We present a straightforward projection with data up to 21/03/2020 of the evolution of the number of COVID-19 cases per day in Chile using data from the Ministry of Health. Assuming an arithmetical growth in the second variation of the data, we present a cubic adjustment model in which we estimate over 100 000 cases at 120 days consistent with the data recorded to date. Furthermore, we use an exponential total case model to represent (using a parameter) the daily effort to reduce a high initial daily growth rate. We simulate this model with different numerical scenarios of feasibility and desired future prevalence.
The dynamics of four source–sink models for an exploited resource under a constant fishing effort are here presented. Two models are described by ordinary differential equations; the other two are expressed by impulsive differential equations systems. A continuous time growth function for the resource is assumed for each of the four model. The impulsiveness in the harvest activity among fixed seasonal closures were considered in the models expressed by impulsive differential equations. We note that all our models show the possibility of getting a sustainable resource exploitation. The results obtained using both techniques are compared. These metapopulation models suggest the convenience of considering the source patches as marine reserves, in order to preserve the renewable resources.