Traffic forecasting is a particularly challenging application of spatiotemporal forecasting, due to the time-varying traffic patterns and the complicated spatial dependencies on road networks. To address this challenge, we learn the traffic network as a graph and propose a novel deep learning framework, Traffic Graph Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (TGC-LSTM), to learn the interactions between roadways in the traffic network and forecast the network-wide traffic state. We define the traffic graph convolution based on the physical network topology. The relationship between the proposed traffic graph convolution and the spectral graph convolution is also discussed. An L1-norm on graph convolution weights and an L2-norm on graph convolution features are added to the model's loss function to enhance the interpretability of the proposed model. Experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms baseline methods on two real-world traffic state datasets. The visualization of the graph convolution weights indicates that the proposed framework can recognize the most influential road segments in real-world traffic networks.

Short-term passenger flow forecasting is an essential component in urban rail transit operation. Emerging deep learning models provide good insight into improving prediction precision. Therefore, we propose a deep learning architecture combining the residual network (ResNet), graph convolutional network (GCN), and long short-term memory (LSTM) (called ``ResLSTM'') to forecast short-term passenger flow in urban rail transit on a network scale. First, improved methodologies of the ResNet, GCN, and attention LSTM models are presented. Then, the model architecture is proposed, wherein ResNet is used to capture deep abstract spatial correlations between subway stations, GCN is applied to extract network topology information, and attention LSTM is used to extract temporal correlations. The model architecture includes four branches for inflow, outflow, graph-network topology, as well as weather conditions and air quality. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that air-quality indicators have been taken into account, and their influences on prediction precision quantified. Finally, ResLSTM is applied to the Beijing subway using three time granularities (10, 15, and 30 min) to conduct short-term passenger flow forecasting. A comparison of the prediction performance of ResLSTM with those of many state-of-the-art models illustrates the advantages and robustness of ResLSTM. Moreover, a comparison of the prediction precisions obtained for time granularities of 10, 15, and 30 min indicates that prediction precision increases with increasing time granularity. This study can provide subway operators with insight into short-term passenger flow forecasting by leveraging deep learning models.

Accurate and reliable traffic forecasting for complicated transportation networks is of vital importance to modern transportation management. The complicated spatial dependencies of roadway links and the dynamic temporal patterns of traffic states make it particularly challenging. To address these challenges, we propose a new capsule network (CapsNet) to extract the spatial features of traffic networks and utilize a nested LSTM (NLSTM) structure to capture the hierarchical temporal dependencies in traffic sequence data. A framework for network-level traffic forecasting is also proposed by sequentially connecting CapsNet and NLSTM. On the basis of literature review, our study is the first to adopt CapsNet and NLSTM in the field of traffic forecasting. An experiment on a Beijing transportation network with 278 links shows that the proposed framework with the capability of capturing complicated spatiotemporal traffic patterns outperforms multiple state-of-the-art traffic forecasting baseline models. The superiority and feasibility of CapsNet and NLSTM are also demonstrated, respectively, by visualizing and quantitatively evaluating the experimental results.

Predicting the future trajectories of dynamic traffic actors is a cornerstone task in autonomous driving. Though existing notable efforts have resulted in impressive performance improvements, a gap persists in scene cognitive and understanding of complex traffic semantics. This paper proposes Traj-LLM, the first to investigate the potential of using pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) without explicit prompt engineering to generate future motions from vehicular past trajectories and traffic scene semantics. Traj-LLM starts with sparse context joint encoding to dissect the agent and scene features into a form that LLMs understand. On this basis, we creatively explore LLMs' strong understanding capability to capture a spectrum of high-level scene knowledge and interactive information. To emulate the human-like lane focus cognitive function and enhance Traj-LLM's scene comprehension, we introduce lane-aware probabilistic learning powered by the Mamba module. Finally, a multi-modal Laplace decoder is designed to achieve scene-compliant predictions. Extensive experiments manifest that Traj-LLM, fueled by prior knowledge and understanding prowess of LLMs, together with lane-aware probability learning, transcends the state-of-the-art methods across most evaluation metrics. Moreover, the few-shot analysis serves to substantiate Traj-LLM's performance, as even with merely 50% of the dataset, it surpasses the majority of benchmarks relying on complete data utilization. This study explores endowing the trajectory prediction task with advanced capabilities inherent in LLMs, furnishing a more universal and adaptable solution for forecasting agent movements in a new way.

In autonomous vehicle (AV) technology, the ability to accurately predict the movements of surrounding vehicles is paramount for ensuring safety and operational efficiency. Incorporating human decision-making insights enables AVs to more effectively anticipate the potential actions of other vehicles, significantly improving prediction accuracy and responsiveness in dynamic environments. This paper introduces the Human-Like Trajectory Prediction (HLTP) model, which adopts a teacher-student knowledge distillation framework inspired by human cognitive processes. The HLTP model incorporates a sophisticated teacher-student knowledge distillation framework. The “teacher” model, equipped with an adaptive visual sector, mimics the visual processing of the human brain, particularly the functions of the occipital and temporal lobes. The “student” model focuses on real-time interaction and decision-making, drawing parallels to prefrontal and parietal cortex functions. This approach allows for dynamic adaptation to changing driving scenarios, capturing essential perceptual cues for accurate prediction. Evaluated using the Macao Connected and Autonomous Driving (MoCAD) dataset, along with the NGSIM and HighD benchmarks, HLTP demonstrates superior performance compared to existing models, particularly in challenging environments with incomplete data. The project page is available at Github.

Real-time public transit ridership flow and Origin-Destination (O-D) information is essential for improving transit service quality and optimizing transit networks in smart cities. The effectiveness and accuracy of the traditional survey-based methods and smart card data-driven methods for O-D information inference have multiple disadvantages in terms of biased results, high latency, insufficient sample size, the high-cost of time and energy. By considering the ubiquity of smart mobile devices in the world, monitoring public transit ridership flow can be accomplished by passively sensing Wi-Fi and Bluetooth (BT) mobile devices of passengers. This study proposed a system for monitoring real-time public transit passenger ridership flow and O-D information based on customized Wi-Fi and BT sensing device. By combining the consideration of the assumed overlapping feature spaces of passenger and non-passenger MAC address data, a three-step data-driven algorithm framework for estimating transit ridership flow and O-D information is proposed. The observed ridership flow is used as the ground truth for evaluating the performance of the proposed algorithm. According to the evaluation results, the proposed algorithm outperformed all selected baseline models and the existing filtering methods. The findings of this study can help to provide real-time and precise transit ridership flow and O-D information for supporting transit vehicle management and the quality of service enhancement.