We study a problem of data packet transport in scale-free networks whose degree distribution follows a power law with the exponent . Load, or “betweenness centrality,” of a vertex is the accumulated total number of data packets passing through that vertex when every pair of vertices sends and receives a data packet along the shortest path connecting the pair. It is found that the load distribution follows a power law with the exponent , insensitive to different values of in the range, , and different mean degrees, which is valid for both undirected and directed cases. Thus, we conjecture that the load exponent is a universal quantity to characterize scale-free networks.
The high percentage of fatalities in pedestrian-involved crashes is a critical social problem. The purpose of this study is to investigate factors influencing injury severity in pedestrian crashes by examining the demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the regions where crashes occurred. To understand the correlation between the unobserved characteristics of pedestrian crashes in a defined region, we apply a hierarchical ordered model, in which we set crash characteristics as lower-level variables and municipality characteristics as upper-level. Pedestrian crash data were collected and analyzed for a three-year period from 2011 to 2013. The estimation results show the statistically significant factors that increase injury severity of pedestrian crashes. At the crash level, the factors associated with increased severity of pedestrian injury include intoxicated drivers, road-crossing pedestrians, elderly pedestrians, heavy vehicles, wide roads, darkness, and fog. At the municipality level, municipalities with low population density, lower level of financial independence, fewer doctors, and a higher percentage of elderly residents experience more severe pedestrian crashes. Municipalities ranked as having the top 10% pedestrian fatality rate (fatalities per 100,000 residents) have rates 7.4 times higher than municipalities with the lowest 10% rate of fatalities. Their demographic and socioeconomic characteristics also have significant differences. The proposed model accounts for a 7% unexplained variation in injury severity outcomes between the municipalities where crashes occurred. To enhance the safety of vulnerable pedestrians, considerable investments of time and effort in pedestrian safety facilities and zones should be made. More certain and severe punishments should be also given for the traffic violations that increase injury severity of pedestrian crashes. Furthermore, central and local governments should play a cooperative role to reduce pedestrian fatalities. Practical applications: Based on our study results, we suggest policy directions to enhance pedestrian safety.
1 January 2011 in Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board
Because of the development of scientific technology, drivers now have access to a variety of information to assist their decision making. In particular, an accurate prediction of travel time is valuable to drivers, who can use it to choose a route or decide on departure time. Although many researchers have sought to enhance their accuracy, such predictions are often limited by errors that result from the lagged pattern of predicted travel time, the use of nonrepresentative samples for making predictions, and the use of inefficient and nontransferable models. The proposed model predicts travel times on the basis of the k nearest neighbor method and uses data provided by the vehicle detector system and the automatic toll collection system. By combining these two sets of data, the model minimizes the limitations of each set and enhances the prediction's accuracy. Criteria for traffic conditions allow the direct use of data acquired from the automatic toll collection system as predicted travel time. The proposed model's predictions are compared with the predictions of other models by using actual data to show that the proposed model predicts travel times much more accurately. The proposed model's predictions of travel time are expected to be free from the problems associated with an insufficient number of samples. Further, unlike the widely used artificial neural network and Kalman filter methods, the proposed model does not require long training programs, so the model is easily transferable.
17 December 2018 in KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering
The government of Seoul has been operating the automatic fare collection system based on the smart card since 2004. The smart card data in Seoul consist of 15 million instances of individual transit information per day, providing 99% of transit users’ trips. This study provides information about the efficiency of transfer stations in Seoul. The purpose of this study was to estimate the relative efficiency of the transfer stations between bus and subway using smart card data and suggest the improvement strategies for achieving the optimal efficiency. The transfer efficiency was estimated by using the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model, and Tobit regression analysis was conducted to identify the factors that influence transfer efficiency. The DEA model showed that the efficiency scores of 32 major stations were estimated to be 0.557 on average. The transfer efficiency scores of these stations were analyzed to be proportional to the number of transfer trips and the transfer rate of the station. In the external factor analysis, we selected two socioeconomic variables, i.e., population and the number of companies. The external factor analysis indicated that the DEA model produced reasonable results for evaluating transfer efficiency.
This study analyzes 86,622 commercial motor vehicle (CMV) crashes (large truck, bus and taxi crashes) in South Korea from 2010 to 2014. The analysis recognizes the hierarchical structure of the factors affecting CMV crashes by examining eight factors related to individual crashes and six additional upper level factors organized in two non-nested groups (company level and regional level factors). The study considers four different crash severities (fatal, major, minor, and no injury). The company level factors reflect selected characteristics of 1,875 CMV companies, and the regional level factors reflect selected characteristics of 230 municipalities. The study develops a single-level ordinary ordered logit model, two conventional multilevel ordered logit models, and a cross-classified multilevel ordered logit model (CCMM). As the study develops each of these four models for large trucks, buses and taxis, 12 different statistical models are analyzed. The CCMM outperforms the other models in two important ways: 1) the CCMM avoids the type I statistical errors that tend to occur when analyzing hierarchical data with single-level models; and 2) the CCMM can analyze two non-nested groups simultaneously. Statistically significant factors include taxi company's type of vehicle ownership and municipality's level of transportation infrastructure budget. An improved understanding of CMV related crashes should contribute to the development of safety countermeasures to reduce the number and severity of CMV related crashes.