (RR: 1.17 [1.12–1.23]). 1-year mortality risk was lower in hMPV compared to RSV hospitalizations (HR: 0.84 [0.74–0.94]). The risk of most outcomes, including the occurrence of complications, exacerbation of chronic diseases, in-hospital mortality, and readmission was comparable between hMPV and RSV hospitalizations. Conclusions: Both hMPV and RSV hospitalizations were associated with substantial and similar healthcare resource utilization and morbidity, highlighting the importance of clinical appreciation of severe outcomes associated with hMPV in hospitalized adults.