An ICU is a critical care unit that provides advanced medical support and continuous monitoring for patients with severe illnesses or injuries. Predicting the mortality rate of ICU patients can not only improve patient outcomes, but also optimize resource allocation. Many studies have attempted to create scoring systems and models that predict the mortality of ICU patients using large amounts of structured clinical data. However, unstructured clinical data recorded during patient admission, such as notes made by physicians, is often overlooked. This study used the MIMIC-III database to predict mortality in ICU patients. In the first part of the study, only eight structured variables were used, including the six basic vital signs, the GCS, and the patient’s age at admission. In the second part, unstructured predictor variables were extracted from the initial diagnosis made by physicians when the patients were admitted to the hospital and analyzed using Latent Dirichlet Allocation techniques. The structured and unstructured data were combined using machine learning methods to create a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients. The results showed that combining structured and unstructured data improved the accuracy of the prediction of clinical outcomes in ICU patients over time. The model achieved an AUROC of 0.88, indicating accurate prediction of patient vital status. Additionally, the model was able to predict patient clinical outcomes over time, successfully identifying important variables. This study demonstrated that a small number of easily collectible structured variables, combined with unstructured data and analyzed using LDA topic modeling, can significantly improve the predictive performance of a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients. These results suggest that initial clinical observations and diagnoses of ICU patients contain valuable information that can aid ICU medical and nursing staff in making important clinical decisions.

Cardiovascular diseases have been identified as one of the top three causes of death worldwide, with onset and deaths mostly due to heart failure (HF). In ICU, where patients with HF are at increased risk of death and consume significant medical resources, early and accurate prediction of the time of death for patients at high risk of death would enable them to receive appropriate and timely medical care. The data for this study were obtained from the MIMIC-III database, where we collected vital signs and tests for 6699 HF patient during the first 24 h of their first ICU admission. In order to predict the mortality of HF patients in ICUs more precisely, an integrated stacking model is proposed and applied in this paper. In the first stage of dataset classification, the datasets were subjected to first-level classifiers using RF, SVC, KNN, LGBM, Bagging, and Adaboost. Then, the fusion of these six classifier decisions was used to construct and optimize the stacked set of second-level classifiers. The results indicate that our model obtained an accuracy of 95.25% and AUROC of 82.55% in predicting the mortality rate of HF patients, which demonstrates the outstanding capability and efficiency of our method. In addition, the results of this study also revealed that platelets, glucose, and blood urea nitrogen were the clinical features that had the greatest impact on model prediction. The results of this analysis not only improve the understanding of patients’ conditions by healthcare professionals but allow for a more optimal use of healthcare resources.

Background: The increasing rate of intensive care unit (ICU) readmissions poses significant challenges in healthcare, impacting both costs and patient outcomes. Predicting patient readmission after discharge is crucial for improving medical quality and reducing expenses. Traditional analyses of electronic health record (EHR) data have primarily focused on numerical data, often neglecting valuable text data. Methods: This study employs a hybrid model combining BERTopic and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to predict ICU readmissions. Leveraging the MIMIC-III database, we utilize both quantitative and text data to enhance predictive capabilities. Our approach integrates the strengths of unsupervised topic modeling with supervised deep learning, extracting potential topics from patient records and transforming discharge summaries into topic vectors for more interpretable and personalized predictions. Results: Utilizing a comprehensive dataset of 36,232 ICU patient records, our model achieved an AUROC score of 0.80, thereby surpassing the performance of traditional machine learning models. The implementation of BERTopic facilitated effective utilization of unstructured data, generating themes that effectively guide the selection of relevant predictive factors for patient readmission prognosis. This significantly enhanced the model’s interpretative accuracy and predictive capability. Additionally, the integration of importance ranking methods into our machine learning framework allowed for an in-depth analysis of the significance of various variables. This approach provided crucial insights into how different input variables interact and impact predictions of patient readmission across various clinical contexts. Conclusions: The practical application of BERTopic technology in our hybrid model contributes to more efficient patient management and serves as a valuable tool for developing tailored treatment strategies and resource optimization. This study highlights the significance of integrating unstructured text data with traditional quantitative data to develop more accurate and interpretable predictive models in healthcare, emphasizing the importance of individualized care and cost-effective healthcare paradigms.

Prognostic outcomes for patients with type 2 diabetes in the intensive care unit (ICU), including mortality and readmission rates, are critical for informed clinical decision-making. Although existing research has established a link between type 2 diabetes and adverse outcomes in the ICU, the potential of machine learning techniques for enhancing predictive accuracy has not been fully realized. This study seeks to develop and validate predictive models employing machine learning algorithms to forecast mortality and 30-day post-discharge readmission rates among ICU type 2 diabetes patients, thereby enhancing predictive accuracy and supporting clinical decision-making. Data were extracted and preprocessed from the MIMIC-III database, focusing on 14,222 patients with type 2 diabetes and their corresponding ICU admission records. Comprehensive information, including vital signs, laboratory results, and demographic characteristics, was utilized. Six machine learning algorithms—bagging, AdaBoost, GaussianNB, logistic regression, MLP, and SVC—were developed and evaluated using 10-fold cross-validation to predict mortality at 3 days, 30 days, and 365 days, as well as 30-day post-discharge readmission rates. The machine learning models demonstrated strong predictive performance for both mortality and readmission rates. Notably, the bagging and AdaBoost models showed superior performance in predicting mortality across various time intervals, achieving AUC values up to 0.8112 and an accuracy of 0.8832. In predicting 30-day readmission rates, the MLP and AdaBoost models yielded the highest performance, with AUC values reaching 0.8487 and accuracy rates of 0.9249. The integration of electronic health record data with advanced machine learning techniques significantly enhances the accuracy of mortality and readmission predictions in ICU type 2 diabetes patients. These models facilitate the identification of high-risk patients, enabling timely interventions, improving patient outcomes, and demonstrating the significant potential of machine learning in clinical prediction and decision support.

Heart failure remains a leading cause of mortality worldwide, particularly within Intensive Care Unit (ICU)-patient populations. This study introduces an innovative approach to predicting ICU mortality by seamlessly integrating electronic health record (EHR) data with a BERTopic-based hybrid machine-learning methodology. The MIMIC-III database serves as the primary data source, encompassing structured and unstructured data from 6606 ICU-admitted heart-failure patients. Unstructured data are processed using BERTopic, complemented by machine-learning algorithms for prediction and performance evaluation. The results indicate that the inclusion of unstructured data significantly enhances the model’s predictive accuracy regarding patient mortality. The amalgamation of structured and unstructured data effectively identifies key variables, enhancing the precision of the predictive model. The developed model demonstrates potential in improving healthcare decision-making, elevating patient outcomes, and optimizing resource allocation within the ICU setting. The handling and application of unstructured data emphasize the utilization of clinical narrative records by healthcare professionals, elevating this research beyond the traditional structured data predictive tools. This study contributes to the ongoing discourse in critical care and predictive modeling, offering valuable insights into the potential of integrating unstructured data into healthcare analytics.