Cities concentrate people, wealth, emissions, and infrastructure, thus representing a challenge and an opportunity for climate change mitigation and adaptation. This urgently demands for accurate urban climate projections to help organizations and individuals to make climate-smart decisions. However, most of the large ensembles of global and regional climate model simulations do not include sophisticated urban parameterizations (e.g., EURO-CORDEX; CMIP5/6). Here, we explore this shortcoming in ERA5 (the latest generation reanalysis from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) and in a simulation with the SURFEX (Surface Externalisée) land surface model employing the widely used bulk bare rock approach. The city of Paris is considered as a case study. Subsequently, we apply a more complex urban scheme – SURFEX coupled to the Town Energy Balance (TEB) urban canopy model to assess its benefits on characterizing the Paris urban climate. Both simulations and ERA5 were compared to the LSA SAF (Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis) land surface temperature product to evaluate the simulation of Parisian surface urban heat island (SUHI). Our results show a significant added value of SURFEX-TEB in reproducing the SUHI during the daytime and the UHI during both the daytime and nighttime (with overall reductions in the bias and root mean square error and improvements in the representation of the statistics of the SUHI/UHI displayed by the Perkins skill score or S score). The improvement in the simulated SUHI is lower during the nighttime due to the lack of land–atmosphere feedbacks in the proposed offline framework. Nonetheless, the offline SURFEX-TEB framework applied here clearly demonstrates the added value of using more comprehensive parameterization schemes to simulate the urban climate and, therefore, allowing the improvement of urban climate projections.

The Fire Weather Index (FWI) is widely used to assess the meteorological fire danger in several ecosystems worldwide. One shortcoming of the FWI is that only surface weather conditions are considered, despite the important role often played by atmospheric instability in the development of very large wildfires. In this work, we focus on the Iberian Peninsula for the period spanning 2004–2018. We show that atmospheric instability, assessed by the Continuous Haines Index (CHI), can be used to improve estimates of the probability of exceedance of energy released by fires. To achieve this, we consider a Generalized Pareto (GP) model and we show that by stepwisely introducing the FWI and then the CHI as covariates of the GP parameters, the model is improved at each stage. A comprehensive comparison of results using the GP with the FWI as a covariate and the GP with both the FWI and CHI as covariates allowed us to then define a correction to the FWI, dependent on the CHI, that we coined enhanced FWI (FWIe). Besides ensuring a better performance of this improved FWI version, it is important to stress that the proposed FWIe incorporates efficiently the effect of atmospheric instability into an estimation of fire weather danger and can be easily incorporated into existing systems.

Remote sensing satellite data have been a crucial tool in understanding urban climates. The variety of sensors with different spatiotemporal characteristics and retrieval methodologies gave rise to a multitude of approaches when analyzing the surface urban heat island effect (SUHI). Although there are considerable advantages that arise from these different characteristics (spatiotemporal resolution, time of observation, etc.), it also means that there is a need for understanding the ability of sensors in capturing spatial and temporal SUHI patterns. For this, several land surface temperature products are compared for the cities of Madrid and Paris, retrieved from five sensors: the Spinning Enhanced Visible and InfraRed Imager onboard Meteosat Second Generation, the Advanced Very-High-Resolution Radiometer onboard Metop, the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer onboard both Aqua and Terra, and the Thermal Infrared Sensor onboard Landsat 8 and 9. These products span a wide range of LST algorithms, including split-window, single-channel, and temperature–emissivity separation methods. Results show that the diurnal amplitude of SUHI may not be well represented when considering daytime and nighttime polar orbiting platforms. Also, significant differences arise in SUHI intensity and spatial and temporal variability due to the different methods implemented for LST retrieval.

Remote sensing of land surface temperature (LST) is a fundamental variable in analyzing temperature variability in urban areas. Geostationary sensors provide sufficient observations throughout the day for a diurnal analysis of temperature, however, lack the spatial resolution needed for highly heterogeneous areas such as cities. Polar orbiting sensors have the advantage of a higher spatial resolution, enabling a better characterization of the surface while only providing one to two observations per day. This work aims at using a multi-layer perceptron-based method to downscale geostationary-derived LST based on a polar-orbit-derived one. The model is trained on a pixel-by-pixel basis, which reduces the complexity of the model while requiring fewer auxiliary data to characterize the surface conditions. Results show that the model is able to successfully downscale LST for the city of Madrid, from approximately 4.5 km to 750 m. Performance metrics between training and validation datasets show no overfitting. The model was applied to a different time period and compared to data derived from three additional sensors, which were not used in any stage of the training process, yielding a R² of 0.99, root mean square errors between 1.45 and 1.58 and mean absolute errors ranging from 1.07 to 1.15. The downscaled LST is shown to improve the representation of both the temporal variability and spatial heterogeneity of temperature, when compared to geostationary- and polar-orbit-derived LST individually. The resulting downscaled data take advantage of the high observation frequency of geostationary data, combined with the spatial resolution of polar orbiting sensors and may be of added value for the study of diurnal and seasonal patterns of LST in urban environments.

We describe a methodology to discriminate burned areas and date burning events that use a burn-sensitive (V, W) index system defined in near-/mid-infrared space. Discrimination of burned areas relies on a monthly composite of minimum of W and on the difference between this composite and that of the previous month. The rationale is to identify pixels with high confidence of having burned and aggregate new burned pixels on a contextual basis. Dating of burning events is based on the analysis of time series of W, and searching for the day before maximum temporal separability is achieved. The procedure is applied to the fire of Monchique, a large event that took place in the southwest of Portugal in August 2018. When the obtained pattern of burned pixels is compared against a reference map, the overall accuracy is larger than 99%; the commission and omission errors are lower than 5 and 10%, respectively; and the bias and the Dice coefficient are above 0.95 and 0.9, respectively. Differences between estimated dates of burning and reference dates derived from remote-sensed observations of active fires show a bias of 0.03 day and a root mean square difference of 0.24 day.