The world faces an unprecedented SARS-CoV2 pandemic where many critical factors still remain unknown. The case fatality rates (CFR) reported in the context of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic substantially differ between countries. For SARS-CoV-2 infection with its broad clinical spectrum from asymptomatic to severe disease courses, the infection fatality rate (IFR) is the more reliable parameter to predict the consequences of the pandemic. Here we combined virus RT-PCR testing and assessment for SARS-CoV2 antibodies to determine the total number of individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infections in a given population. Methods: A sero-epidemiological GCP- and GEP-compliant study was performed in a small German town which was exposed to a super-spreading event (carnival festivities) followed by strict social distancing measures causing a transient wave of infections. Questionnaire-based information and biomaterials were collected from a random, household-based study population within a seven-day period, six weeks after the outbreak. The number of present and past infections was determined by integrating results from anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG analyses in blood, PCR testing for viral RNA in pharyngeal swabs and reported previous positive PCR tests. Results: Of the 919 individuals with evaluable infection status (out of 1,007; 405 households) 15.5% (95% CI: [12.3%; 19.0%]) were infected. This is 5-fold higher than the number of officially reported cases for this community (3.1%). Infection was associated with characteristic symptoms such as loss of smell and taste. 22.2% of all infected individuals were asymptomatic. With the seven SARS-CoV-2-associated reported deaths the estimated IFR was 0.36% [0.29%; 0.45%]. Age and sex were not found to be associated with the infection rate. Participation in carnival festivities increased both the infection rate (21.3% vs. 9.5%, p<0.001) and the number of symptoms in the infected (estimated relative mean increase 1.6, p=0.007). The risk of a person being infected was not found to be associated with the number of study participants in the household this person lived in. The secondary infection risk for study participants living in the same household increased from 15.5% to 43.6%, to 35.5% and to 18.3% for households with two, three or four people respectively (p<0.001). Conclusions: While the number of infections in this high prevalence community is not representative for other parts of the world, the IFR calculated on the basis of the infection rate in this community can be utilized to estimate the percentage of infected based on the number of reported fatalities in other places with similar population characteristics. Whether the specific circumstances of a super-spreading event not only have an impact on the infection rate and number of symptoms but also on the IFR requires further investigation. The unexpectedly low secondary infection risk among persons living in the same household has important implications for measures installed to contain the SARS-CoV-2 virus pandemic.

In the current COVID‐19 pandemic, a better understanding of the relationship between merely binding and functionally neutralizing antibodies is necessary to characterize protective antiviral immunity following infection or vaccination. This study analyzes the level of correlation between the novel quantitative EUROIMMUN Anti‐SARS‐CoV‐2 QuantiVac ELISA (IgG) and a microneutralization assay. A panel of 123 plasma samples from a COVID‐19 outbreak study population, preselected by semiquantitative anti‐SARS‐CoV‐2 IgG testing, was used to assess the relationship between the novel quantitative ELISA (IgG) and a microneutralization assay. Binding IgG targeting the S1 antigen was detected in 106 (86.2%) samples using the QuantiVac ELISA, while 89 (72.4%) samples showed neutralizing antibody activity. Spearman's correlation analysis demonstrated a strong positive relationship between anti‐S1 IgG levels and neutralizing antibody titers (r_s= 0.819, p < 0.0001). High and low anti‐S1 IgG levels were associated with a positive predictive value of 72.0% for high‐titer neutralizing antibodies and a negative predictive value of 90.8% for low‐titer neutralizing antibodies, respectively. These results substantiate the implementation of the QuantiVac ELISA to assess protective immunity following infection or vaccination.

Inflammasomes integrate cytosolic evidence of infection or damage to mount inflammatory responses. The inflammasome sensor NLRP1 is expressed in human keratinocytes and coordinates inflammation in the skin. We found that diverse stress signals induce human NLRP1 inflammasome assembly by activating MAP kinase p38: While the ribotoxic stress response to UV and microbial molecules exclusively activates p38 through MAP3K ZAKα, infection with arthropod-borne alphaviruses, including Semliki Forest and Chikungunya virus, activates p38 through ZAKα and potentially other MAP3K. We demonstrate that p38 directly phosphorylates NLRP1 and that serine 107 in the linker region is critical for activation. NLRP1 phosphorylation is followed by ubiquitination of NLRP1PYD, N-terminal degradation of NLRP1, and nucleation of inflammasomes by NLRP1UPA-CARD. In contrast, activation of NLRP1 by nanobody-mediated ubiquitination, viral proteases, or inhibition of DPP9 was independent of p38 activity. Taken together, we define p38 activation as a unifying signaling hub that controls NLRP1 inflammasome activation by integrating a variety of cellular stress signals relevant to the skin.

Most viruses of the genus Flavivirus , e.g., YFV and dengue virus, are mosquito borne and transmitted to vertebrates during blood feeding of mosquitoes. Within the last decade, an increasing number of viruses with a host range exclusively restricted to insects in close relationship to the vertebrate-pathogenic flaviviruses were discovered in mosquitoes. To identify barriers that could block the arboviral vertebrate tropism, we set out to identify the steps at which the ISF replication cycle fails in vertebrates. Our studies revealed blocks at several levels, suggesting that flavivirus host range expansion from insects to vertebrates was a complex process that involved overcoming multiple barriers.

The yellow fever 17D vaccine (YF17D) is highly effective but is frequently administered to individuals with pre-existing cross-reactive immunity, potentially impacting their immune responses. Here, we investigate the impact of pre-existing flavivirus immunity induced by the tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV) vaccine on the response to YF17D vaccination in 250 individuals up to 28 days post-vaccination (pv) and 22 individuals sampled one-year pv. Our findings indicate that previous TBEV vaccination does not affect the early IgM-driven neutralizing response to YF17D. However, pre-vaccination sera enhance YF17D virus infection in vitro via antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE). Following YF17D vaccination, TBEV-pre-vaccinated individuals develop high amounts of cross-reactive IgG antibodies with poor neutralizing capacity. In contrast, TBEV-unvaccinated individuals elicit a non-cross-reacting neutralizing response. Using YF17D envelope protein mutants displaying different epitopes, we identify quaternary dimeric epitopes as the primary target of neutralizing antibodies. Additionally, TBEV-pre-vaccination skews the IgG response towards the pan-flavivirus fusion loop epitope (FLE), capable of mediating ADE of dengue and Zika virus infections in vitro. Together, we propose that YF17D vaccination conceals the FLE in individuals without prior flavivirus exposure but favors a cross-reactive IgG response in TBEV-pre-vaccinated recipients directed to the FLE with potential to enhance dengue virus infection.