Bitcoin has high price fluctuations, which involve high risks and high return rates for investors. These high earnings have attracted the attention of investors. This paper proposes a new model for Bitcoin price prediction that effectively reduces prediction error. Hyperparameter optimization methods such as Bayesian optimization (BO), random search and grid search with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Repetitive Unit (GRU), and hybrid LSTM-GRU utilised. Models with BO achieved better results than others. To improve each model's results with BO; Gradient Incremental Regression Trees (GBRT), Gaussian Process (GP), Random Forest (RF) and Extra Trees (ET) were applied to optimizers and corresponding surrogate functions. Evaluating the effects of hyper-parameter values on the problem for each method contributes to the parameter selection process for similar prediction problems. To increase comparability in the literature, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Square Error (MSE) were used. There is a least one hyper-parameter combination, which produces a result close to the best value for each model when the results obtained from the experiments are interpreted. BO with hybrid LSTM-GRU outperformed all methods in this paper and the examined literature for the value of RMSE, MSE, and MAE.
1 August 2015 in Medical Devices: Evidence and Research
Maximal oxygen uptake (VO2max) indicates how many milliliters of oxygen the body can consume in a state of intense exercise per minute. VO2max plays an important role in both sport and medical sciences for different purposes, such as indicating the endurance capacity of athletes or serving as a metric in estimating the disease risk of a person. In general, the direct measurement of VO2max provides the most accurate assessment of aerobic power. However, despite a high level of accuracy, practical limitations associated with the direct measurement of VO2max, such as the requirement of expensive and sophisticated laboratory equipment or trained staff, have led to the development of various regression models for predicting VO2max. Consequently, a lot of studies have been conducted in the last years to predict VO2max of various target audiences, ranging from soccer athletes, nonexpert swimmers, cross-country skiers to healthy-fit adults, teenagers, and children. Numerous prediction models have been developed using different sets of predictor variables and a variety of machine learning and statistical methods, including support vector machine, multilayer perceptron, general regression neural network, and multiple linear regression. The purpose of this study is to give a detailed overview about the data-driven modeling studies for the prediction of VO2max conducted in recent years and to compare the performance of various VO2max prediction models reported in related literature in terms of two well-known metrics, namely, multiple correlation coefficient (R) and standard error of estimate. The survey results reveal that with respect to regression methods used to develop prediction models, support vector machine, in general, shows better performance than other methods, whereas multiple linear regression exhibits the worst performance.
30 December 2020 in Sakarya University Journal of Computer and Information Sciences
Bitcoin is invented in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency system [1]. Bitcoin is the most acknowledged cryptocurrency in the world, which provide it interesting for financier. The cryptocurrency market capitalization on date 22nd July 2020 value represents roughly USD 277 billion of dollars, bitcoin representing 62% of it. However, a disadvantage for investors is the difficulty of predicting the price of bitcoin due to the high volatility of the bitcoin exchange rate. Measurement, estimation, and modeling of currency exchange rate volatility compose a significant research area. For this reason, a lot of studies done about bitcoin price prediction both Machine Learning (ML) and Statistical Methods. In comparison studies, ML methods perform better in general. This review is a comprehensive study on how we can better predict bitcoin prices by grouping previously done studies. The presentation of Bitcoin price prediction studies in groups reveals, the difference from other review studies. These are statistical methods, ML and statistical methods, ML-ML, frequency effect of selected time, effect of social media and web search engine, causality, optimization of hyperparameters methods.
20 February 2010 in Expert Systems with Applications