Photovoltaic (PV) energy generation plays a crucial role in the energy transition. Small-scale, rooftop PV installations are deployed at an unprecedented pace, and their safe integration into the grid requires up-to-date, high-quality information. Overhead imagery is increasingly being used to improve the knowledge of rooftop PV installations with machine learning models capable of automatically mapping these installations. However, these models cannot be reliably transferred from one region or imagery source to another without incurring a decrease in accuracy. To address this issue, known as distribution shift, and foster the development of PV array mapping pipelines, we propose a dataset containing aerial images, segmentation masks, and installation metadata (i.e., technical characteristics). We provide installation metadata for more than 28000 installations. We supply ground truth segmentation masks for 13000 installations, including 7000 with annotations for two different image providers. Finally, we provide installation metadata that matches the annotation for more than 8000 installations. Dataset applications include end-to-end PV registry construction, robust PV installations mapping, and analysis of crowdsourced datasets.

The global photovoltaic (PV) installed capacity, vital for the electric sector’s decarbonation, reached 1552.3 ${\mathrm{GW}}_p$ in 2023. In France, the capacity stood at 19.9 ${\mathrm{GW}}_p$ in April 2024. The growth of the PV installed capacity over a year was nearly 32% worldwide and 15.7% in France. However, integrating PV electricity into grids is hindered by poor knowledge of rooftop PV systems, constituting 20% of France’s installed capacity, and the lack of measurements of the production stemming from these systems. This problem of lack of measurements of the rooftop PV power production is referred to as the lack of observability. Using ground-truth measurements of individual PV systems, available at an unprecedented temporal and spatial scale, we show that by estimating the PV power production of an individual rooftop system by combining solar irradiance and temperature data, the characteristics of the PV system inferred from remote sensing methods and an irradiation-to-electric power conversion model provides accurate estimations of the PV power production. We report an average estimation error (measured with the pRMSE) of 10% relative to the system size. Our study shows that we can improve rooftop PV observability, and thus its integration into the electric grid, using little information on these systems, a simple model of the PV system, and weather data. More broadly, this study shows that limited information is sufficient to derive a reasonably good estimation of the PV power production of small-scale systems.

Photovoltaic (PV) energy grows rapidly and is crucial for the decarbonization of electric systems. However, centralized registries recording the technical characteristics of rooftop PV systems are often missing, making it difficult to monitor this growth accurately. The lack of monitoring could threaten the integration of PV energy into the grid. To avoid this situation, remote sensing of rooftop PV systems using deep learning has emerged as a promising solution. However, existing techniques are not reliable enough to be used by public authorities or transmission system operators (TSOs) to construct up-to-date statistics on the rooftop PV fleet. The lack of reliability comes from deep learning models being sensitive to distribution shifts. This work comprehensively evaluates distribution shifts’ effects on the classification accuracy of deep learning models trained to detect rooftop PV panels on overhead imagery. We construct a benchmark to isolate the sources of distribution shifts and introduce a novel methodology that leverages explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) and decomposition of the input image and model’s decision regarding scales to understand how distribution shifts affect deep learning models. Finally, based on our analysis, we introduce a data augmentation technique designed to improve the robustness of deep learning classifiers under varying acquisition conditions. Our proposed approach outperforms competing methods and can close the gap with more demanding unsupervised domain adaptation methods. We discuss practical recommendations for mapping PV systems using overhead imagery and deep learning models.

The global photovoltaic (PV) installed capacity, vital for the electric sector decarbonation, has reached 1,552.3 GWp in 2023. In France, the capacity stood in April 2024 at 19.9 GWp. The growth of the PV installed capacity over a year was nearly 32% worldwide and 15.7% in France. However, integrating PV electricity into grids is hindered by poor knowledge of rooftop PV systems, constituting 20% of France's installed capacity, and the lack of measurements of the production stemming from these systems. This problem of lack of measurements of the rooftop PV power production is referred to as the lack of observability. Using ground truth measurements of individual PV systems, available at an unprecedented temporal and spatial scale, we show that estimating the PV power production of an individual rooftop system by combining solar irradiance and temperature data, the characteristics of the PV system inferred from remote sensing methods and an irradiation-to-electric power conversion model provides accurate estimations of the PV power production. Our study shows that we can improve rooftop PV observability, and thus its integration into the electric grid, using little information on these systems, a simple model of the PV system and weather data.