Solar irradiance forecasting has been an essential topic in renewable energy generation. Forecasting is an important task because it can improve the planning and operation of photovoltaic systems, resulting in economic advantages. Traditionally, single models are employed in this task. However, issues regarding the selection of an inappropriate model, misspecification, or the presence of random fluctuations in the solar irradiance series can result in this approach underperforming. This paper proposes a heterogeneous ensemble dynamic selection model, named HetDS, to forecast solar irradiance. For each unseen test pattern, HetDS chooses the most suitable forecasting model based on a pool of seven well-known literature methods: ARIMA, support vector regression (SVR), multilayer perceptron neural network (MLP), extreme learning machine (ELM), deep belief network (DBN), random forest (RF), and gradient boosting (GB). The experimental evaluation was performed with four data sets of hourly solar irradiance measurements in Brazil. The proposed model attained an overall accuracy that is superior to the single models in terms of five well-known error metrics.
In automotive industries, pricing anomalies may occur for components of different products, despite their similar physical characteristics, which raises the total production cost of the company. However, detecting such discrepancies is often neglected since it is necessary to find the problems considering the observation of thousands of pieces, which often present inconsistencies when specified by the product engineering team. In this investigation, we propose a solution for a real case study. We use as strategy a set of clustering algorithms to group components by similarity: K-Means, K-Medoids, Fuzzy C-Means (FCM), Hierarchical, Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN), Self-Organizing Maps (SOM), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Differential Evolution (DE). We observed that the methods could automatically perform the grouping of parts considering physical characteristics present in the material master data, allowing anomaly detection and identification, which can consequently lead to cost reduction. The computational results indicate that the Hierarchical approach presented the best performance on 1 of 6 evaluation metrics and was the second place on four others indexes, considering the Borda count method. The K-Medoids win for most metrics, but it was the second best positioned due to its bad performance regarding SI-index. By the end, this proposal allowed identify mistakes in the specification and pricing of some items in the company.
Accurate photovoltaic (PV) panel characterization is critical for optimizing renewable energy systems, but it is often hindered by the high cost of commercial tracers or the slow, error-prone nature of manual methods. This paper presents a low-cost, Arduino-based I–V curve tracer that overcomes these limitations through fully automated resistive load switching. By integrating a relay-controlled resistor bank managed by a single microcontroller, the system eliminates the need for manual intervention, enabling rapid and repeatable measurements in just 45 s. This rapid acquisition is a key advantage over manual systems, as it minimizes the impact of fluctuating environmental conditions and ensures the resulting I–V curve represents a stable operating point. Compared to commercial alternatives, our open-source solution offers significant benefits in cost, portability, and flexibility, making it ideal for field deployment. The system’s use of fixed, stable resistive loads for each measurement point also ensures high repeatability and straightforward comparison with theoretical models. Experimental validation demonstrated high agreement with a single-diode PV model, achieving a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 4.40% against the manufacturer’s data. Furthermore, re-optimizing the model with field-acquired data reduces the MAPE from 18.23% to 7.06% under variable irradiance. This work provides an accessible, robust, and efficient tool for PV characterization, democratizing access for research, education, and field diagnostics.
Sugar is an important commodity that is used beyond the food industry. It can be produced from sugarcane and sugar beet, depending on the region. Prices worldwide differ due to high volatility, making it difficult to estimate their forecast. Thus, the present work aims to predict the prices of kilograms of sugar from four databases: the European Union, the United States, Brazil, and the world. To achieve this, linear methods from the Box and Jenkins family were employed, together with classic and new approaches of artificial neural networks: the feedforward Multilayer Perceptron and extreme learning machines, and the recurrent proposals Elman Network, Jordan Network, and Echo State Networks considering two reservoir designs. As performance metrics, the MAE and MSE were addressed. The results indicated that the neural models were more accurate than linear ones. In addition, the MLP and the Elman networks stood out as the winners.