Sebastian Poledna

Dr. Sebastian Poledna


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

14Years (2013-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 October 2015 in Journal of Financial Stability
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Journal Article
Closed access
SPSebastian Poledna
Sebastian Poledna
JMJosé Luis Molina-Borboa
José Luis Molina-Borboa
SMSerafín Martínez-Jaramillo
Serafín Martínez-Jaramillo
MLMarco van der Leij
Marco van der Leij
STStefan Thurner
Stefan Thurner

17 October 2022 in European Economic Review
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Journal Article
Open access
SPSebastian Poledna
Sebastian Poledna
MMMichael Gregor Miess
Michael Gregor Miess
CHCars Hommes
Cars Hommes
KRKatrin Rabitsch
Katrin Rabitsch

28 May 2013 in Scientific Reports
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Journal Article
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STStefan Thurner
Stefan Thurner
SPSebastian Poledna
Sebastian Poledna
Nodes in a financial network, such as banks, cannot assess the true risks associated with lending to other nodes in the network, unless they have full information on the riskiness of all other nodes. These risks can be estimated by using network metrics (as DebtRank) of the interbank liability network. With a simple agent based model we show that systemic risk in financial networks can be drastically reduced by increasing transparency, i.e. making the DebtRank of individual banks visible to others, and by imposing a rule, that reduces interbank borrowing from systemically risky nodes. This scheme does not reduce the efficiency of the financial network, but fosters a more homogeneous risk-distribution within the system in a self-organized critical way. The reduction of systemic risk is due to a massive reduction of cascading failures in the transparent system. A regulation-policy implementation of the proposed scheme is discussed.

11 April 2016 in Quantitative Finance
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Journal Article
Closed access
SPSebastian Poledna
Sebastian Poledna
STStefan Thurner
Stefan Thurner
Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk (SR), the risk that a major fraction of the system ceases to function, and collapses. It has recently become possible to quantify SR in terms of underlying financial networks where nodes represent financial institutions, and links capture the size and maturity of assets (loans), liabilities and other obligations, such as derivatives. We demonstrate that it is possible to quantify the share of SR that individual liabilities within a financial network contribute to the overall SR. We use empirical data of nationwide interbank liabilities to show that the marginal contribution to overall SR of liabilities for a given size varies by a factor of a thousand. We propose a tax on individual transactions that is proportional to their marginal contribution to overall SR. If a transaction does not increase SR, it is tax-free. With an agent-based model (ABM) (CRISIS macro-financial model), we demonstrate that the proposed ‘Systemic Risk Tax’ (SRT) leads to a self-organized restructuring of financial networks that are practically free of SR. The SRT can be seen as an insurance for the public against costs arising from cascading failure. ABM predictions are shown to be in remarkable agreement with the empirical data and can be used to understand the relation of credit risk and SR.

1 February 2021 in Journal of Financial Stability
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
SPSebastian Poledna
Sebastian Poledna
SMSerafín Martínez-Jaramillo
Serafín Martínez-Jaramillo
FCFabio Caccioli
Fabio Caccioli
STStefan Thurner
Stefan Thurner

1 January 2015 in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
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Journal Article
Closed access
PKPeter Klimek
Peter Klimek
SPSebastian Poledna
Sebastian Poledna
JFJ. Doyne Farmer
J. Doyne Farmer
STStefan Thurner
Stefan Thurner