Coupled 1D–2D hydrodynamic models are widely utilized in flood hazard mapping. Previous studies adopted conceptual hydrological models or 1D hydrodynamic models to evaluate the impact of drainage density on river flow. However, the drainage density affects not only river flow, but also the flooded area and location. Therefore, this work adopts the 1D–2D model SOBEK to investigate the impact of drainage density on river flow. The uncertainty of drainage density in flood hazard mapping is assessed by a designed case and a real case, Yanshuixi Drainage in Tainan, Taiwan. Analytical results indicate that under the same return period rainfall, reduction in tributary drainages in a model (indicating a lower drainage density) results in an underestimate of the flooded area in tributary drainages. This underestimate causes higher peak discharges and total volume of discharges in the drainages, leading to flooding in certain downstream reaches, thereby overestimating the flooded area. The uncertainty of drainage density decreases with increased rainfall. We suggest that modeling flood hazard mapping with low return period rainfalls requires tributary drainages. For extreme rainfall events, a lower drainage density could be selected, but the drainage density of local key areas should be raised.
An operational two-dimensional real-time flood forecasting system has been developed to prevent urban inundation in Taiwan, and it uses the Delft-FEWS (Flood Early Warning System) platform to integrate the SOBEK models to forecast flooding. A new generation of smart water level gauges, integrating power charging, recording, transmission, and sensing into one, can monitor the inundation on roads in real-time. This study took Annan District in Tainan City, Taiwan, as the study object and presented the application of the flood forecasting system and smart water level gauges in the urban environment. The collected data from Storm 0611 and Typhoon Megi in 2016 were used to assess the accuracy of the flood forecasting system. The analysis of three water level stations in the drainage showed that the one-dimensional simulation results were fairly accurate. According to the 18 observed and simulated inundation depths on the roads, the true positive, false positive, false negative, and true negative values were 8, 0, 2, and 8, respectively. The accuracy, sensitivity, and precision of the flood forecasting system were 0.889, 0.800, and 1.000, respectively, indicating that the two-dimensional simulation results were highly accurate.
The development with filling method might increase the flood risk and damage in the surrounding areas, especially in low-lying areas. The objective of this study was to develop a methodology to assess the damage of flood risk transfer effect on surrounding areas. We studied a development located in Tainan, Taiwan and applied a SOBEK model to analyze the transfer effect of flood risk, and calculated the amount of loss in the surrounding land. After land development, the risk of flooding in the development zone declined. However, the risk of flooding in the southern area of the development zone increased. The development of land changed the original decentralized drainage system to centralized drainage system. The peak outflow discharge of surface runoff increased so much that it was more than the flow capacity of the downstream channel. This resulted in transferring the flood risk to the surrounding areas. Direct losses due to floods for industrial, commercial, residential, and agricultural lands as well as public facilities were calculated by the flood damage curves. Indirect losses were estimated using the industry-related model. The expected annual damages before and after land development in the southern area of the development zone were NT$ 6.38 million and NT$ 7.39 million, showing that the expected annual damage was increased by NT$ 1.01 million after land development.