Ground-based microwave radiometers (MWRPS) can provide continuous atmospheric temperature and relative humidity profiles for a weather prediction model. We investigated the impact of assimilation of ground-based microwave radiometers based on the rapid-refresh multiscale analysis and prediction system-short term (RMAPS-ST). In this study, five MWRP-retrieved profiles were assimilated for the precipitation enhancement that occurred in Beijing on 21 May 2020. To evaluate the influence of their assimilation, two experiments with and without the MWRPS assimilation were set. Compared to the control experiment, which only assimilated conventional observations and radar data, the MWRPS experiment, which assimilated conventional observations, the ground-based microwave radiometer profiles and the radar data, had a positive impact on the forecasts of the RMAPS-ST. The results show that in comparison with the control test, the MWRPS experiment reproduced the heat island phenomenon in the observation better. The MWRPS assimilation reduced the bias and RMSE of two-meter temperature and two-meter specific humidity forecasting in the 0–12 h of the forecast range. Furthermore, assimilating the MWRPS improved both the distribution and the intensity of the hourly rainfall forecast, as compared with that of the control experiment, with observations that predicted the process of the precipitation enhancement in the urban area of Beijing.

Robust water management is in intense demand in many water scarcity areas, such as arid and semi-arid regions in the world. As part of the regional water management strategy, rain enhancement is vital to replenish groundwater reservoirs, and the key challenge is how to assess its effectiveness. Some recent weather modification experiments attained cloud seeding effect through advanced in situ measurement coupled with accurate numerical simulation. However, there is still a lack of an objective and scientific approach to quantitatively evaluate the rain enhancement effect, especially for many non-randomized operational cloud seeding activities in China. In this study, we proposed a composite evaluation approach by analyzing two operational aircraft cloud seeding cases in stratus clouds in Shaanxi, China. By calculating the aircraft cloud seeding agent plumes, the target areas (as well as the control areas) of cloud seeding were dynamically and roughly determined. Physical properties, such as radar reflectivity and precipitation, were individually quantified in these areas. The cloud seeding effect was then evaluated by calculating the difference in parameter variation between target and control areas. This approach can be applied to qualitative analysis in a single aircraft cloud seeding operation and can also provide quantitative statistical results from multiple cloud seeding cases. We found that the average precipitation enhancement percentage of 18 operational aircraft cloud seeding cases is ~4.84%. Note that the homogeneity hypothesis of the seeding cloud, the error in the calculation of the target area, and the selection of control areas are the major uncertainties likely in the evaluation of the cloud seeding effect by this approach.

The FAO56 Penman–Monteith model (FAO56-PM) is widely used for estimating reference crop evapotranspiration (ET₀). However, key variables such as shortwave radiation (R_s) and net longwave radiation (R_ln) are often unavailable at most weather stations. While previous studies have focused on calibrating R_s, the influence of large R_ln, particularly in high-altitude regions with thin air, remains unexplored. This study investigates this issue by using observed data from Bange in central Tibet to identify the optimal methods for estimating R_s and R_ln to accurately calculate ET₀. The findings reveal that the average daily R_ln was 8.172 MJ m⁻² d⁻¹ at Bange, much larger than that at the same latitude. The original FAO56-PM model may produce seemingly accurate ET₀ estimates due to compensating errors: underestimated R_ln offsetting underestimated net shortwave radiation (R_sn). Merely calibrating R_s does not improve ET₀ accuracy but may exacerbate errors. The Liu-S was the empirical model for R_s estimation calibrated by parameterization over the Tibetan Plateau and the Allen-LC was the empirical model for R_ln estimation calibrated by local measurements in central Tibet. The combination of the Liu-S and Allen-LC methods showed much-improved performance in ET₀ estimation, yielding a high Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.889 and a low relative error of −5.7%. This strategy is indicated as optimal for ET₀ estimation in central Tibet. Trend analysis based on this optimal strategy indicates significant increases in ET₀ in central Tibet from 2000 to 2020, with projections suggesting a continued rise through 2100 under climate change scenarios, though with increasing uncertainty over time. However, the rapidly increasing trends in precipitation will lead to decreasing trends in agricultural water use for highland parley production in central Tibet under climate change scenarios. The findings in this study provide critical information for irrigation planning to achieve sustainable agricultural production over the Tibetan Plateau.

Accurate short-term weather forecasting plays a vital role in disaster response, agriculture, and energy management, where timely and reliable predictions are essential for decision-making. Graph neural networks (GNNs), known for their ability to model complex spatial structures and relational data, have achieved remarkable success in meteorological forecasting by effectively capturing spatial dependencies among distributed weather stations. However, most existing GNN-based approaches rely on pairwise station connections, limiting their capacity to represent higher-order spatial interactions. Moreover, their dependence on supervised learning makes them vulnerable to spatial heterogeneity and temporal non-stationarity. This paper introduces a novel spatial–temporal pretraining framework, Hypergraph-enhanced Meteorological Pretraining (HyMePre), which combines hypergraph neural networks with self-supervised learning to model high-order spatial dependencies and improve generalization across diverse climate regimes. HyMePre employs a two-stage masking strategy, applying spatial and temporal masking separately, to learn disentangled representations from unlabeled meteorological time series. During forecasting, dynamic hypergraphs group stations based on meteorological similarity, explicitly capturing high-order dependencies. Extensive experiments on large-scale reanalysis datasets show that HyMePre outperforms conventional GNN models in predicting temperature, humidity, and wind speed. The integration of pretraining and hypergraph modeling enhances robustness to noisy data and improves generalization to unseen climate patterns, offering a scalable and effective solution for operational weather forecasting.