Rainfall erosivity is one of the important factors leading to soil and water erosion, affecting the intensity of soil erosion and the variation of river sediment load. This work aimed to explore the distribution and variation characteristics of rainfall erosivity in the Nandu River Basin in tropical China and to clarify the effect of rainfall erosivity on sediment load variation. The daily rainfall data of 13 meteorological stations in the Nandu River Basin during 1971–2020 were used to calculate the rainfall erosivity of the river basin by using the rainfall erosivity model based on the daily rainfall. The analyses were conducted using the Mann-Kendall non-parametric trend/abrupt test, wavelet analysis, inverse distance weighted interpolation and other research methods to determine the temporal and spatial fluctuation patterns of rainfall erosivity and sediment load. The annual mean rainfall erosivity in the Nandu River Basin during 1971–2020 was 16,497.67 MJ mm·ha⁻¹·h⁻¹, which showed an upward trend. The distribution of rainfall erosivity was concentrated from July to September. Except spring, the variation of rainfall erosivity in summer, autumn and winter showed an upward trend. Spatially, rainfall erosivity showed a decreasing trend from south to north. The variation coefficient of each meteorological station ranged from 0.24 to 0.43, showing high regional variability. The correlation between rainfall erosivity and erosive rainfall in the basin was the highest, followed by altitude and latitude. From 1980 to 2020, the sediment load in the Nandu River Basin showed an overall upward trend, with obvious periodic changes. The main change period was 25 years, and the sediment load had a large inter-annual variation. Taking the period before the inflection point of the double accumulation curve of sediment load and rainfall erosivity as the base period, since 2009, the river sediment load increased by 46.36% compared with the base period. The influence of the variation of rainfall erosivity on sediment load is −22.23%, and that of human activities on sediment load is 122.23%. These findings can provide a scientific reference for soil erosion model prediction, soil and water conservation and environmental management in tropical basins of China.

Rainfall erosivity (RE), a pivotal external force driving soil erosion, is impacted by El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Studying the spatiotemporal variations in RE and their response to ENSO is essential for regional ecological security. In this study, a daily RE model was identified as a calculation model through an evaluation of model suitability. Daily precipitation data from 1971 to 2020 from 38 meteorological stations on Hainan Island, China, were utilized to calculate the RE. The multivariate ENSO index (MEI), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), and Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) were used as the ENSO characterization indices, and the effects of ENSO on RE were investigated via cross-wavelet analysis and binary and multivariate wavelet coherence analysis. During the whole study period, the average RE of Hainan Island was 15,671.28 MJ·mm·ha⁻¹·h⁻¹, with a fluctuating overall upward trend. There were spatial and temporal distribution differences in RE, with temporal concentrations in summer (June–August) and a spatial pattern of decreasing from east to west. During ENSO events, the RE was greater during the El Niño period than during the La Niña period. For the ENSO characterization indices, the MEI, SOI, and ONI showed significant correlations and resonance effects with RE, but there were differences in the time of occurrence, direction of action, and intensity. In addition, the MEI and MEI–ONI affected RE individually or jointly at different time scales. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of the influence of ENSO on RE and can provide important insights for the prediction of soil erosion and the development of related coping strategies.

In rubber plantations, understory coverage is often disrupted by human activities, which increases the risk of soil erosion under intense rainfall typical of tropical islands. Evaluating the effectiveness of soil and water conservation measures (SWCMs) is crucial for effectively conserving subcanopy resources. This study focused on Hainan Island’s rubber plantations, where nine different SWCMs were implemented, and the runoff and sediment yield were monitored during the rainy season using runoff plots. Through correlation analysis, we identified the primary rainfall characteristic factors leading to soil and water loss on rubber plantation slopes. Path analysis was then used to quantify the impacts of these characteristic factors. The results showed that the SWCMs were significantly more effective in erosion reduction (68.55%) than in runoff reduction (58.95%). Of all the measures, comprehensive SWCMs proved most effective in controlling runoff (71.34%), followed by engineering SWCMs (62.03%) and biological SWCMs (43.51%). Comprehensive SWCMs were also found to be effective in erosion reduction, with a rate of 77.84%, surpassing engineering and biological SWCMs by 7.23% and 20.66%, respectively. Notably, the combination of narrow terraces, contour trenches, and grass planting was the most effective, achieving runoff-reduction rates of 80.94% and erosion-reduction rates of 85.27%. This combination is recommended as a primary prevention method. Rainfall and maximum 30-min intensity (I₃₀) were identified as key variables affecting the efficacy of SWCMs, with rainfall positively correlating with runoff yield and I₃₀ being more closely linked to sediment production. This study provides valuable insights for developing erosion control strategies for sloping garden lands in similar regions and lays theoretical foundations for future ecological restoration projects.