An important goal of smart cities is to ensure city safety and reduce city risks. However, because the chemical industry park is often located interior and surroundings of a city, it is easy to induce explosions in case of natural disasters, causing serious losses. To investigate the possibility of explosion damage to other storage tanks in chemical industrial parks caused by tank explosions, the evolution process of tank explosion damage was studied, and an analysis method to determine the most unfavorable process was provided. This method is based on regional grid division and shock wave overpressure calculation to obtain the probability of damage at the grid location. Based on the system fault evolution process, the space fault network model was used to calculate the explosion damage evolution process of each storage tank, and the most unfavorable situation was finally determined. The paper assumes a positive linear relationship between the damage probability of the affected storage tank and the likelihood of explosion. The paper provides a calculation method for regional grid division, tank explosion overpressure, and damage probability. A mathematical model for the evolution process of tank explosion damage was constructed, and it is believed that the damage effects of tanks are a logical superposition. The results can provide a reference for controlling the explosion process in chemical industrial parks under the most unfavorable conditions and realize intelligent analysis and prediction of regional risks.

Safety is one of the goals of a smart city. To study storage tank explosion damage in a city’s chemical industrial parks, determine the position of control measures according to the situation, and realize the analysis of the measured utility, we proposed the area damage probability importance distribution. In this way, the prediction and prevention of risk in chemical industrial parks can be achieved intelligently. The concept of area damage probability importance distribution was given, and the utility analysis method of the control measures for storage tank explosion accidents was put forward. It is concluded that the area damage probability importance distribution represents the change degree of damage probability: that is, the damage degree of storage tank explosion in a chemical industrial park. The control measures for a storage tank explosion can be set up in varying positions, as the explosion damage is mainly caused by shock waves; the blast walls are selected as the measure set, and the calculation method for the area damage probability is modified. By comparing the calculated area damage probability distribution before and after, evaluation of the control measures’ effectiveness can be achieved. Finally, the flow chart of the algorithm is given. The example analysis shows that the calculation process and analysis results meet the design requirements of the algorithm. The effectiveness of the method, the distribution characteristics, and the significance and function of the importance distribution of damage probability are discussed. This provides an effective method for smart cities to predict and prevent the impact of an explosion at chemical industrial parks.