An accurate and robust gene signature is of the utmost importance in assisting oncologists to make a more accurate evaluation in clinical practice. In our study, we extracted key mRNAs significantly related to colorectal cancer (CRC) prognosis and we constructed an expression-based gene signature to predict CRC patients’ survival. mRNA expression profiles and clinicopathological data of colon adenocarcinoma (COAD) cases and rectum adenocarcinoma (READ) were collected from The Cancer Genome Atlas database to investigate gene expression alteration associated to the prognosis of CRC. Differentially expressed mRNAs (DEMs) were detected between COAD/READ and normal tissue samples. Relying on a univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, a mRNA panel signature was established and used for predicting the overall survival (OS) in CRC patients. Receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the prognosis performance of our model through calculating the AUC values corresponding to the 3-year and 5-year survival. To assess the performance of gene signature in the given cancer subgroups (CRC entire cohort, COAD cohort, and READ cohort), a stratified analysis was carried out according to clinical factors. A total of 5341 and 5594 DEMs were collected from COAD vs. normal tissue samples, and READ vs. normal samples respectively. A univariate regression analysis for the common DEMs between COAD and READ cohorts resulted in 14 common mRNAs related to OS. The multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that 6 of these mRNAs (EPHA6, TIMP1, IRX6, ART5, HIST3H2BB, and FOXD1) had significant prognostic value allowing the discrimination between high- and low-risk patients, implying poor and good outcomes, respectively. The stratified analysis identified 6-gene signature as an independent prognostic signature in predicting CRC patients’ survival. The 6-gene signature could act as an independent biomarker for survival prediction of CRC patients.
Background: The objective of this study was to develop a practical nomogram for predicting the cancer-specific survival (CSS) of patients with small-intestine adenocarcinoma. Methods: Patients diagnosed with small-intestine adenocarcinoma between 2010 and 2015 were selected for inclusion in this study from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The selected patients were randomly divided into the training and validation cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. The predictors of CSS were identified by applying both forward and backward stepwise selection methods in a Cox regression model. The performance of the nomogram was measured by the concordance index (C-index), the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, the net reclassification improvement (NRI), the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision-curve analysis (DCA). Results: Multivariate Cox regression indicated that factors including age at diagnosis, sex, marital status, insurance status, histology grade, SEER stage, surgery status, T stage, and N stage were independent covariates associated with CSS. These factors were used to construct a predictive model, which was built and virtualized by a nomogram. The C-index of the constructed nomogram was 0.850. The AUC values indicated that the established nomogram displayed better discrimination performance than did the seventh edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system in predicting CSS. The IDI and NRI also showed that the nomogram exhibited superior performance in both the training and validation cohorts. Furthermore, the calibrated nomogram predicted survival rates that closely corresponded to actual survival rates, while the DCA demonstrated the considerable clinical usefulness of the nomogram. Conclusion: We have constructed a nomogram for predicting the CSS of small-intestine adenocarcinoma patients. This prognostic model may improve the ability of clinicians to predict survival in individual patients and provide them with treatment recommendations.
Numerous studies have shown that marital status may be a prognostic factor in various malignancies, but little is known about its effect on duodenal adenocarcinoma. The aim of the present study was to determine the association between marital status and survival in patients with duodenal adenocarcinoma. The Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database was utilized to analyze 2,018 patients who had been diagnosed with duodenal adenocarcinoma between January 2004 and December 2015. Kaplan‑Meier and Cox regression analyses were also used to determine the impact of marital status on overall survival (OS) and cause‑specific survival (CSS). The 5‑year OS rate was higher in married patients (32.6%) compared with unmarried (26.8%) patients (P<0.001), as was the 5‑year CSS rate (38.8 vs. 33.7%; P<0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that marital status was an independent prognostic factor for duodenal adenocarcinoma, with married patients having improved OS (P<0.001) and CSS (P=0.001) compared with unmarried patients. Subgroup analysis showed that marital status played a role in the survival of patients at American Joint Committee on Cancer Tumor‑Node‑Metastasis stage I, but not of patients at stages II, III or IV. The survival outcomes for duodenal adenocarcinoma are improved in married patients compared with those in unmarried patients. Therefore, attention should be paid to the impact of social factors and socio‑economic factors on unmarried patients, in order to improve their survival outcomes.
Background: Our goal was to investigate the effect of insurance status on the overall survival (OS) in cases of small intestine adenocarcinoma. Methods: The SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) database was used to identify 3822 patients who were diagnosed with small intestine adenocarcinoma between 2007 and 2015. The proportional hazard ASSUMPTION was evaluated by proportional-hazards assumption test and Schoenfeld residual test. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis were performed to evaluate the association between insurance status and OS. Results: We found that the insurance status at the time of diagnosis affected OS at the population level, both in those aged <65 and ≥65 years. Cox multivariate analysis of patients aged <65 years revealed that the hazard of death was greater in the Medicaid group (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.641, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.299-2.073, P < 0.001] and uninsured group (HR = 1.472, 95% CI = 1.095-1.979, P = 0.010) compared with the insured group, while the OS did not differ significantly between the Medicaid and uninsured groups. Similarly, the hazard of death among patients aged ≥65 years was higher in the Medicaid than the insured group (HR = 1.403, 95% CI = 1.136-1.733, P = 0.002). Conclusion: Our results suggest that patients with small intestine adenocarcinoma with insurance coverage have a significantly better OS than patients who have Medicaid or are uninsured, while the OS does not differ between Medicaid and uninsured patients.
16 November 2016 in European Journal of Clinical Pharmacology