With the expansion of urban scale and the popularization of multi-modal transportation, transportation hubs, as the link of multi-modal travel, are becoming increasingly important in urban development and residents’ lives. In situations of high parking demand, the increase in road traffic volume and parking search delays exacerbates the service pressure on hub parking lots and the traffic congestion on surrounding roads. Therefore, reasonable parking demand allocation is one of the key solutions to this problem. Based on the analysis of the vehicle parking search process, this paper constructs a model for estimating parking search delay on roads outside hub parking lots and proposes an optimization model for parking demand allocation aimed at minimizing the total parking search delay of vehicles. Finally, taking a major transportation hub in Nanjing as a case study, data were obtained through field investigations and simulation experiments to identify peak parking demand periods and calibrate the model parameters. The results show that the average vehicle delay was reduced by 4.5%, with a total reduction of 13,860 s in vehicle delay for parking demands at the hub within one hour. Therefore, by optimizing the allocation of parking demand, the average delay for vehicles searching for parking can be reduced to a certain extent.

Parking shortages and high costs in Chinese central business districts (CBDs) remain major urban challenges. Emerging automated vehicles (AVs) are expected to diversify parking options and mitigate these problems. However, AV users’ parking preferences and their influencing factors within existing urban zoning frameworks remain unclear. This study examines Nanjing as a representative case, proposing six distinct AV parking modes. Using survey data from 4644 responses collected from 1634 potential users, we employed nested logit models and random forest algorithms to analyze parking choice behavior. Results indicate that diversified AV parking modes would significantly reduce CBD parking demand. Users with medium- to long-term needs prefer home-parking, while short-term users favor CBD proximity. Key influencing factors include parking service satisfaction, duration, congestion time, AV punctuality, and individual characteristics, with satisfaction attributes showing the greatest impact across all modes. Comparative analysis reveals that random forest algorithms provide superior predictive accuracy for parking mode importance, while nested logit models better explain causal relationships between choices and influencing factors. This study establishes a dual analytical framework combining interpretability and predictive accuracy for urban AV parking research, providing valuable insights for transportation management and future metropolitan studies.