To address the challenges of detection and acquisition caused by trajectory prediction errors during the midcourse–terminal guidance handover phase in cross-domain unmanned aerial vehicles (CDUAV), this study proposes a collaborative multi-interceptor detection coverage optimization method based on predictive error pipeline modeling. Firstly, we employ nonlinear least squares to fit parameters for the motion model of CDUAV. By integrating error propagation theory, we derive a recursive expression for error pipelines under t-distribution and establish a parametric model for the target’s high-probability region (HPR). Next, we analyze target acquisition scenarios during guidance handover and reformulate the collaborative detection problem as a field-of-view (FOV) coverage optimization task on a two-dimensional detection plane. This framework incorporates the target HPR and the seeker detection FOV models, with an objective function defined for coverage optimization. Finally, inspired by wireless sensor network (WSN) coverage strategies, we implement the starfish optimization algorithm (SFOA) to enhance computational efficiency. Simulation results demonstrate that compared to Monte Carlo statistical methods, our parametric modeling approach reduces prediction error computation time from 15.82 s to 0.09 s while generating error pipeline envelopes with 99% confidence intervals, showing superior generalization capability. The proposed collaborative detection framework effectively resolves geometric coverage optimization challenges arising from mismatches between target HPR and FOV morphology, exhibiting rapid convergence and high computational efficiency.
To address the challenges of strong nonlinearity, stringent terminal constraints, and the trade-off between computational efficiency and accuracy in the midcourse guidance trajectory optimization problem of aerodynamically controlled interceptors, this paper proposes a variable-discrete-scale sequential convex programming (SCP) method. Firstly, a dynamic model is established by introducing the range domain to replace the traditional time domain, thereby reducing the approximation error of the planned trajectory. Second, to overcome the critical issues of solution space restriction and trajectory divergence caused by terminal equality constraints, a terminal error-proportional relaxation approach is proposed. Subsequently, an improved second-order cone programming (SOCP) formulation is developed through systematic integration of three key techniques: terminal error-proportional relaxation, variable trust region, and path normalization. Finally, an initial trajectory generation algorithm is proposed, upon which a variable-discrete-scale optimization framework is constructed. This framework incorporates a residual-driven discrete-scale adaptation mechanism, which balances discretization errors and computational load. Numerical simulation results indicate that under large discretization scales, the computation time required by the improved SOCP is only about 5.4% of that of GPOPS-II. For small-discretization-scale optimization, the SCP method with the variable discretization framework demonstrates high efficiency, achieving comparable accuracy to GPOPS-II while reducing the computation time to approximately 7.4% of that required by GPOPS-II.
This paper proposes a trajectory prediction method via the adaptive cost function to address the difficulties in inferring the attack intention and maneuver mode, as well as the accumulation of prediction error during the trajectory prediction of reentry glide vehicles. Firstly, the vehicle guidance task is divided into two distinct categories: conventional guidance and no-fly zone avoidance guidance. A task-matched time-varying parameter prediction model set is then constructed. Secondly, taking into account the maneuverability, guidance intent, and battlefield situation of the vehicle, an adaptive intent cost function adapted to the guidance task is proposed, which avoids the estimation failure problem caused by manually setting cost coefficients in traditional methods. Finally, long-term trajectory prediction of vehicles is achieved using Bayesian theory to infer the attack intent and parametric model with the maximum a posteriori probability. The results of the simulations demonstrate that the proposed prediction method is capable of accurately inferring the vehicle’s attack intention and parameter model, and of effectively reducing the accumulation of prediction errors and the time required for the algorithmic process compared to existing methods.
1 October 2025 in Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics
In this paper, an online midcourse guidance method for intercepting high-speed maneuvering targets is proposed. Firstly, the affine system is used to build a dynamic model and analyze the state constraints. The midcourse guidance problem is transformed into a continuous time optimization problem. Secondly, the problem is transformed into a discrete convex programming problem by affine control variable relaxation, Gaussian pseudospectral discretization and constraints linearization. Then, the offline midcourse guidance trajectory is generated before midcourse guidance. It is used as the initial reference trajectory for online correction of midcourse guidance. An online guidance framework is used to eliminate the error caused by calculation of guidance instruction time. And the design of discrete points decreases with flight time to improve the solving efficiency. In addition, it is proposed that the terminal guidance capture is used innovatively space to judge the success of midcourse guidance. Numerical simulation shows the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.
Traditional parameter estimation-based trajectory prediction algorithms for Reentry Glide Vehicles (RGVs) typically suffer from limitations, as they neglect the influence of state variables and rely heavily on high-dimensional motion information. To address these issues, this paper proposes an intelligent trajectory prediction algorithm for RGV via physics-informed constraints and state predictive control. First, based on linear system theory, we derived an analytical expression for the prediction error in parameter estimation methods and demonstrated the superiority of these methods through simulations. Second, the Transformer network based on parallel generative decoding pioneers a parameter estimation method of state predictive control, effectively enhancing the accuracy of medium-to-long-term trajectory prediction for RGVs and resolving the dependency of such methods on high-precision parameter estimation information. Finally, by incorporating physics-informed loss during network training based on the dynamic constraints between state variables and control inputs, the network is transformed into a knowledge-data dual-driven model. Simulation results demonstrate that compared to traditional parameter estimation methods, the proposed method exhibits higher prediction accuracy and improved robustness, offering significant engineering application value. Specifically, for prediction durations ranging from 50 to 200 s, this method keeps the average prediction error and the maximum prediction error within 1.4 km and 3.4 km, respectively.