Sedation is an essential component of the anesthesia process. Inadequate sedation during anesthesia increases the risk of patient discomfort, intraoperative awareness, and psychological trauma. Conventional electroencephalography (EEG) based depth of anesthesia monitoring is often impractical in out-of-hospital settings due to equipment limitations and signal artifacts. Alternative non-EEG-based approaches are therefore required. In this study, we developed a machine learning model to detect inadequate sedation using 27 feature parameters, including demographics, vital signs, and heart rate variability metrics, from the open-access VitalDB database. Patient states were defined as inadequate sedation when the bispectral index (BIS) > 60. We systematically evaluated four temporal windows and four algorithms, and assessed model interpretability using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP). The Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) achieved the best performance, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.825 and an accuracy (ACC) of 0.741 using a 2 s time window. Extending the time window to 20 s improved both metrics by approximately 0.012. Feature selection identified 12 key parameters that maintained comparable accuracy, confirming robustness with reduced complexity. These findings demonstrate the feasibility of using non-EEG-based physiological data for real-time detection of inadequate sedation. The developed model is interpretable, resource-efficient, scalable, and shows strong potential for integration into portable monitoring systems in prehospital, emergency, and low-resource surgical settings.

Early mortality in major trauma has decreased, but MODS remains a leading cause of poor outcomes, driven by trauma-induced cytokine storms that exacerbate injuries and organ damage. This prospective cohort study included 79 major trauma patients (ISS >15) treated in the National Center for Trauma Medicine, Peking University People's Hospital, from September 1, 2021, to July 31, 2023. Patients (1) with ISS >15 (according to AIS 2015), (2) aged 15-80 years, (3) admitted within 6 h of injury, (4) having no prior treatment before admission, were included. Exclusion criteria were (1) GCS score <9 or AIS score ≥3 for TBI, (2) confirmed infection, infectious disease, or high infection risk, (3) pregnancy, (4) severe primary diseases affecting survival, (5) recent use of immunosuppressive or cytotoxic drugs within the past 6 months, (6) psychiatric patients, (7) participation in other clinical trials within the past 30 days, (8) patients with incomplete data or missing blood samples. Admission serum inflammatory cytokines and pathophysiological data were analyzed to develop machine learning models predicting MODS within 7 days. LR, DR, RF, SVM, NB, and XGBoost were evaluated based on the area under the AUROC. The SHAP method was used to interpret results. This study enrolled 79 patients with major trauma, and the median (Q₁, Q₃) age was 51 (35, 59) years (52 males, 65.8%). The inflammatory cytokine data were collected for all participants. Among these patients, 35 (44.3%) developed MODS, and 44 (55.7%) did not. Additionally, 2 patients (2.5%) from the MODS group succumbed. The logistic regression model showed strong performance in predicting MODS. Ten key cytokines, IL-18, Eotaxin, MCP-4, IP-10, CXCL12, MIP-3α, MCP-1, IL-1RA, Cystatin C, and MRP8/14 were identified as critical to the trauma-induced cytokine storm and MODS development. Early elevation of these cytokines achieved high predictive accuracy, with an AUROC of 0.887 (95% CI 0.813-0.976). Trauma-induced cytokine storms are strongly associated with MODS. Early identification of inflammatory cytokine changes enables better prediction and timely interventions to improve outcomes.

Objectives: Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) is a serious, prognostically poor complication in trauma sepsis. We developed an interpretable, multicenter-validated prediction model to enable early, individualized risk assessment and guide timely care. Methods: Using MIMIC-IV and eICU data, we built a pre-trained transfer-learning model with a separation processing strategy and assessed interpretability with SHAP. Results: Internal validation included 700 MIMIC-IV patients; external validation included 110 eICU patients. Across 6-, 12-, and 24-h prediction windows, the best pre-trained model achieved an average AUC of 0.906. Notably, fine-tuning on only 100 trauma sepsis cases (3.6% of the training set) still yielded an AUC of 0.846, surpassing the non-pre-trained model by 0.165. SHAP analysis further revealed that platelet count was one of the most important variables contributing to MODS prediction. Conclusions: Overall, the pre-trained MODS model demonstrated robust discrimination, generalizability, and clear interpretability in both internal and external validations, highlighting its portability and clinical potential for early identification of high-risk trauma sepsis patients.