The emergence of mobile technology offers new opportunities to improve clinical guideline adherence in resource-limited settings. We conducted a clinical pilot study in rural Bangladesh to evaluate the impact of a smartphone adaptation of the World Health Organization (WHO) diarrheal disease management guidelines, including a modality for age-based weight estimation. Software development was guided by end-user input and evaluated in a resource-limited district and sub-district hospital during the fall 2015 cholera season; both hospitals lacked scales which necessitated weight estimation. The study consisted of a 6 week pre-intervention and 6 week intervention period with a 10-day post-discharge follow-up. Standard of care was maintained throughout the study with the exception that admitting clinicians used the tool during the intervention. Inclusion criteria were patients two months of age and older with uncomplicated diarrheal disease. The primary outcome was adherence to guidelines for prescriptions of intravenous (IV) fluids, antibiotics and zinc. A total of 841 patients were enrolled (325 pre-intervention; 516 intervention). During the intervention, the proportion of prescriptions for IV fluids decreased at the district and sub-district hospitals (both p < 0.001) with risk ratios (RRs) of 0.5 and 0.2, respectively. However, when IV fluids were prescribed, the volume better adhered to recommendations. The proportion of prescriptions for the recommended antibiotic azithromycin increased (p < 0.001 district; p = 0.035 sub-district) with RRs of 6.9 (district) and 1.6 (sub-district) while prescriptions for other antibiotics decreased; zinc adherence increased. Limitations included an absence of a concurrent control group and no independent dehydration assessment during the pre-intervention. Despite limitations, opportunities were identified to improve clinical care, including better assessment, weight estimation, and fluid/ antibiotic selection. These findings demonstrate that a smartphone-based tool can improve guideline adherence. This study should serve as a catalyst for a randomized controlled trial to expand on the findings and address limitations. Diarrheal disease is responsible for one in ten deaths among children less than five years of age globally. Innovative interventions to address gaps in the clinical care of these patients are lacking, yet will likely reduce the morbidity and mortality from diarrheal diseases. Therefore, the objective of this pilot study was to take a technology-enabled approach to improve guideline adherence, including antibiotic selection for diarrheal disease management in a resource-limited setting. To do this we adapted WHO guidelines to a smartphone platform and evaluated the approach in Bangladesh at two rural hospitals. The platform was durable and demonstrated positive improvement in guideline adherence. The results suggest that the decision-support tool was associated with a decrease in intravenous fluid use while maintaining safety, an increase in use of the recommended antibiotic, and a decrease in use of medications not recommended. This study represents a critical first step towards technology-enabled decision-support tools for diarrheal disease in resource-limited settings.

While numerous studies have assessed the association of diarrhea with temperature, few have addressed the relationship between within-day variation of temperature and diarrhea. We investigated the association between diurnal temperature range (DTR) and daily counts of hospitalizations for all-cause diarrhea in Dhaka, Bangladesh using time series regression analysis employing distributed lag-linear models. Defining DTRs below 10th, 5th and 1st percentiles as low, very low and extremely low DTR, and DTRs above 90th, 95th and 99th percentiles as high, very high and extremely high DTRs, we additionally analyzed the effects of extreme DTR on diarrhea hospitalization. Effects were assessed for all ages, under-5 children and by gender. Although we did not find any significant effects of overall DTR and large DTRs, we detected significant effects of small DTRs on diarrhea hospitalization in all subgroups. A unit rise in low, very low and extremely low DTR was associated with a 4.9 % (95 % CI: 3.6 – 6.2), 7.1 % (95 % CI: 5.4 – 8.9) and 11.8 % (95 % CI: 8.3 – 15.5) increase in all-cause diarrhea hospitalization in all ages, respectively. A unit increase in low, very low and extremely low DTR was associated with a 4.9 %, 5.1 % and 18.4 % increase in all-cause diarrhea hospitalization in children under 5 years of age, respectively. The impact of extremely low DTR varied by gender (16.2 % in females versus 10.1 % in males). The effect of extremely low DTR was most pronounced in children under 5 years of age. Less variation in within-day temperatures is a risk factor for diarrhea hospitalization in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Further research is needed to elucidate the causal pathways and identify the preventive measures necessary to mitigate the impacts of lowering DTRs on diarrhea.

Dhaka is one of the world’s densely populated cities and faces significant public health challenges including high burden of diarrhoeal diseases. Climate change is intensifying existing environmental problems including urban heat island effect and poor water quality. While numerous epidemiological studies have linked meteorological factors to diarrhoeal diseases in Bangladesh, assessment of the impacts of future climate change on diarrhoeal diseases is scarce. We provide the assessment of climate change impacts on diarrhoeal disease in Dhaka and project future health risks under climate change scenarios. About 3 million acute diarrhoea cases presenting to the Dhaka Hospital of the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research Bangladesh (icddr,b) during 1981–2010 were linked to daily temperature, rainfall and humidity and association investigated using time series adapted negative binomial regression models employing constrained distributed lag linear models. The findings were applied to climate projections to estimate future risks of diarrhoea under various global warming scenarios. There was a significantly raised risk of diarrhoea hospitalisation in all ages with daily mean temperature (RR: 3.4, 95% CI: 3.0–3.7) after controlling for the confounding effects of heavy rainfall, humidity, autocorrelations, day of the week effect, long-term time, and seasonal trends. Using the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 1.034, temperature increases based on the global warming targets of 1.5–2°C could result in an increase of diarrhoea hospitalisations by 4.5–7.4% in all age groups by the 2100s. These effects were more pronounced among <5 children where the predicted temperature increases could raise diarrhoea hospitalisation by 5.7% - 9.4%. Diarrhoea hospitalisation will increase significantly in Dhaka even if the global warming targets adopted by the Paris Agreement is reached. This underscores the importance of preparing the city for management and prevention of diarrhoeal diseases.

In November 2011, a government hospital physician in Shibganj sub-district of Bangladesh reported a cluster of patients with fever and joint pain or rash. A multi-disciplinary team investigated to characterize the outbreak; confirm the cause; and recommend control and prevention measures. Shibganj's residents with new onset of fever and joint pain or rash between 1 September and 15 December 2011 were defined as chikungunya fever (CHIKF) suspect cases. To estimate the attack rate, we identified 16 outpatient clinics in 16 selected wards across 16 unions in Shibganj and searched for suspect cases in the 80 households nearest to each outpatient clinic. One suspect case from the first 30 households in each ward was invited to visit the nearest outpatient clinic for clinical assessment and to provide a blood sample for laboratory testing and analyses. We identified 1,769 CHIKF suspect cases from among 5,902 residents surveyed (30%). Their median age was 28 (IQR:15−42) years. The average attack rate in the sub-district was 30% (95% CI: 27%−33%). The lowest attack rate was found in children <5 years (15%). Anti-CHIKV IgM antibodies were detected by ELISA in 78% (264) of the 338 case samples tested. In addition to fever, predominant symptoms of serologically-confirmed cases included joint pain (97%), weakness (54%), myalgia (47%), rash (42%), itching (37%) and malaise (31%). Among the sero-positive patients, 79% (209/264) sought healthcare from outpatient clinics. CHIKV was isolated from two cases and phylogenetic analyses of full genome sequences placed these viruses within the Indian Ocean Lineage (IOL). Molecular analysis identified mutations in E2 and E1 glycoproteins and contained the E1 A226V point mutation. The consistently high attack rate by age groups suggested recent introduction of chikungunya in this community. Mosquito control efforts should be enhanced to reduce the risk of continued transmission and to improve global health security.