Water use efficiency (WUE) is a useful indicator to illustrate the interaction of carbon and water cycles in terrestrial ecosystems. MODIS gross primary production (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET) products have been used to analyze the spatial and temporal patterns of WUE and their relationships with environmental factors at regional and global scales. Although MODIS GPP and ET products have been evaluated using eddy covariance flux measurements, the accuracy of WUE estimated from MODIS products has not been well quantified. In this paper, we evaluated WUE estimated from MODIS GPP and ET products against eddy covariance measurements of GPP and ET during 2003–2008 at eight sites of the Chinese flux observation and research network (ChinaFLUX) and conducted sensitivity analysis to investigate the possible key contributors to the bias of MODIS products. Results show that MODIS products underestimate eight-day water use efficiency in four forest ecosystems and one cropland ecosystem with the bias from −0.36–−2.28 g·C·kg⁻¹ H₂O, while overestimating it in three grassland ecosystems with the bias from 0.26–1.11 g·C·kg⁻¹ H₂O. Mean annual WUE was underestimated by 14%–54% at four forest sites, 45% at one cropland site and 7% at an alpine grassland site, but overestimated by 66% and 9% at a temperate grassland site and an alpine meadow site, respectively. The underestimation of WUE by MODIS data results from underestimated GPP and overestimated ET at four forest sites, while MODIS WUE values are significantly overvalued mainly due to underestimated ET in the three grassland ecosystems. The maximum light use efficiency and fraction of photosynthetically-active radiation (FPAR) were the two most sensitive factors to the estimation of WUE derived from the MODIS GPP and ET algorithms. The error in meteorological data partly caused the overestimation of ET and accordingly underestimation in WUE in subtropical and tropical forests. The bias of MODIS-produced WUE was also derived from the uncertainties in eddy flux data due to gap-filling processes and unbalanced surface energy issue. Their contributions to the uncertainty in estimated WUE at both eight-day and annual scales still need to be further quantified.

As vegetation plays a critical role in terrestrial ecosystems, understanding its status and variation is vital for preserving the stability of an ecosystem. Central Asia serves as a representative example of an arid and semi-arid region characterized by sparse vegetation and poor soils, making its vegetation particularly fragile and sensitive. To investigate the vegetation condition in the region, this study examined the spatial and temporal characteristics of vegetation variation from 2001 to 2020, utilizing the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) as an indicator. Meanwhile, trend analysis, Mann–Kendall abrupt change point test, geodetector, and correlation analysis were used to quantitatively analyze the natural and anthropogenic drivers of these variations over the past two decades. The results suggest that vegetation coverage in Central Asia was relatively low, with an annual average NDVI of 0.16 over the past 20 years. Moreover, the spatial distribution of NDVI in Central Asia exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity, with vegetation coverage declining from north to south and from east to west. Furthermore, the NDVI exhibited a slightly increasing trend during the period of 2001 to 2020 with an increased rate of 0.00025/yr. However, we detected an abrupt change point in vegetation dynamics in Central Asia around 2010, which indicated a significant shift in vegetation variation in the region. Land-use type has a great influence on the spatial heterogeneity of NDVI in Central Asia, which can explain 46% of the vegetation distribution in this region. Moisture factors such as precipitation and soil water content followed with 35% and 32% contributions, respectively. Regarding the temporal variation of NDVI, it is mainly driven by the fluctuation in precipitation, with the degree of influence of precipitation on NDVI varying for different regions in various geographical conditions. This study offers a more comprehensive insight into the spatial and temporal dynamics of NDVI in Central Asia and indicates that precipitation plays a significant role in driving the spatial heterogeneity and temporal variation of NDVI. These findings are essential for predicting vegetation changes in arid regions under future environmental conditions and formulating effective strategies to prevent and alleviate vegetation degradation.

While a number of machine learning (ML) models have been used to estimate RE, systematic evaluation and comparison of these models are still limited. In this study, we developed three traditional ML models and a deep learning (DL) model, stacked autoencoders (SAE), to estimate RE in northern China’s grasslands. The four models were trained with two strategies: training for all of northern China’s grasslands and separate training for the alpine and temperate grasslands. Our results showed that all four ML models estimated RE in northern China’s grasslands fairly well, while the SAE model performed best (R² = 0.858, RMSE = 0.472 gC m⁻² d⁻¹, MAE = 0.304 gC m⁻² d⁻¹). Models trained with the two strategies had almost identical performances. The enhanced vegetation index and soil organic carbon density (SOCD) were the two most important environmental variables for estimating RE in the grasslands of northern China. Air temperature (Ta) was more important than the growing season land surface water index (LSWI) in the alpine grasslands, while the LSWI was more important than Ta in the temperate grasslands. These findings may promote the application of DL models and the inclusion of SOCD for RE estimates with increased accuracy.