Based on land-use change data, this paper constructed an ecological resilience evaluation model from the three dimensions of resistance, adaptability, and regeneration capacity. The spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of the ecological resilience of urban agglomeration on the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain (UANST) from 1990 to 2020 were studied. The key factors affecting the spatial distribution of ecological resilience were detected. The results showed that (1) from 1990 to 2020, the mean ecological resilience values of the UANST were 0.3371, 0.3326, 0.3330, and 0.3240, showing an overall decreasing trend. The regions with low and medium values of ecological resilience contributed the most to these values. (2) The spatial distribution of the ecological resilience of the UANST was uneven, showing a “sandwich”-type distribution with low values in the south and north of the study area and high values in the middle of the study area. During the study period, the ecological resilience in the north part of the study area declined overall, while the ecological resilience in the south part of the study area increased continuously. (3) The results of the Geodetector model showed that natural and human factors jointly influenced the spatial distribution of the ecological resilience of the UANST, with natural factors dominating and temperature changes being the most sensitive. Finally, the impact of intense human activities on the ecological resilience of the UANST is increasing.

Agricultural production faces the dual challenge of increasing output while ensuring efficient resource utilization and environmental sustainability amid escalating global climate change and relentless increases in human demand. This study used provincial panel data from China from 2001 to 2022 to address these challenges. It systematically evaluated the dynamic evolution of agricultural green total factor productivity (AGTFP) by selecting “resources” and “energy” as core input factors and adopting a dual-output approach focused on “economic” and “low-carbon” outcomes. This study thoroughly analyzed the synergistic mechanisms of factors such as natural endowment, agricultural technology, economic development, and environmental regulation, exploring their impact on AGTFP enhancement through the innovative application of the dynamic fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) method. There was a significant upward trend in AGTFP across China, indicating notable progress in green agricultural development. Additionally, three pathways promoting AGTFP improvement were identified: resource–economy-driven, technology–policy-guided, and multifactor-synergy. Simultaneously, two modes constraining AGTFP enhancement were uncovered: economy–policy suppression and human capital–economy suppression, highlighting the pivotal role of regional economic development and the conditionality of converting natural resource advantages. Moreover, the contributions of these pathways to AGTFP exhibited notable temporal dynamics. Major economic events, such as the 2008 financial crisis and policy shifts, including the 2012 “Ecological Civilization” strategy, significantly altered the effectiveness of existing configurations. Our analysis of regional heterogeneity revealed distinct geographical patterns, with the resource–economy-driven model predominantly observed in central regions and the technology–policy-guided and multi-factor-synergy models more prevalent in central and eastern regions. These findings highlight the importance of formulating differentiated policies tailored to the specific needs and stages of development in different regions. Specifically, enhancing the synergy between resource management and economic development, optimizing technology–policy integration, and promoting coordinated multisectoral development are critical to fostering sustainable agricultural practices. This research provides crucial empirical evidence for shaping targeted policies that can drive green agricultural development across diverse regional contexts.

Although it promotes national economic development, urbanization causes regional ecosystems to suffer from disturbances and impacts that cannot be completely avoided. Ecosystems urgently need to improve their resilience; however, existing studies lack an analysis of the interaction between urbanization and ecological resilience. In this study, the interaction between urbanization and ecological resilience is investigated, taking the urban agglomeration on the north slope of Tianshan Mountain (UANST) as a study area and using the entropy value method to construct an urbanization evaluation system. Based on land use change data, an ecological resilience evaluation model is constructed using the InVSET model, the landscape pattern index, and the unit area value equivalent factor method. The degree of coupling and coordination of the interaction coupling between urbanization and ecological resilience are measured for the years 1990–2020, and their internal action mechanisms are analyzed. The results show that (1) with the development of urbanization, ecological resilience shows a decreasing and then increasing double “U”-shaped change characteristic. (2) The coupling degree of urbanization and ecological resilience in the UANST increased from 0.6888 to 0.9485, and the coordination degree increased from 0.3367 to 0.4410. (3) There are three types of coupling coordination: basic coordination, basic dysfunction, and serious dysfunction. Basic coordination is mainly distributed in the central part of the urban agglomeration, and basic dysfunction and serious dysfunction are mainly concentrated on the east and west sides; the overall trend is to shift from dysfunction to coordination. (4) Economic urbanization plays a driving role, and population urbanization, spatial urbanization, and social urbanization have an inhibitory role in the degree of coupling coordination; base quality and structural stability have a driving role in the degree of coupling coordination, while ecological services have an inhibitory role; and the population density, the proportion of built-up area to the total land area of the city, and the value of ecosystem services have a stronger influence on the level of coupling coordination.