Under a Bayesian framework, we formulate the fully sequential sampling and selection decision in statistical ranking and selection as a stochastic control problem, and derive the associated Bellman equation. Using value function approximation, we derive an approximately optimal allocation policy. We show that this policy is not only computationally efficient but also possesses both one-step-ahead and asymptotic optimality for independent normal sampling distributions. Moreover, the proposed allocation policy is easily generalizable in the approximate dynamic programming paradigm.

Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is a popular approach for modeling human preferences. It is based on probabilistic distortions and generalizes the expected utility theory. We bring the CPT to a stochastic optimization framework and propose algorithms for both estimation and optimization of CPT-value objectives. We propose an empirical distribution function-based scheme to estimate the CPT value, and then, use this scheme in the inner loop of a CPT-value optimization procedure. We propose both gradient based as well as gradient-free CPT-value optimization algorithms that are based on two well-known simulation optimization ideas: simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation and model-based parameter search, respectively. We provide theoretical convergence guarantees for all the proposed algorithms and also illustrate the potential of CPT-based criteria in a traffic signal control application.

The objective in a traditional reinforcement learning (RL) problem is to find a policy that optimizes the expected value of a performance metric such as the infinite-horizon cumulative discounted or long-run average cost/reward. In practice, optimizing the expected value alone may not be satisfactory, in that it may be desirable to incorporate the notion of risk into the optimization problem formulation, either in the objective or as a constraint. Various risk measures have been proposed in the literature, e.g., exponential utility, variance, percentile performance, chance constraints, value at risk (quantile), conditional value-at-risk, prospect theory and its later enhancement, cumulative prospect theory. In this monograph, we consider risk-sensitive RL in two settings: one where the goal is to find a policy that optimizes the usual expected value objective while ensuring that a risk constraint is satisfied, and the other where the risk measure is the objective. We survey some of the recent work in this area specifically where policy gradient search is the solution approach. In the first risk-sensitive RL setting, we cover popular risk measures based on variance, conditional valueat-risk, and chance constraints, and present a template for policy gradient-based risk-sensitive RL algorithms using a Lagrangian formulation. For the setting where risk is incorporated directly into the objective function, we consider an exponential utility formulation, cumulative prospect theory, and coherent risk measures. This non-exhaustive survey aims to give a flavor of the challenges involved in solving risk-sensitive RL problems using policy gradient methods, as well as outlining some potential future research directions.