Soil moisture (SM) and atmospheric humidity (AH) are crucial climatic variables that significantly affect the climate system. However, the combined influencing mechanisms of SM and AH on the land surface temperature (LST) under global warming are still unclear. Here, we systematically analyzed the interrelationships among annual mean values of SM, AH, and LST using ERA5-Land reanalysis data and revealed the role of SM and AH on the spatiotemporal variations of LST through mechanism analysis and regression methods. The results showed that net radiation, SM, and AH could well model the long-term variability of LST well and explain 92% of the variability. Moreover, SM played an essential and different role under the different LST backgrounds. The AH always displayed a greenhouse effect on the LST. This study provides essential insights into the global climate change mechanism from the surface hydrothermal processes perspective.

Soil moisture is not only an essential component of the water cycle in terrestrial ecosystems but also a major influencing factor of regional climate. In the soil hydrothermal process, soil moisture has a significant regulating effect on surface temperature; it can drive surface temperature change by influencing the soil’s physical properties and the partitioning of the available surface energy. However, limited soil temperature and moisture observations restrict the previous studies of soil hydrothermal processes, and few models focus on estimating the impact of soil moisture on soil temperature. Therefore, based on the experiments conducted in Wuchuan County in 2020, this study proposes a soil water and heat coupling model that includes radiation, evaporation, soil water transport, soil heat conduction and ground temperature coupling modules to simulate the soil temperature and moisture and subsequently estimate the effects of soil moisture. The results show that the model performs well. The Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient (NSE) and the concordance index (C) of the simulated and measured values under each treatment are higher than 0.26 and 0.7, respectively. The RMSE of the simulation results is between 0.0067–0.017 kg kg⁻¹ (soil moisture) and 0.43–1.06 °C (soil temperature), respectively. The simulated values matched well with the actual values. The soil moisture had a noticeable regulatory effect on the soil temperature change, the soil surface temperature would increase by 0.08–0.43 °C for every 1% decrease in soil moisture, and with the increase in soil moisture, the variation of the soil temperature decreased. Due to the changes in the solar radiation, the sensitivity of the soil temperature to the decline in soil moisture was the greatest during June–July and the least in September. Moreover, the contributions of soil moisture changes to temperature increase under various initial conditions are inconsistent, the increase in sunshine hours, initial daily average temperature and decrease in leaf area index (LAI), soil density and soil heat capacity can increase the soil surface temperature. The results are expected to provide insights for exploring the impact mechanism of regional climate change and optimizing the structure of agricultural production.

Widespread spring vegetation greening (inferred by LAI) in the Northern Hemisphere leads to additional summer soil moisture (SM) deficits through increasing transpiration. Meanwhile, vapor pressure deficit (VPD) has also been rising, which can increase atmospheric evaporative demand. However, the extent and magnitude of influence of these two factors on SM changes have not been elucidated. Here, based on the state-of-the-art reanalysis and remote sensing data, we use three statistical methods to quantify the contributions of spring LAI and summer VPD to summer SM deficit. The results show that summer VPD contributes more to SM change than spring LAI in the southwestern and northern regions of North America, northeastern Europe, and central and southeastern Asia, covering 13.4% of the vegetated areas despite of the certain influence of spring vegetation greening on summer soil drying. The results are of great significance for climate change adaptation and the enhancement of surface water management.