As the basic unit of residents’ activities and social management, communities are the disaster bearers of various public security emergencies. To improve the ability and level of community governance, as well as to strengthen the construction of resilient communities, a tripartite evolutionary game model of local government, developers, and home buyers is built, and numerical simulation is carried out using Matlab to analyze the impact mechanism of main parameters on the evolutionary stability strategy. The results show that: (1) The three parties’ different initial intentions will lead to different evolutionary stability strategies of the system, and the system’s final evolution result will reach the ideal state only when the initial willingness of developers and buyers is high. (2) The greater the government’s subsidy coefficient and the greater the regulatory intensity, the more likely it is that developers will choose to build resilient communities. (3) Public awareness of disaster prevention and mitigation is an important determinant of the purchase of resilient community housing strategies. To achieve rapid development of resilient communities, the intensity of regulation must be continuously improved, the public’s awareness of disaster prevention and mitigation must be strengthened, and the government’s regulatory costs must be reduced.
Natural disasters in agriculture considerably threaten food security and the implementation of the rural revitalization strategy. With the rapid development of new approaches in organizing agricultural production, traditional disaster relief mechanisms are encountering new adaptive dilemmas. Particularly, the active participation of farmers in disaster relief is remarkably insufficient in the context of the reduction in the proportion of agricultural production income. Thus, it is urgent to establish a modernized agricultural disaster relief synergy mechanism. In this study, an agricultural disaster relief synergistic model was constructed with the participation of the government, agricultural service enterprises, and farmers based on the evolutionary game theory, and the strategy interaction law of each subject and its evolution path was systematically analyzed. The following results were revealed: First, the government, agricultural service enterprises, and farmers tended toward an equilibrium state under three different modes. Second, the cost of farmers’ concern and complaint behavior was the crucial driving factor of the three-party synergy. Third, the increasing cost of agricultural service enterprises’ participation in disaster relief significantly affected the evolution path of the system. Additionally, a three-dimensional synergistic optimization path of “incentive-constraint-information” was proposed, laying a quantitative foundation for improving the agricultural disaster relief mechanism and promoting the transition from “passive emergency response” to “active synergy”. This research is of great practical significance to improve the resilience of agricultural disaster response and resource allocation efficiency.
The cascading damage of expressways induced by extreme heavy rainfall presents a persistent threat to transportation safety and regional sustainable development. To investigate the chain-like evolution characteristics of expressway damage caused by heavy rainfall and to identify precise strategies for mitigating disaster risks by breaking the chain. Firstly, directed causal event pairs were extracted, and clustering generalization was performed on disaster events.; the asymmetric Jaccard index was used to calculate edge weights, thereby establishing a directed causal knowledge graph of disaster chain evolution; Secondly, based on systematic risk assessment and chain-breaking priority indicators, we achieved the precise identification and quantification of critical vulnerable links; finally, we selected three typical damage cases—the ‘5·1’ case on the Meida Expressway in Guangdong, the ‘7·19’ case on the Danning Expressway in Shaanxi, and the ‘8·3’ case on the Yakang Expressway in Sichuan—for case validation, and proposed chain-breaking strategies. The research findings indicate that: (1) under specific hazard-forming environment, secondary disasters can supplant the primary causative factors to become the dominant driving nodes in chain evolution; (2) edge vulnerability and source-path diversity loss indicators respectively point to two distinct categories of high-risk edges; the comprehensive chain-breaking index compensates for the assessment blind spots of single indicators through two-dimensional weighting; (3) core vulnerabilities in disaster chains vary significantly across different regions: the Meida Expressway, the Danning Expressway, and the Yakang Expressway correspond to terminal response, pavement control node, and dual vulnerabilities at the source and structural levels, respectively, necessitating tailored chain-breaking strategies adapted to local conditions. These research findings offer a quantitative tool for infrastructure risk governance, contributing to the safety and sustainability of expressway transportation.