The study of chlorophyll fluorescence parameters is very important for understanding plant photosynthesis. Monitoring cotton chlorophyll fluorescence parameters via spectral technology can aid in understanding the photosynthesis, growth, and stress of cotton fields in real time and provide support for cotton growth regulation and planting management. In this study, cotton plot experiments with different water treatments were set up to obtain the spectral reflectance of the cotton canopy, the maximum photochemical quantum yield (Fv/Fm), and the photochemical quenching coefficient (qP) of leaves at different growth stages. Support vector machine regression (SVR), random forest regression (RFR), and artificial neural network regression (ANNR) were used to establish a fluorescence parameter inversion model of the cotton canopy leaves. The results show that the original spectrum was transformed by multivariate scattering correction (MSC), the standard normal variable (SNV), and continuous wavelet transform (CWT), and the model constructed with Fv/Fm passed accuracy verification. The SNV-SVR model at the budding stage, the MSC-SVR model at the early flowering stage, the SNV-SVR model at the full flowering stage, the MSC-SVR model at the flowering stage, and the CWT-SVR model at the full boll stage had the highest estimation accuracy. The accuracies of the three spectral preprocessing and qP models were verified, and the MSC-SVR model at the budding stage, SNV-SVR model at the early flowering stage, MSC-SVR model at the full flowering stage, SNV-SVR model at the flowering stage, and CWT-SVR model at the full boll stage presented the highest estimation accuracies.

With the increasing application of hyperspectral technology, rapid and accurate monitoring of cotton leaf nitrogen concentrations (LNCs) has become an effective tool for large-scale areas. This study used Tahe No. 2 cotton seeds with four nitrogen levels (0, 200, 350, 500 kg ha⁻¹) and four phosphorus levels (0, 100, 200, 300 kg ha⁻¹). Spectral data were acquired using an ASD FieldSpec HandHeld2 portable spectrometer, which measures spectral reflectance covering a band of 325–1075 nm with a spectral resolution of 1 nm. LNCs determination and spectral estimation were conducted at six growth stages: squaring, initial bloom, peak bloom, initial boll, peak boll, and boll opening. Thirty-seven spectral indices (SIs) were selected. First derivative (FD), standard normal variate (SNV), multiplicative scatter correction (MSC), and Savitzky–Golay (SG) were applied to preprocess the spectra. Feature bands were screened using partial least squares discriminant analysis (PLS–DA), and support vector machine (SVM) and random forest (RF) models were used for accuracy validation. The results revealed that (1) LNCs initially increased and then decreased with growth, peaking at the full-flowering stage before gradually declining. (2) The best LNC recognition models were SVM–MSC in the squaring stage, SVM–FD in the initial bloom stage, SVM–FD in the peak bloom stage, SVM–FD in the initial boll stage, RF–SNV in the peak boll Mstage, and SVM–FD in the boll opening stage. FD showed the best performance compared with the other three treatments, with SVM outperforming RF in terms of higher R² and lower RMSE values. The SVM–FD model effectively improved the accuracy and robustness of LNCs prediction using hyperspectral leaf spectra, providing valuable guidance for large-scale information production in high-standard cotton fields.