The contemporary agricultural market is profoundly volatile, where agricultural prices are based on a complex supply chain, climatic irregularity or unscheduled market demand. Prices of crops need to be predicted in a reliable and timely manner for farmers, policy-makers and other stakeholders to take evidence-based decisions ultimately for the benefit towards sustainable agriculture and economic sustainability. Objective: The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate a comprehensive machine learning model for predicting agricultural prices incorporating logistic, economic and environmental considerations. It is the desire to make agriculture more profitable by building simple and accurate forecasting models. Methods: An assorted dataset was collected, which covers major factors to constitute the dataset of temperature, rainfall, fertiliser use, pest and disease attack level, cost of transportation, market demand-supply ratio and regional competitiveness. The data was subjected to pre-processing and feature extraction for quality control/quality assurance. Several machine learning models (Linear Regression, Support Vector Machines, AdaBoost, Random Forest, and XGBoost) were trained and evaluated using performance metrics such as R2 score, Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Results: Out of the model approaches that were analysed, predictive performance was superior for XGBoost (with an R2 Score of 0.94, RMSE of 12.8 and MAE of 8.6). To generate accurate predictions, the ability to account for complex non-linear relationships between market and environmental information was necessary. Conclusions: The forecast model of the XGBoost-based prediction system is reliable, of low complexity and widely applicable to large-scale real-time forecasting of agricultural monitoring. The model substantially reduces the uncertainty of price forecasting, and does so by including multivariate environmental and economic aspects that permit more profitable management practices in a schedule for future sustainable agriculture.

Background: The need for autonomous aerial surveillance originates from weaknesses in manual monitoring, such as late response, low scalability and rigid patrol plans. AI and GPS-driven smart aerial monitoring present an attractive solution for continuous adaptive wide-area surveillance. Objective: In this paper, we aim at designing and validating experimentally a low-cost drone-based unmanned autonomous mission patrolling system with waypoint navigation, real-time video backhauling, AI-based human/object detection and GPS path re-planning when an event occurs to ensure the safety of patrol missions under battery constraints. Methods: The proposed architecture combines autonomous navigation and embedded flight-control with online analog video streaming and ground-station-based computer vision processing. Object detection based on deep learning for live aerial video is used, and the proposed system’s performance is tested at different altitudes, lighting states and GPS patrol plans. Results: Experimental results show that the proposed method can obtain stable waypoint tracking with a clear real-time video downlink in patrol missions. The system is able to adaptively modify paths as a reaction to detected events and commence safe return-to-home functionality during low-battery conditions. The proposed detection model obtains a mean average precision of 87.4%, with an F1-score of 0.89 and real-time inference latency (20–25 ms per frame) that enables fast service without any interruption in practice during surveillance deployment. Conclusions: Experimental results show that the proposed method can obtain stable waypoint tracking with a clear real-time video downlink in patrol missions. The system can adaptively modify paths as a reaction to detected events and commence safe return-to-home functionality during low-battery conditions. The proposed detection model obtains a mean average precision of 87.4%, with an F1-score of 0.89 and real-time inference latency (20–25 ms per frame) that enables fast service without any interruption in practice during surveillance deployment.