When urban rail transit is faced with a large number of commuter passengers during peak periods, passengers are often waiting for the next train because the subway is running at full load, which causes delays to the overall travel time of passengers. The calculation and prediction of the congestion delay in subway stations can guide the operation department and passengers to make better planning and selection. In this paper, we use a new method based on deep learning technology to evaluate the congestion delay of subway stations. Firstly, we use automatic fare collection (AFC) system data to evaluate the congestion delays of stations. Then, we use a convolutional long short-term memory (Conv-LSTM) network to extract spatial and temporal characteristics to solve the short-term prediction problem of the subway congestion delay in the network structure. The spatiotemporal variables include inbound passenger flow, outbound passenger flow, number of passengers delayed, and average delay time. As a spatiotemporal sequence, the input and prediction targets are both spatiotemporal three-dimensional tensors in the end-to-end training model. The effectiveness of the method is verified by a case study of the Chongqing Rail Transit. Experimental results show that Conv-LSTM is better than the benchmark models in capturing spatial and temporal correlation.

With the continuous growth in the volume of global air transportation, the carbon emissions of the civil aviation industry have received increasing attention. Carbon emission reduction in civil aviation is an inevitable requirement for achieving sustainable social development. This article aims to use system dynamics (SD) methods to establish a carbon emission model for the civil aviation industry that includes economic, demographic, technological, policy, and behavioral factors; analyze the key factors that affect carbon emissions; and explore effective emission reduction strategies. Researchers have found that SD-based carbon emission prediction has a high accuracy and is suitable for predicting carbon emissions in civil aviation. Through different scenario simulations, it has been found that any single emission reduction measure will struggle to effectively contribute to the expected carbon reductions in China’s civil aviation. Simultaneously adopting measures such as improving fuel efficiency, adopting clean energy, and using new-power aircraft is an effective way to reduce carbon emissions from civil aviation. In addition, policy intervention and technological innovation are equally crucial for achieving long-term emission reduction goals. The research results not only provide a scientific basis for the sustainable development of the aviation industry but also provide a reference for policymakers to formulate comprehensive emission reduction strategies.

Grasping the effective carrying capacity of airport hub subway stations in real-time serves as the foundation for enhancing the safety assurance capability of the hub. Starting from the perspectives of multiple subsystems, including people, stations, and trains, and combining passenger flow, system structure, and multiple attributes of trains, a system dynamics (SD) model for passenger travel in airport hub subway stations is established. The model is simulated using Vensim PLE 5.9d to analyze the effective carrying capacity of the transfer system under the existing configuration and layout of transfer facilities and equipment in the hub. The model features a modular architecture and interface, enabling quick and easy model establishment, and adapts to various configurations and operational characteristics of airport hub subway stations in a user-friendly manner. Multiple sensitivity simulation analysis experiments are designed to analyze changes in passenger flow density from multiple perspectives. This method can calculate the effective carrying capacity of airport hub subway stations, providing a scientific basis for planning, construction, and operational management. The effectiveness of the model is verified by analyzing the Pudong International Airport terminal subway station.