Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis peran pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap penurunan kemiskinan dilihat dari sektoral tahun 2004–2012. Variabel yang digunakan adalah jumlah penduduk miskin sebagai variabel dependen dan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PRDB) di sembilan sektor sebagai variabel independen. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini merupakan data sekunder yang diperoleh dari terbitan world data bank. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi data panel dengan pendekatan model fixed effect. Dalam mengolah data, penulis menggunakan bantuan software Eviews 8.1. Berdasarkan hasil estimasi di peroleh bahwa secara keseluruhan pertumbuhan ekonomi berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap kemiskinan di tingkat Provinsi di Indonesia. Selanjutnya dilihat dari segi sektoral ditemukan bahwa variabel sektor per-tambangan memiliki pengaruh yang negatif dan signifikan terhadap penurunan kemiskinan. Hal itu disebabkan adanya commodities boom terhadap komoditi hasil tambang. Sehingga sektor pertambangan bukanlah sektor yang menjadi kunci dalam penurunan kemiskinan namun terjadinya commodities boom memiliki pengaruh terhadap penurunan kemiskinan di Provinsi di Indonesia. Kata Kunci : Fixed Effect, Kemiskinan, PDRB sektoral, pertumbuhan ekonomi, commodities boom. AbstractThis study aims to identify and analyze the role of economic growth on poverty reduction seen from sectors in 2004-2012. The variables used were the number of poverty as the dependent variable and the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) in nine sectors as independent variables. The data used in this research is secondary data obtained from the data published by the World Bank. The analytical method used is the panel data regression with fixed effect model approach. In processing the data, the authors using statistical software Eviews 8.1.Based on estimates obtained that overall economic growth is negative and have significant effect on poverty at the provincial level in Indonesia. Furthermore, in terms of sectoral found that variable per-mining sector has a negative influence and significant impact on poverty reduction. It was caused by the commodities boom of the commodity mined. So that the mining sector is not a sector that is key in reducing poverty, but the commodities boom have an impact on poverty reduction in the province in Indonesia. Keywords: Fixed Effect, poverty, the GDP sectoral, economic growth, commodities boom.

After the Indian Ocean tsunami in 2004, Northern Sumatra experienced three shocks: a negative shock from the tsunami itself and the Nias earthquake that followed in 2005; a positive shock from the massive allocation of recovery funds; and another positive shock from the peace deal between the Indonesian government and the Free Aceh Movement, also in 2005. We analyse the consequences of these shocks on the spatial distribution of the population in Northern Sumatra, building on the approach developed by Davis and Weinstein (2002). We conclude that there have been no significant changes in the relative position of regions in Aceh and North Sumatra, considering their population size. Our model of estimated population growth suggests that the twin disasters had only a temporary impact, which supports the locational fundamentals theory. Our results also reveal that the peace deal is important in explaining the dynamics of population growth in the region.

Disaster microinsurance has been argued to enhance people’s resilience toward natural hazards. In developing countries, however, the uptake of this insurance scheme has been limited. This paper investigates the influence of the perception of disaster risks on the probability of local people participating in a hypothetical disaster microinsurance scheme. We use household data to assess a specific disaster risk, notably the risk of an eruption of the Mount Merapi in Yogyakarta. We find that this perception positively influences the interest to participate in disaster microinsurance. We also find that insurance literacy has a strong positive relationship with the respondent’s interest to participate in disaster microinsurance.

We investigate the impact of the Krakatau eruption in August 1883 on the spatial distribution of population across residencies in Java. The analysis is based on historical data of the indigenous population at residency level covering the period from 1880 to 1928. Based on our empirical analysis we conclude that the Krakatau eruption had no permanent impact on the spatial distribution of the population across regions in Java. The evidence gives support to the locational fundamentals theory.