Early warning and forecasting of tornadoes began to combine artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) algorithms to improve identification efficiency in the past few years. Applying machine learning algorithms to detect tornadoes usually encounters class imbalance problems because tornadoes are rare events in weather processes. The ADASYN-LOF algorithm (ALA) was proposed to solve the imbalance problem of tornado sample sets based on radar data. The adaptive synthetic (ADASYN) sampling algorithm is used to solve the imbalance problem by increasing the number of minority class samples, combined with the local outlier factor (LOF) algorithm to denoise the synthetic samples. The performance of the ALA algorithm is tested by using the supporting vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN), and random forest (RF) models. The results show that the ALA algorithm can improve the performance and noise immunity of the models, significantly increase the tornado recognition rate, and have the potential to increase the early tornado warning time. ALA is more effective in preprocessing imbalanced data of SVM and ANN, compared with ADASYN, Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE), SMOTE-LOF algorithms.

Tornadoes are highly destructive small-scale extreme weather processes in the troposphere. The weather radar is one of the most effective remote sensing devices for the monitoring and early warning of tornadoes. The existing tornado detection algorithms based on radar data are unsupervised and have strict multi-altitude constraints, such as the tornado detection algorithm based on tornado vortex signatures (TDA-TVS), which may lead to high false alarm rates, and the performance of the detection algorithm is greatly affected by the radar data quality control algorithm. A novel TDA-RF algorithm based on the random forest (RF) classification algorithm is proposed for real-time tornado identification of the S-band China new generation of Doppler weather radar (CINRAD-SA). The TDA-RF algorithm uses velocity features to identify tornadoes and adds features related to reflectivity and velocity spectrum width in radar level-II data. Historical CINRAD-SA tornado data from 2006–2015 are used to construct the tornado dataset and train the TDA-RF model. The performance of TDA-RF is evaluated using CINRAD-SA data from five tornadoes of 2016–2020 with enhanced Fujita(EF) scale ratings ranging from EF0 to EF4 and distances from 10 to 130 km to the radar. TDA-RF performs well overall with the probability of detection (POD), false alarm ratio (FAR), and critical success index (CSI) of 71%, 29%, and 55%, respectively. Moreover, the TDA-RF improves POD and CSI, and reduces FAR compared to the TDA-TVS. The maximum tornado early-warning time of TDA-RF is 17 min, and the average is 6 min; TDA-RF can provide classification probability according to the tornado generation and development process to facilitate tracking ability.

This study is the first to use the observation data of a fog monitor, a visibility meter, and an automatic weather station to carry out a comprehensive observation experiment from the perspective of microphysics on a severe sea fog process in Beilun District, China, from 14 to 15 June 2021. The results show the following: (1) Temperature is closely related to nucleation, condensation growth, and other processes. The decrease (increase) in temperature is the main reason for the enhancement (weakening) of nucleation and the growth of condensation (evaporation of droplets), which leads to an increase (or decrease) in microphysical quantities, such as droplet number concentration and liquid water content. (2) The average droplet number spectral distribution roughly conforms to the Gamma distribution, and the spectral distribution of the fog process presents a ”multi-peak” structure, with peak diameters of 6 μm, 12 μm, 16 μm, 24 μm, and 44 μm. Droplets with a diameter of less than 16 μm account for 75% of the droplet size distribution. (3) During this sea fog process, three microphysical parameters, namely, number concentration, liquid water content, and average diameter, are all positively correlated in pairs, but the positive correlation between the number concentration and the average diameter is weak. This shows that the condensation nucleation and the condensation growth of droplets are the main processes in this sea fog process and that the collision process occurs but is not the dominant process. The sea fog comprehensive observation experiment provides an important demonstration of the microphysics research of sea fog in the eastern coastal areas of China and provides more reference information for sea fog research and equipment comparisons between different regions. At the same time, it also provides an essential scientific basis for the short-term forecast of sea fog in the future and for the optimization of the microphysical parameters of related models.

The transmission and storage of weather radar products will be an important problem for future weather radar applications. The aim of this work is to provide a solution for real-time transmission of weather radar data and efficient data storage. By upgrading the capabilities of radar, the amount of data that can be processed continues to increase. Weather radar compression is necessary to reduce the amount of data for transmission and archiving. The characteristics of weather radar data are not considered in general-purpose compression programs. The sparsity and data redundancy of weather radar data are analyzed. A lossless compression of weather radar data based on prediction coding is presented, which is called spatial and temporal prediction compression (STPC). The spatial and temporal correlations in weather radar data are utilized to improve the compression ratio. A specific prediction scheme for weather radar data is given, while the residual data and motion vectors are used to replace the original values for entropy coding. After this, the Level-II product from CINRAD SA is used to evaluate STPC. Experimental results show that the STPC achieves a better performance than the general-purpose compression programs, with the STPC yield being approximately 26% better than the next best approach.

Weather radar echo plays an important role in early warning and timely forecasting of severe weather. However, the radar echo may not be accurate enough to predict or analyze small-scale weather phenomenon due to the degradation of the observed radar. In order to solve this problem, some radar echo super-resolution reconstruction algorithms have been proposed, but the algorithm may result in an excessively smooth edge and detail in a local region. To reconstruct radar echo with better edges and finer details, a novel nonlocal self-similarity sparse representation (NSSR) model is proposed. The NSSR model is based on the sparse representation of weather radar echoes to better reconstruct the echo edge and detail information. We exploit the radar echo nonlocal self-similarity to recover more realistic details based on the NSSR model. Experiment results demonstrate that the proposed NSSR outperforms current general-purpose radar echo super-resolution approaches on both visual effects and objective radar echo quality.

As a manifestation of low-altitude wind shear, a downburst is a localized, strong downdraft that can lead to disastrous wind on the ground surface. For effective pre-warning and forecasting of downbursts, it is particularly critical to understand relevant weather features that occur before and during a downburst process. It is important to identify the macroscopic features associated with the downburst weather process before considering fine-scale observations because this would greatly increase the accuracy and timeliness of forecasts. Therefore, we applied the wind-vector potential-temperature energy analysis (WPEA) method and CSU-CHILL X-band dual-polarization radar to explore the features of the downburst process. Here it was found that prior to the occurrence of the downburst of interest, the specific areas that should be monitored in future events could be determined by studying the atmospherically unstable areas using the WPEA method. Combining the WPEA method with dual-polarization radar observations, we can better distinguish the phase distribution of the hydrometeor in the process and greatly enhance the judgment of the possibility of the downburst. From exploration of the microphysical features of the downburst, we further found that ‘Z_dr (differential reflectivity) column’ can be regarded as an important early warning indicator of the location of the downburst. Finally, a schematic of the formation process of the downburst according to the analyses was produced.