Michele Bufalo

Prof. Dr. Michele Bufalo


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

3Years (2024-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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25 July 2024 in Annals of Operations Research
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MBMarta Biancardi
Marta Biancardi
Michele BufaloMichele Bufalo
Michele Bufalo
ABAntonio Di Bari
Antonio Di Bari
GVGiovanni Villani
Giovanni Villani
The need to obtain financial funds to pursue public utility investments implies the generation of Public-Private Partnership (PPP) projects. The PPP framework can involve risk-sharing mechanisms between public administration and private sector to encourage private investors to fund these projects. However, these risk-sharing mechanisms, such as Minimum Revenue Guarantee or Revenue Cap (RC), could generate opportunistic behaviors. For this reason, we can set this problem as a game in which government and private investors would act as players. This paper proposes a mathematical model to evaluate the PPP projects through a combination of Game Theory (GT) and Real Options Approach (ROA). The ROA is needed to price the uncertainty that affects PPP investments, and the GT captures the strategic interactions between public and private sectors. A case study on a wastewater treatment project is developed to apply the model we proposed.

25 May 2024 in Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Giacomo AscioneGiacomo Ascione
Giacomo Ascione
Michele BufaloMichele Bufalo
Michele Bufalo
Giuseppe OrlandoGiuseppe Orlando
Giuseppe Orlando

2 August 2024
Verified
Book Chapter
Closed access
PDF file
MBMarta Biancardi
Marta Biancardi
Michele BufaloMichele Bufalo
Michele Bufalo
ABAntonio Di Bari
Antonio Di Bari
GVGiovanni Villani
Giovanni Villani


9 January 2026 in Computational Economics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
Michele BufaloMichele Bufalo
Michele Bufalo
ABAntonio Di Bari
Antonio Di Bari
GVGiovanni Villani
Giovanni Villani

20 June 2025 in Risks
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Michele BufaloMichele Bufalo
Michele Bufalo
Viviana FanelliViviana Fanelli
Viviana Fanelli
This paper analyzes a parabolic operator L that generalizes several well-known operators commonly used in financial mathematics. We establish the existence and uniqueness of the Feller semigroup associated with L and derive its explicit analytical representation. The theoretical framework developed in this study provides a robust foundation for modeling stochastic processes relevant to financial markets. Furthermore, we apply these findings to energy market trading by developing specialized simulation algorithms and forecasting models. These methodologies were tested across all assets comprising the S&P 500 Energy Index, evaluating their predictive accuracy and effectiveness in capturing market dynamics. The empirical analysis demonstrated the practical advantages of employing generalized semigroups in modeling non-Gaussian market behaviors and extreme price fluctuations.